A stacked Saturday brings marquee action on both sides of the Irish Sea, with Town Moor’s early handicaps setting the tempo before Leopardstown pick up the late-afternoon spotlight. Doncaster’s straight mile at 13:15 opens the terrestrial coverage and looks tailor-made for progressive three-year-olds testing their ceiling against seasoned opposition. Not long after, the 13:50 juvenile feature supplies a proper litmus test for a blue-blooded colt who made a mockery of his rivals on his second outing, and market layers will be forced to firm up their lines once he steps onto the turf again.
In the sprinting theatre, the 2:25 heritage handicap gathers a sprawling field where draw, pace and positioning will likely spell the difference between glory and hard-luck tales. Across the water, Leopardstown’s late card features a colt whose spring and summer collateral lines hold up strongly, and his return to this track offers a neat barometer of where he sits among the autumn players. With four sharp opinions from our BettingTips4You team, today’s Lucky 15 stitches those narratives into one targeted multiple.
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Saturday’s Lucky 15 | |
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Reasoning This four-leg Lucky 15 marries reliability with upside: Treble Tee’s handicapping surge, Oxagon’s star potential, Comanche Brave’s rock-solid collateral form and Fivethousandtoone’s handicapping sweet spot with a valuable claim. Each selection suits race conditions, rider bookings and pace shape, creating a coherent multiple with realistic pathways to collect. |
Doncaster – 13:15 – Treble Tee
John Pentin; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Treble Tee turn up for the Crisford yard with Oisin Murphy legged up, and the partnership screams synergy after two narrow defeats that reveal more promise than frustration. The gelding and subsequent wind procedure have sharpened him appreciably; his Thirsk neck second to Big Leader and half-length near miss behind Tribal Chief at Goodwood read like springboards rather than ceilings. A tongue tie coincided with those advances, and the big, scopey frame hints there is still a gear to find. Conditions could contain a hint of cut, which would not inconvenience a horse who already advertised competence on softer terrain at the start of his career.
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The straight-mile configuration should allow Murphy to secure a handy lane, travel within himself and gradually wind up a sustained run. The market has latched onto the profile, yet the substance of recent handicaps backs up the optimism. With class angles aligning—yard form, rider uplift, and a mark that still looks exploitable—the son of Persian King can finally put rivals to the sword and validate that upward curve in no-nonsense fashion.
Doncaster – 13:50 – Oxagon
Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Oxagon stands out as the afternoon’s intriguing juvenile, not merely because of reputation, but due to what he did to a credible Sandown field on his second run—vanishing into the distance and slamming them by eight lengths. That demolition was the work of a colt with both raw engine and an efficient, lengthening stride, and the pedigree backs up what the eye suggested: Frankel on top, out of a Dubawi mare, typically equals class with depth. Oisin Murphy keeps the partnership intact for the Gosden team, a signal that the camp see this as a key stepping stone towards the principal seven and eight-furlong contests already on his radar.
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In tactical terms, this race should be instructive: a pace strong enough to keep him honest, a turning point where balance is examined, and then a finishing straight demanding clean acceleration. Oxagon handled all that at Sandown with ease, and today’s assignment looks a controlled escalation rather than a leap. While we learn more about his ultimate level, the foundation says we are dealing with a colt who could be significantly better than average. Expect a measured sit, an early query for gears and, when asked, a decisive response that stretches the field at the point where juvenile legs begin to wobble.
Comanche Brave (4.55 Leopardstown)
Gram Dodd; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Comanche Brave arrives in Dublin with a portfolio that keeps improving the deeper you look. The last time he tackled Leopardstown, he split Henri Matisse and Arizona Blaze in March; hindsight has magnified that collateral line enormously. Henri Matisse subsequently landed the French 2,000 Guineas, while Arizona Blaze was beaten only a neck in the Commonwealth Cup before adding a Group 2. Those are elite sprig-lines to hang your hat on, and they corroborate the three-year-old’s Irish 2,000 Guineas fifth and Royal Ascot third as genuinely solid markers.
He now returns after a confidence-boosting victory at Naas, which should have tightened him physically and mentally. From a race-shape angle, Leopardstown rewards rhythm and the ability to sustain a run off the final bend rather than needing a single explosive burst. Comanche Brave has shown he can latch onto a pace line, travel sweetly and then lengthen without wobble. With recent form lines standing up, the price still leans towards generosity. The set-up is ideal: proven track effectiveness, weight-for-age assistance still on his side for this time of year, and a field likely to go an honest gallop. That cocktail invites a positive ride to midway, a press for daylight turning in, and a professional conclusion where his maturity shows.
Fivethousandtoone in 2.25 Doncaster
Steve Harrington; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Fivethousandtoone step into the Portland with several quiet tailwinds that the market may be underpricing. First, he competes from a turf figure that sits a full 10lb beneath his all-weather rating, handing him a rare slice of handicapping leniency. Second, stall 19 could be a gift if the pace collapses towards that side, allowing him to track the right horses and time his run. His latest spin in the Great St Wilfrid at Ripon—only sixth—needs a forgiving eye: a sluggish start put him on the back foot, he met traffic, and the race never truly came back to him. Turf suitability is not in question, and today’s intermediate 5½f looks a neat sweet spot for a galloper who stays six strongly but can still travel at five.
With regular rider David Allen banned, the booking of Warren Fentiman is a plus rather than a compromise; his 5lb claim cuts the racing weight to a very workable zone and sharpens the finishing edge. The Easterby operation have their strings pinging, and this race profile—big field, relentless fractions, late gaps—fits an experienced campaigner who can thread the needle if luck breaks even. At inflated odds, the each-way matrix screams value, and the upside if he drops onto the right tow is obvious.With stamina assured and her mark workable, Kitty Furnival looks poised to run a big race and is an attractive each-way play.
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