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Saturday at the Curragh brings a fascinating blend of depth and scale to the two-year-old scene, with the Goffs Million (7f, 15:45) anchoring a card that leans hard on juvenile quality and tactical nuance. This is the fourth running of the sales race and it has yet to produce either a winning favourite or a victor from Aidan O’Brien’s team, which adds an extra layer of intrigue to a field stacked with mixed profiles, varying experience levels and contrasting draw positions across a sprawling line-up. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers for the Goffs Million on Saturday September 27 at Curragh (15:45).
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Horse Racing betting tips: Goffs Million tips
Could a class filly reclaim her momentum in a wide-open Goffs Million?
- Composing sets the field’s benchmark on an official mark of 108 and drops into a set-up that promises a lead to track rather than a solo into the wind.
- Aidan O’Brien’s team are running at 25% across the last 14 days, signalling stable momentum for a quick rebound.
- The last two winners were drawn high (17 and 14), which suits Green Sense in 22, but a busy pace map should reduce pure draw reliance for those with turn of foot.
Best Bet for Goffs Million – Curragh
Goffs Million at the Curragh 15:45: Composing to win | |
4/5 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Composing’s Moyglare effort had excuses in a strong headwind after forcing the pace. Back in the Goffs Million, she should get cover, settle and use her class late. With Aidan O’Brien’s yard thriving and a race shape to suit, she’s primed to bounce back over seven furlongs. | |
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With several stables fielding multiple contenders and a draw map that stretches from the far rail to the stand side, the race projects as a test of patience, track craft and a late, measured turn of foot rather than an all-out drag race from the gates.
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The narrative has obvious focal points. Composing arrives at the head of the market despite a Moyglare blip, her handler adamant there were valid excuses against a pronounced headwind that softened front-runners on the day. Green Sense, drawn high in stall 22, brings Group 2 credentials from Chantilly and a Phoenix Stakes third, while Dorset reverts from the National Stakes and retains enough back-class to be a serious factor at seven furlongs. From Britain, Al Shaham looks the most plausible raider after a big Ripon figure two starts back, provided the new trip and underfoot ease help him rebound.
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Pace and placement will also be shaped by seasoned operators such as Stop The Nation (nearside box 33), and strong recent winners like Summer Is Tomorrow and Phenomenal Filly add fresh, progressive energy. In short, the shape of the race should reward the filly or colt who finds cover, relaxes through the midpoint, and strikes decisively crossing the final hundred yards.
Best Bet for Goffs Million at the Curragh 15:45: Composing to win
Here at bettingtips4you we keep things deliberately simple: one race, one tip. We prioritise quality over quantity because a single, clear selection is easier for readers to follow and allows us to remain fully accountable for outcomes. For today’s feature at the Curragh, our strongest view is Composing to land the Goffs Million.
The case for Composing is built on class, context and set-up. She was sent off an even-money favourite for the Moyglare Stud Stakes and faded late after making the running into a stiff headwind. Aidan O’Brien’s post-race take was unequivocal: being exposed on the front into those conditions compromised her finishing effort, rather than indicating any regression. The decision to turn her out quickly is telling, and her official mark of 108 sets a clear standard in this field. Importantly, the likely race shape here is very different: with a near-cavalry of rivals and ample pace angles, she should get a lead to sit behind rather than being forced to control from the outset. That single tactical switch could unlock the finish we saw earlier in the campaign.
The rider change is noteworthy rather than worrying. With Ryan Moore out and Wayne Lordan engaged at Newmarket, Ronan Whelan takes over on a day when Aidan O’Brien’s yard are operating at 25% in the last fortnight. That stable health matters in a sales race where fine margins decide things late. The draw is less than ideal on paper—stall 7 is away from the very high numbers that have produced the last two winners (17 and 14)—but the field geometry this year looks less polarised, and Composing’s ability to latch onto a lead and pounce should negate extremes.
Against her, Green Sense brings robustness and a helpful box, Dorset owns strong form lines, and hardy types like Take Charge Star, Chicago Call, Summer Is Tomorrow and Stop The Nation will keep the pot boiling; nevertheless, Composing’s ceiling remains the highest in this company, and her trainer’s confidence that the Moyglare did not show her true running carries weight. With cover, rhythm and a later move, she has the tools to reassert her superiority at seven furlongs.
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