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Week Seven closes with a divisional tussle that has neutral appeal written all over it. The Washington Commanders visit the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, with kick-off scheduled for 9.25pm on Sunday and live coverage. Read on for the best bet for this event and the analysis in addition to the best betting offers to take full advantage of.
NFL betting tips: Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys predictions
Could This Divisional Clash Turn Into a Quarterback Showcase?
- Dallas are 4-2 to the Over this season and have produced home totals of 77 and 80.
- The Cowboys have allowed at least 30 points in four of their last five games.
- Jayden Daniels has thrown four touchdowns across his last two games after returning from a knee injury.
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Prescott enters a pace-up script at AT&T Stadium, where Dallas have already played two shootouts. Lamb’s return boosts route diversity and yards after catch, sustaining drives and red-zone visits. Dallas’ leaky defense forces aggression, while Washington can trade points, extending volume late. At 13/2, 350+ yards is a realistic outcome.
This fixture carries extra intrigue given how Dallas have turned home dates into point-fests; their first two outings in Texas finished 40-37 after overtime against the Giants and 40-40 versus the Packers, totals of 77 and 80 respectively. Washington arrive at 3-3, while Dallas are 2-3-1, so the NFC East picture remains fluid and the stakes are obvious.
Both sides are seeking a course correction after narrow defeats. Washington were edged 25-24 by the Bears despite leading by eight in the fourth quarter, whereas Dallas fell 30-27 to the Panthers on a last-second kick.
The Commanders’ offence has been energised by Jayden Daniels since his return from a knee issue, while the Cowboys’ attack gets a timely boost with Ceedee Lamb expected to be back after a four-game absence. With the total trading around the mid-50s and both teams familiar with late momentum swings, the stage appears set for a tempo-heavy clash where sustained drives and red-zone execution could decide it.
Match Dynamics: Tempo, Volume and Opportunity
Dallas are one of the league’s top Over sides this season at 4-2 to the total, a reflection of a potent offence matched by a defence leaking points at a troubling rate. Four of their last five contests have seen the Cowboys concede at least 30, and they are the only team giving up an average north of 400 yards per game. That combination forces the game-state towards shootout territory, inviting high passing volume as Dak Prescott is asked to keep pace or extend leads. The environment at AT&T Stadium has also tilted towards extreme scoring variance, and those long home totals strengthen the case for elevated air yards and repeated chunk plays.
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Washington’s trendline with Daniels under centre has skewed to the Under, yet the Commanders have still found ways to move the ball and have rallied from double-digit deficits in each of his last three starts. That habit of starting slowly and then accelerating invites extra possessions and late drives. Dallas, meanwhile, should benefit from Lamb’s return, widening Prescott’s target profile on key downs and increasing the threat level on intermediate routes. Put together, the matchup reads like a classic trade of explosive sequences where defensive stops are sporadic and quarterback output becomes the defining metric.
Best Bet for the Day
Here at bettingtips4you we publish a single prediction rather than a handful of alternatives. We believe in quality, not quantity, giving a clear best tip per event so readers don’t need to sift through multiple choices. It also makes us fully accountable when we evaluate profitability over time.
Best Bet for the day: Dak Prescott To Record 350+ Passing Yards at 13/2
Why this selection earns the nod
Prescott steps into a game-script that screams volume. Dallas have been involved in two track meets already at home, posting 40 in both and playing into overtime once; those environments naturally push attempts and yardage. The Cowboys are third in the league for points per game, and that scoring rate typically correlates with sustained aerial production, especially when drives lengthen and red-zone visits mount. Crucially, Dallas also face pressure to keep scoring because their defence is conceding 30 or more far too often and surrendering over 400 yards on average. That defensive profile almost forces the quarterback into a high-usage role to compensate.
The likely return of Ceedee Lamb strengthens route diversity and after-the-catch upside, which matters when chasing a milestone like 350. Washington have seen mixed game-states with Jayden Daniels: early deficits followed by late surges. If that pattern repeats, Dallas will be encouraged to keep the foot down rather than lean on the clock, maintaining pass rate into the fourth quarter. Market-wise, 13/2 offers a fair reflection of ceiling outcome versus game context; with AT&T Stadium producing totals of 77 and 80 already, the threshold is demanding but plausible. Given Dallas’ Over record, their scoring identity, and the opponent’s capacity to trade blows, backing Prescott for a heavyweight yardage number is a value-driven play.
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