The NFL regular season’s final week brings its usual chaos, with playoff spots and seeding on the line in dramatic matchups. The must watch match of the wee is Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos and our NFL expert has provided his best bets. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
NFL Regular Season | Jan 5, 2025 at 9:25pm UK at Empower Field at Mile High
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Predictions
Can the Chiefs Keep It Close Against a Broncos Side Seeking Redemption?
- Denver’s defence leads the NFL with 58 sacks, showcasing their ability to disrupt opposing offences.
- When these teams met earlier this season, only 30 points were scored, hinting at the potential for another grind-it-out affair.
- The Chiefs’ backup quarterback, Carson Wentz, provides veteran leadership and stability even in the absence of Patrick Mahomes.
Our Tips
Kansas City Chiefs +10.5 | |
10/11 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Kansas City covering the +10.5 spread seems likely despite missing stars. Carson Wentz’s experience stabilises the offence, while defensive depth counters Denver’s inconsistent attack and playoff pressure. | |
Totals Over 40 | |
10/11 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning The rematch may surpass 40 points. Kansas City’s offensive adjustments and Denver’s urgency after losses could push scoring higher, despite defensive strengths and previous low-scoring history. |
The Kansas City Chiefs face the Denver Broncos in a match that promises to challenge both teams in unique ways. While Kansas City have already secured the AFC’s top seed and a bye in the playoffs, Denver are still grappling with their form after back-to-back losses. With the Chiefs resting several key players and the Broncos looking to salvage their season, this encounter offers a fascinating dynamic of strategy and resilience. But can Kansas City’s depth prevail, or will Denver’s desperation edge them out?
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Best Bet: Kansas City Chiefs +10.5
Backing Kansas City to cover the +10.5 spread feels like the most logical play, despite the notable absence of stars such as Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and Isiah Pacheco. While some might argue the Chiefs are leaving too much firepower on the bench, the presence of a savvy veteran like Carson Wentz under centre mitigates the risk of a complete collapse. Wentz’s experience and ability to manage the game effectively should provide the Chiefs with enough stability to stay competitive.
The Broncos, while defensively solid, have not been explosive offensively. Bo Nix has shown flashes of brilliance, but consistency eludes Denver’s offence. Moreover, the pressure is mounting as Sean Payton’s team stares down the possibility of missing out on the playoffs. Their recent two-game skid highlights vulnerabilities that Kansas City can exploit even without their A-listers.
It’s also worth considering the Chiefs’ defensive depth. Even without Chris Jones, Kansas City’s defence is more than capable of containing a Broncos offence that leans on methodical drives rather than flashy big plays. Denver’s 8th-ranked run defence and league-leading sack tally may seem daunting, but the Chiefs’ game plan will likely lean towards controlling the clock and avoiding risky plays.
Another factor is history. The earlier meeting between these teams this season produced a paltry 30 total points. Denver’s inability to dominate a short-handed Chiefs team then is a red flag for their chances now, especially with an inflated 10.5-point spread. Even if Denver take the win, it’s hard to envision a blowout given their offensive inconsistencies. The Chiefs, despite missing key players, boast enough depth to ensure a closer contest.
Second Prediction: Totals Over 40
While the first meeting between these teams was a defensive grind, this rematch has the potential to surpass the modest 40-point total. Kansas City’s offensive adjustments with Carson Wentz could inject some unpredictability, particularly if their running game opens up opportunities for efficient passing.
Denver, on the other hand, are desperate to prove themselves after two straight losses. Their offence, while not prolific, is capable of capitalising on the absence of key defensive players for Kansas City. Bo Nix, despite his ups and downs, can orchestrate scoring drives when given time. With Kansas City potentially struggling to maintain their usual defensive rigidity, Denver could find ways to put points on the board.
Additionally, both teams have reasons to push the tempo. The Broncos need to avoid slipping further into irrelevance, while the Chiefs might utilise their depth to keep the game competitive. A slightly more open contest could nudge the totals past the 40-point mark, especially if Denver break out of their offensive slump. It’s a risky call given the defensive strengths on both sides, but the circumstances surrounding this matchup lean towards an outcome where the scoreboard gets a bit busier.
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