Premier League 2025/26 outright winner predictions: Is this finally the year the balance of power shifts?

With the Premier League’s return drawing ever closer, anticipation continues to build across the footballing world. The pre-season chatter has given way to tactical debates and transfer rumours turning into confirmed moves, setting the scene for a campaign that already feels explosive before a single ball has been kicked. Read on to find our best bet for the Premier League 2025/26 outright winner market.

Premier League outright winner betting tips

Could Arsenal’s Summer Moves Be the Catalyst for a Title Charge?

• Arsenal lost the same number of league matches (4) as Liverpool last season, despite finishing 10 points behind.
• Viktor Gyökeres arrives at Arsenal having scored 68 goals in 66 appearances for Sporting.
• Manchester City had 22% of their squad value out injured last season—the highest in the league.

Our Best Bet

As fans mark their calendars and fantasy managers finalise their squads, today serves as a pivotal checkpoint in the countdown to opening day—with futures markets bustling and bold declarations already being made.

The 2025/26 season promises to be defined not just by the usual title contenders but also by an increasingly competitive mid-table, where ambitions stretch far beyond survival. Liverpool, buoyed by a seamless transition under Arne Slot, enter the campaign with the weight of expectation. The Merseysiders clinched last season’s title in dominant fashion, and the question now is whether they can consolidate that success and repeat the feat. Their aggressive summer dealings suggest they fully intend to stay on top.

Arsenal, meanwhile, are once again being framed as the nearly-men—having lost only four league matches last season yet finishing ten points adrift of the top spot. The North London side showed remarkable consistency but lacked the killer instinct in decisive stretches. Their move to bring in Viktor Gyökeres from Sporting may just be the missing ingredient in Mikel Arteta’s formula as they look to finally end their long wait for a league crown.

Manchester City, by their own lofty standards, endured a disappointing campaign. A third-place finish with just 71 points marked the lowest return of Pep Guardiola’s managerial career. Injuries, particularly to key figures like Rodri and Ederson, played a major role in their slump. However, reinforcements have arrived in the form of Tijjani Reijnders, Rayan Aït-Nouri, and Rayan Cherki—adding both depth and dynamism to a side with something to prove.

Elsewhere, Chelsea appear rejuvenated after a storming end to last season, clinching Champions League football and lifting the Conference League trophy. Their impressive victory over PSG in the Club World Cup final underlined their potential, and bookmakers have taken notice, shortening their title odds significantly. If their current trajectory continues, the Londoners could emerge as dark horses in this year’s title race.

Manchester United remain a curious case. Having slumped to 15th in the table last term, they still managed to reach the Europa League final, only to fall to Tottenham. With no European distractions this season, the Red Devils are expected to focus solely on domestic improvement. The additions of Bryan Mbeumo and Matheus Cunha—both from Premier League rivals—have added firepower to a frontline that lacked bite for much of last season.

The battle at the foot of the table could be just as fierce. Relegation looks set to be an equally gripping narrative, with newly promoted Sunderland, Leeds United and Burnley all fighting to establish themselves. Brentford and Wolves may find themselves drawn into the fray if early results don’t go their way.

With so much at stake and each club armed with new tools and ambitions, the stage is set for a compelling 2025/26 season. But among all these moving parts, one narrative feels particularly ripe for a turning point.

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Best Bet: Arsenal to Win the Premier League

Here at BettingTips4You, we pride ourselves on offering quality over quantity. Rather than inundating readers with multiple predictions, we focus all our efforts on identifying a single standout tip for each event—one that we believe carries the strongest justification, backed by thorough analysis and informed reasoning. This not only simplifies your decision-making process but also enables clear accountability over time. For this market, our most confident selection is Arsenal to win the Premier League.

At 9/4, the Gunners are priced as second-favourites behind reigning champions Liverpool, but there is an underlying logic that suggests this could finally be the year North London celebrates a title once again. Let’s examine why.

Arsenal’s performances last season were consistent, even if their campaign ended with a tinge of frustration. Losing only four league matches—matching Liverpool’s tally—they proved difficult to beat. The primary difference was their inability to turn draws into wins and kill off matches when dominance was clear. That shortfall appears to have been directly addressed with the capture of Viktor Gyökeres. With an astonishing record of 68 goals in 66 appearances for Sporting, the Swedish striker arrives in England with the expectation of being Arsenal’s final piece of the puzzle. If his clinical nature translates to the Premier League, the Gunners may finally boast the decisive presence they lacked in key moments last term.

Beyond just bolstering their attack, Arsenal are entering this campaign with continuity and stability in their ranks. The manager has had time to refine his tactical blueprint, which brought them within touching distance of a Champions League final and sustained a top-two challenge. Importantly, the squad now feels better balanced than in previous years, with fewer gaps and an increasingly deep bench capable of rotating effectively across a congested schedule.

Comparatively, both Liverpool and Manchester City have undergone significant changes. Liverpool’s summer business has been bold—adding Florian Wirtz and Hugo Ekitike to an already potent forward line—but integrating these new arrivals while managing expectations under a still-new manager is no small feat. While Arne Slot impressed in his debut campaign, the challenge of defending a title is often very different to winning it in the first place.

Manchester City, though historically a reliable title-winning machine, looked jaded last season. Injuries exposed their reliance on certain individuals, and while the additions of Cherki, Reijnders, and others may help, there’s a lingering sense that Guardiola’s side are in a period of transition. Notably, the departure of Kevin De Bruyne removes a long-serving creative force, and the void he leaves may not be immediately filled.

Crucially, Arsenal’s odds of 9/4 still represent value. They are less disrupted than their competitors, have strengthened key areas, and showed they can compete with the best both domestically and in Europe. If Gyökeres hits the ground running and the defensive unit maintains last season’s solidity, the Gunners could well find themselves in pole position come May.ivated, and well-equipped. That combination is rare in this league and makes them a serious title threat.

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