Premier League outright winner odds and predictions: Can Liverpool Hold Their Nerve in the Title Race? Assessing the 2024/25 Premier League Run-In

The 2024/25 Premier League season is rapidly approaching its decisive phase, and the title race is beginning to take shape. We are taking a look at the latest odds and have identified the best value bet for the Premier League outright winner market.

Premier League outright odds & betting tips

Three Key Stats from the Analysis

• Liverpool have scored 60 goals in their first 25 matches, highlighting their attacking dominance.
• Manchester City have won just three of their last 11 games, a run that has effectively ended their title hopes.
• Arsenal remain Liverpool’s closest challengers but are still seven points behind, with questions over their ability to close the gap.

Our Best Bet

While the campaign initially appeared set for another close contest, with defending champions Manchester City and last season’s runners-up Arsenal expected to battle it out once more, the narrative has shifted significantly. Liverpool, under new management following the departure of Jurgen Klopp, have emerged as the dominant force and now lead the league with a commanding position.

With 25 matches played, Liverpool have amassed 60 points, suffering only a single defeat and maintaining an impressive goal-scoring record. A crucial Merseyside derby draw against Everton allowed them to maintain a seven-point gap over their nearest challengers, Arsenal, who sit in second place. The Gunners have worked hard to keep up, grinding out important victories, but questions remain over whether they have the firepower to sustain a challenge.

Manchester City, the pre-season favourites to retain their crown, have found themselves slipping out of contention. A run of just three wins in 11 matches earlier in the campaign has left them trailing significantly, and despite some recent improvement, they remain well behind Liverpool in the standings. Nottingham Forest, unexpectedly sitting in third place, have impressed with their resilience but have struggled to maintain momentum in recent weeks.

Chelsea, Newcastle, and Bournemouth are further down the table, with their focus more likely to be on securing European qualification rather than mounting an unlikely late surge for the title. Aston Villa and Brighton, both at exceptionally long odds, are mathematically still in the mix, but their involvement in the title race is more theoretical than realistic.

Updated Premier League Title Odds

Team	Odds
Liverpool	1/4
Arsenal	11/4
Manchester City	50/1
Nottingham Forest	100/1
Chelsea	500/1
Newcastle	750/1
Bournemouth	750/1
Aston Villa	2500/1
Brighton	5000/1

“Odds are correct at time of post and subject to change

Best Bet: Liverpool to Win the Premier League

Liverpool’s dominance this season makes them the standout choice to lift the Premier League trophy. At 1/4, they are heavily favoured, but their consistency and squad depth suggest that they are unlikely to falter. The transition from Klopp to Arne Slot was met with uncertainty at the start of the campaign, yet the team has responded in emphatic fashion, delivering a level of performance that has placed them firmly in control of the title race.

One of the most striking aspects of Liverpool’s season has been their attacking power. With 60 goals scored in their first 25 matches, they have displayed an attacking fluidity that has overwhelmed opponents. Their ability to break down defensive setups, combined with their strength on the counterattack, has made them one of the most dangerous sides in the league.

Defensively, they have also been solid, limiting opposition chances and controlling games with authority. Their ability to manage key moments in matches has been crucial, ensuring that they have consistently picked up points, even when not at their best. The draw against Everton in the final Merseyside derby at Goodison Park showcased their resilience, as they managed to maintain their advantage at the top despite a testing encounter.

While Arsenal remain in pursuit, their inconsistency in front of goal has raised concerns. Their reliance on late goals in recent fixtures suggests that they are still searching for the clinical edge needed to sustain a serious title challenge. The gap between themselves and Liverpool, combined with the Reds’ relentless form, makes it difficult to see how they can overhaul the leaders.

Manchester City, meanwhile, have endured an uncharacteristically difficult campaign. Although they have rallied somewhat in recent weeks, their earlier struggles have left them with too much ground to make up. The fact that they have dropped points in winnable fixtures has severely hampered their chances of a late resurgence.

With a strong lead and a team firing on all cylinders, Liverpool’s position looks secure. While football has seen dramatic collapses before, the evidence suggests that this side has the mentality and quality to see the job through. At the current odds, they remain the most reliable bet to emerge as champions.

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