Lucky 15 Tips; Sunday September 7 — Four-value plays at York and Longchamp. Fancy the filly to step forward and a sprinter to rediscover his spark?

A busy Sunday features quick-fire action on the Knavesmire and a key French trial at Longchamp, offering plenty of angles for a carefully curated Lucky 15. York supplies depth across sprints and maidens, with lightly raced types colliding with seasoned handicappers; meanwhile Paris stages a Group-level pointer that could reshape autumn narratives. Rather than scattergun picks, we have distilled the day into four targeted selections, each anchored in recent evidence and the specific conditions in front of them.

The aim is to blend a progressive maiden with a revitalised speedster, a Listed-class closer with latent upside, and an elite filly who sets the standard on what she has already achieved at longer trips. What follows are the four legs, each assessed by one of our BettingTips4You experts, weighing set-up, trip, draw, pace, and likely run styles to construct a coherent accumulator that prioritises value and track suitability over reputation.

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14:30 York – Secret History

John Pentin; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Secret History shaped like a winner-in-waiting on debut, and the manner of that initial effort speaks loudly for today’s demands. She was ridden quietly through the early fractions, only asked to move two out, and the surge she produced to chase down the principals marked her out as a filly with a serious turn of foot. That late rattle was all the more striking given she had forfeited position from the gates, leaving herself a mountain to climb against more prominently ridden rivals. In open maidens at York, track position often matters, yet when a youngster can quicken decisively on the long run-in, that deficit can be erased with cleaner transit.

Connections have mapped out ambitious autumn options — Rockfel, Cheveley Park, and the Fillies’ Mile — indicating the camp expect her to build rapidly on that first look at the racecourse. While she is the only filly in a field that looks evenly matched, this scenario can work to her advantage: she brings a different profile, potentially getting weight or tactical latitude, and her pedigree implies she will progress for the run. If she settles a touch closer and sees daylight when it counts, the debut experience should harden her for a stronger, more sustained drive through the final furlong, making “one better” a realistic target.

15:00 York – Alzahir

Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Alzahir’s season has been a tale of two halves: a blazing July hat-trick followed by a plateau as the assessor tightened the screws. After completing the treble at Ascot, a high-water mark left him vulnerable to being anchored in deeper races, and his next two starts told that story — he showed pace to the fore but fatigued late and couldn’t land a blow at Goodwood when always on the back foot. Crucially, the most recent run signalled that the wheel has turned.

At Ripon he raced on the heels of the leaders, maintained position past halfway, and, although some way behind the front three at the line, he kept on with purpose, suggesting balance and rhythm had returned. Dropping to five furlongs looks a timely call: he has already ticked that box as part of the Ascot sequence, and cutting back can amplify his sharpness while protecting him from the late-race fades that crept in at the slightly longer trip.

From a rating only a pound above his last winning mark, the task is more manageable than those mid-summer tests, and he is far better placed to deploy that early speed without being hounded into the red. The Yorkshire straight can reward a bold sit-and-strike ride; if he can latch onto a solid tow and measure his effort, the Ripon revival reads like the bridge back to the winner’s enclosure.

GRAND GREY (4.30 York)

Gram Dodd; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Grand Grey arrives with a piece of spring form that screams Listed player, and the context around that run matters. On his first start for Kevin Ryan, he flew home in the Abernant on the Rowley Mile, splitting Sajir — now proven at the highest level in France — and Lethal Levi, who has maintained lofty standards since. That was achieved at set weights despite conceding ground at the break, underlining that, when he leaves the gates on terms, he has the engine to live with quick horses over six furlongs.

Subsequent outings have been compromised by tardy starts, including a sharp five at York where he was simply in an impossible spot from the bell. Today’s scenario offers clear mitigation: back up to six, a field dripping with pace to draw him into the race, and, for the first time this season, a hint of easier ground to lean on, echoing the surfaces that underpinned his best Continental efforts. The yard have acknowledged the gate issue and intend to be more assertive loading and in the stalls, with Kevin Stott tasked to be positive from the outset. If he hits the latch, he can stalk rather than chase, conserving energy for the climb through the final furlong where a truly run race will bring his finishing kick into play. At double-figure prices, you are being paid to accept the starting risk; the upside, given the Abernant marker and today’s likely tempo, is obvious for those willing to trust talent and conditions aligning.

Whirl (3.25 Longchamp)

Steve Harrington; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Whirl charts a route into autumn that looks tailor-made for a top-level campaign. Since stretching beyond a mile she has met defeat only at the hooves of stablemate Minnie Hauk, and last time she turned the Nassau into a procession, powering five lengths clear to claim a second Group 1 with authority. This trial sets up as a logical stepping stone towards the Arc picture, and on collateral evidence the race may boil down to an internal rivalry between Whirl and Minnie Hauk later in the season. Here, she does not even need to improve to win: her established form at nine and ten furlongs already towers over most, and she receives a handy 8lb from last year’s Arc runner-up among the opposition, smoothing the path further. Aventure offers depth and should not be dismissed, yet weight and momentum sit squarely with Whirl, whose tactical flexibility lets her control the middle sectionals before stretching the elastic when the leaders feel the pinch.

Longchamp’s sweeping turns and generous straight accentuate stamina as much as class; her Nassau demolition showcased both. With the yard plotting carefully and no need to push every button before October, a smooth, authoritative display is anticipated — assertive but not extravagant — the sort of performance that keeps the engine ticking and the market warm for the big one.

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