Premier League Sack Race Predictions, Odds & Betting Tips From Experts: Who will be the next to GO?

Arsenal and Manchester City maintained unbeaten starts, trailing Liverpool by a point. Despite City’s injuries, Arsenal are now title favourites, though opinions vary on whether this shift is justified. Our experts have looked at the Premier League 2024/25 outright market and provided their outright tips now that a quarter of the season has been played.

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Premier League Sack Race Tips: Our Best Bet

Bookmaker
Russell Martin Next Premier League Manager to Leave @ 9/1
Reasoning
Russell Martin looks a strong bet at 3/1 to be the first Premier League manager sacked. Southampton’s poor form, defensive frailties, and his tactical stubbornness suggest the board may act soon.
Odds subject to change
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Will This Be the Turning Point for a Manager Under Pressure?

  • Erik ten Hag remains the front-runner to be sacked, with odds as short as 4/6 after Manchester United’s poor form.
  • Russell Martin, despite leading Southampton back to the Premier League, is second favourite to leave his post, with odds of 5/1.
  • Gary O’Neil, another manager under pressure, has seen his odds rise to 7/2, reflecting Wolves’ difficult start to the campaign.

As the Premier League season advances, teams are beginning to show their true colours, with early results separating the title contenders from those facing the grim reality of a potential relegation battle. The spotlight, however, isn’t just on the teams – it’s also on their managers. With a number of underperforming squads, attention has increasingly turned to who might be the first to face the sack this season. The odds indicate a tightening race among the likes of Erik ten Hag, Russell Martin, and Gary O’Neil. It’s a tense period for clubs struggling to hit their stride, and the pressure is mounting for certain managers to turn things around quickly.

In the case of Erik ten Hag, the situation has been particularly dire. Manchester United’s string of disappointing results has slashed his odds to be the first manager sacked this season. A recent 3-0 defeat to Tottenham at Old Trafford followed by a goalless draw at Villa Park against Aston Villa has left many questioning whether Ten Hag’s time at the helm is nearing its end. Meanwhile, Southampton’s Russell Martin is also feeling the heat. Despite bringing his team back to the Premier League, their return has been less than stellar, with Martin now standing as the second favourite to be dismissed, according to the latest odds.

Best Bet for This Event: Russell Martin to Be the Next Manager to Go

For punters looking to make a well-informed bet, the best option currently appears to be Russell Martin. His odds of 3/1 suggest that he is increasingly seen as vulnerable. Southampton’s return to the top flight has been a bumpy ride, with the team struggling to find form early in the season. Promoted teams traditionally face challenges in adjusting to the pace and intensity of Premier League football, and Martin’s side has not managed to buck that trend. After a string of underwhelming performances, the board’s patience may be wearing thin.

Why Back Russell Martin for This Prediction?

There are several compelling reasons to consider Martin the leading candidate for the next managerial departure. Firstly, newly promoted teams often face the toughest challenges in the Premier League, and Southampton are no exception. The step up from the Championship has been difficult for Martin, who is now overseeing a side that has failed to adapt to the intensity of top-tier football. Their lack of results, coupled with some questionable tactical decisions, have only worsened the situation.

In addition, Southampton’s board may feel that a change is necessary sooner rather than later to avoid a prolonged relegation battle. The club’s ownership is unlikely to tolerate a continued slide down the table, especially when survival in the Premier League is so financially critical. Southampton have had a history of making managerial changes swiftly when the pressure mounts, and Martin’s current trajectory makes him a prime candidate for the next sacking.

His 3/1 odds reflect the growing sentiment that time is running out for him to turn things around. Backing him to be the next to go is a bet based not just on form but also on the typical impatience seen at clubs struggling to adjust to Premier League demands. There is value to backing him to go before Ten Hag as Manchester United board seems to be taking their time to find the right successor of the Dutch.


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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.