Lucky 15 Tips; Sunday September 28 — Curragh class, Ffos Las stamina, Newcastle nous, Epsom savvy?

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A busy Sunday menu gives punters a genuine spread across Ireland and Britain, with high-quality sprinting at the Curragh, attritional juvenile fare at a testing Ffos Las, a classy seven-furlong handicap under the Newcastle lights, and an Epsom puzzle over the full Derby trip for apprentices. It’s the sort of mixed card where ground, cadence and course know-how can be at least as influential as the raw talent on a page. Our Lucky 15 brings together four carefully profiled selections from different tracks and codes, all chosen for today’s specific conditions, not their reputations.

At the Curragh (14:05), a blue-blooded newcomer to this level looks primed to convert debut promise. Ffos Las (14:30) stages a stamina-leaning maiden that rewards toughness as much as flair. Newcastle (18:45) often tilts towards rhythm and positioning, especially at seven furlongs on Tapeta where timing the move is everything. Epsom (15:30) closes our quartet with the famous undulations and cambers magnified by apprentice tactics, where pace judgement, balance and earlier course experience can make a decisive difference. Four experts, four angles, one Lucky 15.

Let’s go through each of the four bets that form today’s accumulator and see which of our trusted analysts has backed them.

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14:05 Curragh – White Sand Beach

John Pentin; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
White Sand Beach shaped like a winner-in-waiting on debut, only to be nabbed late by La Fogarta, who brought the invaluable benefit of two prior runs and Group 3 exposure. That context matters here: this maiden is unlikely to contain that degree of established class, and the Aidan O’Brien team have a formidable recent grip on this exact race, having landed it in four of the last five editions. The daughter of Dubawi travelled with poise first time out, finding for pressure before the more battle-hardened rival came by in the closing strides. With that experience banked, she should sharpen up in the gates, lengthen better into the final furlong and sustain her effort right to the line.

Stable placement screams intent. O’Brien are adept at moving promising types along quickly when they show immediate ability, and the Curragh’s long straight will let a strong traveller roll without interruption. The set-up is tidier too: maiden depth today looks shallower than her bow, and she carries the right profile to control this from a handy slot or stalk and pounce if something else wants the lead. A repeat of that opening run—combined with natural second-start improvement—ought to be sufficient in these surroundings. Put simply, she achieved plenty against a battle-hardened rival last time; facing less proven opposition now, she is perfectly positioned to go one better.

14:30 Ffos Las – Lavender Gold

Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Lavender Gold has progressed exactly as you’d expect from a well-related juvenile: a learning debut in a deep York maiden, followed by a sizeable step forward into third at Windsor. That latter run has aged well, with the winner Explosion bolting up next time out off 79 on handicap debut, lending substance to the form. The son of Victor Ludorum also shaped like stamina will be his weapon, hitting the line strongly over a mile on soft ground. Ffos Las can ride relentlessly when the rain gets in, and those who can cope with sustained pressure tend to come to the fore in the final half-furlong; this one looks built for precisely that late grind.

Another positive is the anticipated conditions. A searching surface accentuates staying attributes, and Lavender Gold handled something similar when asked to quicken out of the ground at Windsor. David Menuisier’s camp are patient with their youngsters, often extracting a clear step forward with race three once the penny fully drops. With limited daylight between him and the likely favourite Astrazar on bare form, the balance tips towards the colt who has already demonstrated he goes through soft and finishes his races as though further might not inconvenience. Today’s mile at this track rewards that profile. Expect a more assertive move earlier in the straight, an unpicking of rivals who are still learning to find under pressure, and an overdue breakthrough at the third attempt.

Golden Mind – 6.45 Newcastle

Gram Dodd; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Golden Mind’s recent ledger at Newcastle marks him down as a horse who clicks with this straight seven. He scored over course and distance two starts ago, showing a neat blend of balance and change of gear that this Tapeta strip rewards. Chester next time simply didn’t play to his strengths: the tight turns and awkward traffic saw him never land a blow, and that effort is easy to forgive. Returning to a fairer, more rhythm-based test should restore his edge. Off only 2lb higher than that latest local success, there is still room within the handicap to operate, particularly as his earlier win suggested a little more was left in the tank.

The race complexion looks suitable. Several in opposition want things to fall exactly their way, whereas Golden Mind has already proven he can sit within range, latch onto a tow and punch through decisively late. Richard Fahey’s four-year-old has banked the clearest piece of track-and-trip evidence among today’s principals, and a straight seven on the sand is often about sustaining speed, not just flashing brilliance; he does exactly that. A return to the scene of his best recent work, allied to a forgiving draw and a mark that remains manageable, points strongly towards a bounce-back. Write off Chester’s non-event, lean into the C&D strength, and you have a compelling case for another Newcastle strike.

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Give It To Me Oj – Epsom 15:30

Steve Harrington; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Few assignments test both horse and rider like the Apprentices’ Derby Handicap over the full Derby course. Give It To Me Oj arrives with the single most persuasive piece of current Epsom form: he won the Jump Jockeys’ version here earlier in the month, dictating a steady tempo before quickening off the front to beat subsequent winner Saligo Bay. That run wasn’t some fluke of circumstance; it showcased balance around Tattenham Corner, composure on the camber, and the tactical speed to lengthen when asked. Transferring that blueprint to today’s contest looks entirely logical. He is up 7lb for that success, but the manner of the win suggested there was a little more up the sleeve.

The wider profile reinforces confidence. Gary & Josh Moore have a notable record in this very race, and the yard’s handling of Give It To Me Oj has been assured all year. He developed into a useful juvenile hurdler in the spring, winning three of his last four over timber, including a valuable handicap against older novices at Sandown on the final day of the season. That blend of resilience and race nous translates well to Epsom’s unique test. Ashley Lewis takes off a handy 5lb, further softening the rise and offering tactical flexibility—either control matters again or park in the slipstream and pounce two down. With the stable operating with confidence and the horse already proven over the contours, a follow-up looks very realistic despite the higher perch.

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