NFL betting tips: MVP predictions, preview and best bets

As the countdown to the new NFL campaign continues, attention turns towards one of the most prestigious individual accolades in the sport: the Most Valuable Player award. Each season brings a fresh battle between elite talent, and 2025 is shaping up to be no different. The top of the MVP betting market is, unsurprisingly, dominated by quarterbacks — a position that has historically commanded this award, with no non-quarterback winner in nearly two decades. Read on to find a detailed preview and the best bet recommendation for this season, and don’t forget to take advantage of the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.

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NFL betting tips: MVP predictions

Can the NFL MVP Race Deliver a Surprise in 2025?
  • Joe Burrow threw for 4,918 yards last season, leading all quarterbacks in passing yards.
  • The Bengals’ record improved to 9-8, despite starting 1-4, thanks to Burrow’s resurgence.
  • Burrow registered 43 touchdowns and just 9 interceptions, a level of efficiency unmatched by his closest MVP rivals.

Our Best Bet

Joe Burrow to Win the MVP
6/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Joe Burrow, healthy and determined, targets MVP contention after 4,900+ yards, 43 touchdowns last season. If Bengals improve on 9-8 and secure divisional title, his 6/1 odds offer strong value.

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This year’s frontrunners include familiar faces. Lamar Jackson is once again among the favourites after narrowly missing out last term. Despite delivering one of the finest statistical years of his career, Jackson was edged out by Josh Allen, who now attempts to go back-to-back. Patrick Mahomes, never far from MVP contention, joins the chase alongside Jayden Daniels, a rising star tipped to break through the elite tier this season. Yet it is Joe Burrow whose name draws considerable intrigue as we head into the opening weeks.

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What makes this year’s MVP race particularly fascinating is just how close the competition is. The top contenders are all priced similarly in the market, reflecting a widespread belief that the award is there for the taking. With all top 18 candidates playing quarterback, it reinforces the idea that team success and individual brilliance at that position go hand in hand. In a league driven by offensive production, the pressure falls on those under centre to perform consistently and carry their sides to victories. And it’s within this framework that Burrow may well rise above the pack.


Best Bet: Joe Burrow to Win the MVP (6/1)

At BettingTips4You, we believe that offering one carefully chosen tip per market ensures greater clarity and stronger accountability. Rather than flooding readers with multiple suggestions, we focus solely on the most valuable opportunity. For this year’s MVP race, our best bet is Joe Burrow at 6/1.

There’s a growing sense that Burrow is due a breakthrough. Last year, his individual performances stood out, even if his team’s record did not. Throwing for nearly 5,000 yards alongside 43 touchdowns while keeping interceptions to single digits is no small feat. Those numbers would normally place a quarterback firmly in the MVP conversation. However, Cincinnati’s underwhelming defensive display and a 9-8 finish kept him from the award. Now, with a clean bill of health and renewed determination, Burrow enters 2025 aiming to rewrite the script.

The quarterback has publicly stated he feels better physically than at any point in his career, which bodes well for a side desperate to return to the postseason. The Bengals’ early-season struggles last year proved too much to overcome, but if they can avoid a slow start and turn their nine wins into double digits, the spotlight will naturally fall on Burrow’s leadership. His connection with top-tier receivers remains intact, and in a high-scoring league where narratives play a major role in award voting, a fully fit Burrow guiding his team to a divisional title could be the headline story.

At 6/1, Burrow provides both value and a genuine shot at lifting the trophy. If he maintains his output and his team surpass expectations, few other names will be in the conversation by the time awards season arrives.

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Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats for football. With a passion that began in the grassroots, he's witnessed the magic of the game from local pitches to grand stadiums. Over the past 7 years, Steve has lent his expertise to several online publications, chronicling the ever-evolving world of football. Beyond his professional pursuits, he holds a special affection for Burnley Football Club, cherishing every triumph and tribulation. Steve believes in the power of storytelling and its ability to bring the beautiful game closer to its ardent fans.