There’s nothing quite like a well-constructed Lucky 15 bet to liven up a Monday’s racing – and July 14th brings us four hand-picked selections from the expert panel at BettingTips4You, each chosen with precision and backed by solid form lines. This accumulator is built on value, class, and circumstance, drawing together runners with either a proven track record, favourable conditions, or serious ratings advantages.
With a mix of flat and jumps action, today’s quartet features unexposed improvers, tactical switch-ups and horses arriving in peak condition. Whether it’s the sharp drop in grade for a course specialist, a sprinter thriving under a penalty, or a chaser eyeing a hat-trick, each leg of this Lucky 15 has been carefully assessed. Expect power-packed finishes, sharp handicapping insight, and, with a bit of luck, a very profitable start to the week.
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Reasoning This Lucky 15 combines in-form selections with strong course records and well-placed entries. Novamay’s huge ratings edge, Centara’s dominance over fences, Great D’Ange’s perfect setup, and Spioradalta’s drop in class make for a powerful accumulator. Each leg has been handpicked by our experts for value, strategy and track conditions. | |
15:10 Ayr – Novamay
Herrin Kendrick; Racing Analyst at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Few performances in recent handicaps have matched the authority Novamay displayed when romping home by nine lengths at Ripon last week, and that domination puts her in a commanding position again at Ayr. She carries a 6lb penalty for that runaway victory, but it’s worth noting that Timeform’s weight-adjusted figures have her 12lb ahead of the next best on ratings in this field—an unusually wide margin that rarely goes unnoticed.
The strength of her latest effort is underlined not only by the margin but also the style—leading throughout on the near side rail, she quickened away smartly in the final stages. The time of the race supports the visual impression, suggesting she was operating well above the level expected in a typical Class 6 event. This time she steps up against older horses, but crucially, she retains the assistance of 5lb claimer Rhys Elliott, which effectively offsets her penalty.
Trainer Michael Dods has seen a marked upturn in fortunes after a quiet early summer, and Novamay’s recent surge reflects the current wellbeing of the yard. With entries lined up in the near future, it’s clear connections are eager to capitalise on her mark before reassessment comes into play. Her blend of speed, race fitness and momentum could prove decisive once again.
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14:50 Newton Abbot – Centara
Gram Dodd; National Hunt Specialist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
This summer has seen a notable transformation in Centara, who arrives at Newton Abbot looking to secure a third consecutive success over fences. The switch to chasing has evidently sparked a fresh lease of life in this seven-year-old, and his recent victories—especially the 11-length demolition over this very course and distance—speak volumes about his current mood and suitability for this configuration.
Trainer Paul Nicholls has kept the horse on a tight campaign schedule, clearly sensing there’s more to come while confidence is high. A 10lb rise in the handicap may look severe at first glance, but that’s balanced out by the continued use of Jay Tidball’s 5lb claim, which makes the task considerably more manageable. Given how smoothly he travelled and quickened away on his last outing here, there’s every chance he can absorb this revised mark.
Conditions are expected to mirror those of his prior wins, and with little in the field appearing progressive or consistent, Centara’s upward curve gives him a decisive edge. His attitude, recent record at the track, and the strategic use of a valuable claim make him a strong choice to keep the winning run alive.
16:20 Newton Abbot – Great D’Ange
Steve Harrington; Jumps Racing Columnist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
When field sizes shrink to just four runners, races are often decided by tactics and small margins—and Great D’Ange is a runner who looks primed to seize this kind of opportunity. Having gone close over this same course and trip only weeks ago, he’s now back with an unchanged mark and a clear shot at going one better.
Last time, the race was won by Limerick Leader, who stole a tactical march turning for home. Great D’Ange, though closing fast, just couldn’t reel him in before the post. However, the way he stayed on powerfully in the final stages suggested this slightly extended trip suits him ideally, and if ridden closer to the pace, he could reverse that outcome.
Now returning to familiar surroundings and with a reduced field to navigate, the key lies in his rider ensuring there’s no tactical error this time. The horse has proven himself well suited to the demands of Newton Abbot, and with fitness on his side and conditions identical to his near-miss, the opportunity for redemption is real. If judged correctly, this could be a very well-timed victory for the nine-year-old.
16:40 Ayr – Spioradalta
John Pentin; Sports Journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Few in this field come into the race with such a well-rounded profile as Spioradalta, who returns to Class 5 company after recent efforts in stronger contests that didn’t quite fall his way. His last win came at Ripon in May over 1m2f—his third start at that distance—and the manner of his finish, grinding out victory by a neck, suggested there was more to come from this turf-loving performer.
Two outings since, both at Class 4 level, saw him mid-pack at York and Beverley, where he perhaps didn’t benefit from the waiting tactics deployed. The return to a slightly easier grade, combined with a drop of 1lb in the weights, significantly improves his prospects here. More importantly, Rhys Elliott takes off another 5lb, bringing him to a mark where he should be very competitive.
Trainer Mark Walford appears to have timed this campaign smartly, placing the horse where he can capitalise on softer competition. The race setup should also help, as a stronger pace is likely to bring his stamina into play. With four wins already to his name on grass, and a return to more suitable circumstances, Spioradalta looks poised to strike again.
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