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A Lucky 15 is a four-selection multiple covering every combination of singles, doubles, trebles and the fourfold acca. With meetings staged at Plumpton, Pontefract, Bath and Wolverhampton on Monday 20 October, there is a neat spread of codes and conditions to exploit: an afternoon jumps highlight at Plumpton, competitive Flat handicaps at Pontefract and Bath, and a primetime all-weather finale at Wolverhampton.
The approach here is to marry informed race-by-race insights with practical staking logic, seeking a balance between solid favourites and value plays that can lift the overall return even if not all legs oblige. Each pick below is delivered by a member of our BettingTips4You team, drawing on current marks, recent runs, equipment changes and race setups. The aim is to provide clear reasoning that stands up to scrutiny, so you can understand not only the tip but the “why” behind it.
Why this pick
Handicap debut at Musselburgh masked by a missed break and an inadequate 7f. Stiffer mile suits her stride; eased to OR 61 and now tried in blinkers. From stall five, Joanna Mason can secure position and use stamina up the straight—trip and headgear combination looks the key to progress.
Why this pick
Cheekpieces in place of blinkers sparked an immediate lift last time. Back over the same course-and-distance, now 1lb lower (OR 64). With Rossa Ryan likely to track the pace, the stiff finish should play to his sustained effort—profile screams “unfinished business” at this venue.
Why this pick
Won this race last year and returns 4lb lower after another Swinton Hurdle prep—connections clearly target this. Plumpton’s tight, right-handed rhythm suits his nimble style. With campaign continuity and a friendlier mark, track craft and energy preservation can set up a repeat strike.
Why this pick
All-weather form reads far better than turf; returns from a break on the same 67 mark as her solid Southwell second to Blinky. Barry McHugh’s inside-track nous helps at Dunstall Park—handy sit, conserve ground, kick late. Attractive price adds meaningful upside to the multiple.
This Lucky 15 blends a Plumpton course specialist (Tapley), a Pontefract improver up in trip (Resdev Time), a Bath returner with headgear gains (Wojtek), and a Wolverhampton all-weather player (Until Dawn). Each selection has a distinct edge, creating a logical, risk-balanced multiple with both solidity and price-driven upside.
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Today's Lucky 15 Tips
Tapley (4.10 Plumpton)
John Pentin; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Tapley appeals strongly at Plumpton given a near carbon-copy preparation to last year’s success in this very race. Suzy Smith’s eight-year-old arrives rated 4lb lower than when landing the prize twelve months ago, and crucially he again comes here after contesting the Swinton Handicap Hurdle at Haydock. He finished sixth in that valuable £80,000 heat this time, a performance that mirrors the path taken before his previous win. That continuity in campaign management looks deliberate, and it suggests the yard believe Tapley peaks when switching from a sharp spring handicap back to this autumn target over familiar contours.
The Plumpton layout—tight, right-handed and rhythm-dependent—suits a nimble hurdler who travels sweetly and uses the bends to maintain position. Tapley handled those specifics last season and now competes from a friendlier mark, which only increases his chance of repeating the dose. Smith’s operation know precisely what is required with this horse at this venue, and that tactical clarity matters in a race where track craft and energy preservation often decide the finish. With conditions comparable and no new structural questions to answer, Tapley’s proven template offers a compelling route to another big run.
RESDEV TIME – 2.33 Pontefract
Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Resdev Time shapes like a filly ready to take a significant step forward now granted a stiffer test at a mile around this uphill, galloping circuit. On handicap debut at Musselburgh she was beaten six lengths at 10/1, but that bare result hides two key factors: she fluffed the start and then found the sharp seven furlongs too quick for her stride. Her pedigree points towards eight furlongs and possibly a little further, so this move to a more demanding trip is entirely logical. The assessor has eased her a pound to an official rating of 61, trimming the task, while first-time blinkers are applied to sharpen her focus in the opening furlongs.
From stall five, Joanna Mason should have options: break alertly and hold a handy rail, or tuck in behind pace and mount a measured challenge entering the straight. The underfoot scenario looks no issue, and a more even tempo will play to her stamina rather than exposing her for speed. Form figures of 0334 for a two-year-old after only four runs imply there is still plenty to come, particularly with the M & D Easterby team placing her astutely. At around 18/1, she represents attractive each-way value and a lively component for the Lucky 15, with the headgear and trip combination poised to unlock improvement.
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WOJTEK – 3.25 Bath
Gram Dodd; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Wojtek returns to Bath with a profile that screams “unfinished business” after cheekpieces—swapping out the blinkers—delivered an immediate lift last time, when he finished a couple of lengths off the winner. That run suggested focus and tractability improved with the new headgear, and he lines up again over the same trip and on similar ground, but this time from a 1lb lower mark of 64. With only six starts under his belt, the Clive Cox-trained juvenile remains open to progress, and repeated exposure to this stiff, undulating track can tighten the nuts and bolts of his finishing effort.
The booking of Rossa Ryan is a further positive for a straightforward, pace-tracking ride. Tactically, Bath rewards those who sustain a run up the climb rather than committing too early, so settling within striking distance without expending excess energy is the brief. His recent form line—265054—hints at incremental gains despite a few learning runs, and that last outing was his cleanest piece of work to date. A small weight tweak, a headgear switch that clearly worked, and a return to the exact conditions that produced the bounce back make his claims solid. At around 10/3, he fits the role of a banker-style leg in the multiple, yet still offers scope for a touch of price resilience should the market focus elsewhere.
UNTIL DAWN – 7.30 Wolverhampton
Steve Harrington; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Until Dawn has an all-weather profile that contrasts sharply with her turf efforts, and a return to Dunstall Park looks timely after a near six-month absence. Alan Brown’s three-year-old filly is back off a mark of 67—the same rating she ran from when chasing home Blinky at Southwell in March. That piece of form has aged well, as the winner continued in good heart and registered placings off higher figures since. The implication is that Until Dawn’s second there sets a reliable standard for this level if she reproduces it under Tapeta lights.
Her sequence of 411275 shows a filly who found her feet on synthetics before hitting a ceiling on grass; the break can be viewed as a reset aimed squarely at re-energising that earlier all-weather sharpness. Barry McHugh knows how to navigate the inside gates at Wolverhampton, conserving ground on the bends and quickening off the final turn when the tempo lifts. The race distance, surface, and her proven ability to lie handy without over-racing combine to create favourable conditions for a positive comeback. At around 12/1, she looks a worthwhile swing for the Lucky 15, offering a price that can seriously enhance the overall return if she hits the frame—or better—on reappearance.
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