Premier League Sack Race Predictions, Odds & Betting Tips From Experts: Who will be the first to GO?

With the Premier League return approaching, our experts predict the first manager to leave. Read on to find out who are the main candidates to be chopped and where the best value is in the Premier League sack race betting market. The odds are provided by BetMGM and BetVictor with new customers that can take advantage of a very generous welcome offer when they sign up below.

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Premier League Sack Race Betting Tips

Is the Pressure Building for Premier League Managers Already?
  • Southampton have lost their opening three league matches, struggling with both attacking output and defensive solidity.
  • Wolves have taken just one point from their first three games and face a daunting run of fixtures, including Newcastle, Liverpool, and Manchester City.
  • Southampton’s possession-heavy approach has seen them concede too many chances, making them one of the most vulnerable teams early in the season.

The Premier League sack race is one of the most intriguing narratives of the season, with pressure mounting on managers as early as the first few weeks. In a league where patience is often in short supply, clubs are quick to act if results aren’t going their way, and managers feel the weight of expectation almost immediately. This season, as we see new faces in the dugout and old ones clinging to their jobs, the battle to avoid the ignominy of being the first manager sacked is already heating up. But who will fall first?

Best Bet

Bookmaker
Russell Martin Next Premier League Manager to Leave @ 9/1
Reasoning
Russell Martin looks a strong bet at 9/1 to be the first Premier League manager sacked. Southampton’s poor form, defensive frailties, and his tactical stubbornness suggest the board may act soon.
Odds subject to change
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Given the current odds and early-season form, Russell Martin stands out as a prime candidate to be the first manager to lose his job this season. Southampton’s struggles have been apparent since their promotion, with three consecutive defeats painting a bleak picture. The Saints’ inability to find any rhythm under Martin’s possession-heavy style has left them vulnerable. The team have been lacklustre going forward and even worse at the back, conceding far too many chances and showing little defensive solidity.

Martin’s commitment to a style that favours keeping the ball has backfired early on, with the team unable to convert possession into meaningful chances or prevent their opponents from exploiting their weaknesses. This stubbornness in sticking to a system that isn’t working could be the undoing of Martin. A manager’s refusal to adapt can often be the tipping point for club executives who are more interested in results than philosophies. With Southampton looking toothless in attack and fragile in defence, the prospect of a change seems more likely with each passing game.

The Saints’ board may well grow frustrated if the defeats continue to mount, and Martin’s refusal to adapt his tactical approach only increases the likelihood that they will seek a fresh face to steady the ship. As Martin has no proven track record at the top level, he may not be given the time that some of his peers enjoy, making him a strong candidate for the sack. A heavy defeat in the coming weeks could accelerate the decision, especially with the team’s current trajectory pointing towards a relegation battle. Therefore, at odds of 9/1, Russell Martin appears to be the best bet for the first managerial casualty.

Premier League Sack Race Alternative Prediction

Bookmaker
Gary O'Neil To Be Next Premier League Manager To Leave @ 16/1
Reasoning
Gary O'Neil, at 16/1, is a strong outsider to be the first manager sacked. Wolves’ poor start, tough upcoming fixtures, and last season's form could force the board to act soon.
Odds subject to change
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While the odds for Gary O’Neil being the first manager sacked are higher, standing at 16/1, he shouldn’t be overlooked as a potential outsider in this race. O’Neil’s Wolves have endured a tough start to the season, with just one point from their opening three matches. The club’s summer departures, including key players Max Kilman and Pedro Neto, have weakened the squad significantly, leaving O’Neil with a difficult task to rebuild the team.

The upcoming fixture list doesn’t offer much hope for a turnaround, with Wolves set to face Newcastle, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Brentford, and Manchester City in a run that could see them drop even further into trouble. If O’Neil fails to pick up points in these matches, the Wolves board may decide that a change is needed before the situation becomes irreparable.

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Wolves’ end to last season, which saw them win just one of their final ten games, is also cause for concern. The club may see O’Neil’s poor form stretching back over a longer period and decide that his time is up. Though he has some credit in the bank after keeping Wolves clear of relegation last season, this poor run of results, combined with a gruelling fixture list, makes him a candidate for the sack. At 16/1, the odds may be long, but they reflect the very real pressure O’Neil is under, and he could easily become the first manager to be shown the door if Wolves fail to improve quickly.

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.