Lucky 15 Tips: Friday August 8 – Brighton Specialist, Class-Dropper & Well-Backed Contender Catch the Eye

Friday’s Lucky 15 brings together four strong each-way or win prospects across Brighton and Haydock. Our expert team has assessed form, track bias and race conditions to deliver a high-value multiple. With several of these runners benefiting from class drops, ideal ground or tactical setups, this combination looks built to deliver.

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2.00 Brighton – Notre Maison

Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
This may not have been her strongest campaign overall, but Notre Maison is capable of a better effort than her recent Salisbury performance suggests. Her most notable trait has always been her natural early speed, and with a favourable draw against limited front-running competition, she might just dictate terms from the outset. In this field, only The Defiant is expected to press the pace, but from gate one, Notre Maison could easily secure an uncontested lead. That type of scenario is ideal around this sharp track and would mirror the race shape when she scored over this same course and distance last summer.

Dropping down the weights, the filly has now reached a mark which gives her a more realistic chance. With most of her rivals either inconsistent or stepping up in grade, this looks a soft enough contest for a rebound. Her trainer has kept her ticking over and she should strip fitter than she did last time. Brighton suits frontrunners who can maintain their rhythm downhill, and with the ground likely to be on the faster side, Notre Maison looks to be back in her preferred set-up.

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3.30 Brighton – Charlie Mason

Steve Harrington; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
The Brighton Bullet may not carry Listed status, but for a £20,000 Class 4 sprint it often throws up a specialist performance – and Charlie Mason has the course know-how to make a real impact here. This is a track where familiarity counts, and while many of these are visiting for the first time, Charlie Mason’s stable are no strangers to this unique course.

He comes into this race off the back of two encouraging placed efforts – firstly over a trip too sharp to show his full potential, and then at Ffos Las, where he encountered interference but still finished strongly. Now dropping slightly in class and returning to the venue where his profile fits best, the setup seems ideal for a peak effort. Importantly, the three-day turnaround shouldn’t be an issue – his latest win came on a similarly short rest.

Also in the same yard are Mumayaz and Cindy Lou Who, but signs point to Charlie Mason being the main hope. He gets first-choice rider Jack Doughty and is just 1lb below his last winning mark. His draw and likely race tempo should allow him to settle and strike late off a strong pace. Brighton often rewards this type of profile.

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6.15 Haydock – Nibras Gold

Gram Dodd; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
A gelding enjoying a productive summer, Nibras Gold brings a winning profile into this 1m4f handicap and appears poised for another big effort. James Owen’s seven-year-old has already notched two Flat wins from his last three appearances and also ran with credit over hurdles in between. That mix of stamina and recent success underlines his well-being.

He’s only 4lb higher than when scoring at Beverley in June, and that form has already been backed up by the third from that contest going on to win next time. While Haydock represents a slightly different test, the nature of the race — featuring several exposed types and few improvers — suggests he’s found another suitable opening. Owen’s team has been operating efficiently this season, and the booking today looks tactically positive.

The drying ground and likely strong early tempo should play to his strengths, particularly given how well he finishes off his races. He’s a horse with a strong cruising speed who can handle pressure and dig deep when required. He also remains lightly raced for his age on the Flat, and there’s still a sense he might have one or two more big days ahead of him in staying handicaps.

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8.30 Haydock – Paws For Thought

John Pentin; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Although his recent figures might seem uninspiring at first glance, Paws For Thought looks dangerously well treated now and conditions appear to have come together for a revival. Having slid to a mark of 73, he’s dropped a full 11lb from the peak of his 2023 campaign. That in itself is noteworthy, but more importantly, his recent run at Chester suggested he’s close to hitting form.

That ninth-placed finish doesn’t tell the full story – he met trouble in running, was shuffled back at a crucial point and never truly got the chance to open up. Despite this, he still travelled with intent through the race and shaped like one ready to strike. Haydock is a track where he’s already enjoyed success, and crucially that win came over today’s trip under very similar conditions.

Donald McCain rarely keeps horses on the Flat unless he believes they can deliver, and the fact that Paws For Thought is dropped into a 0–75 event for the first time in his career shows the stable means business. With Charlie Maggs claiming a valuable 5lb and forecast ground to suit, this represents a prime opportunity for the seven-year-old to bounce back. His previous SPs – as short as 4/1 in stronger company – also indicate that the stable hasn’t lost faith.ars.

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