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Newbury’s 2:40 Dubai Duty Free Handicap provides the spine of today’s ITV coverage, sitting at the heart of a varied afternoon that mixes established handicappers with younger horses on the climb. The race is staged over 1m2f, a trip that places equal emphasis on track position and the ability to quicken once the field straightens. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers for the Dubai Duty Free Handicap on Saturday September 20 at Newbury (14:40).
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Horse Racing betting tips: Dubai Duty Free Handicap tips
Can a well-bred improver regain his spring sparkle back at ten furlongs?
- Karl Burke’s team are in roaring form across the past fortnight, enhancing confidence behind Almosh’her’s drop in trip
- Spring wins at Kempton and York signposted serious handicap potential before ambitious summer targets stretched stamina
- Jamie Spencer takes over for Wathnan Racing as the horse returns to 1m2f after 1m6f proved a bridge too far at York
Best Bet for Dubai Duty Free Handicap – Newbury
Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket 15:00: Kansas to win | |
12/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Kansas brings rock-solid Group sprint form, a powerful finish and a profile crying out for six furlongs. Trainer form is strong, the jockey is in rhythm, and his recent second over five suggests extra yardage unlocks more. With reliability and setup aligned, he’s a value-driven pick to peak today. |
Top Betting Offers To Take Advantage Of Today
Today's Horse Racing Odds Boosts | |
Several runners arrive with compelling angles: Defiance step back in distance with William Buick drafted in; Night Step and Dante’s Lad are three-year-olds still learning but improving; Mustazeed return to a course and distance that clearly suit; and Our Golden One are looking for a scenario that keeps the ground on the slow side. The presence of seasoned handicappers alongside lightly raced types suggests an honest gallop, with pace likely from more than one quarter and connections mindful that the far rail can become a useful ally if tempo and rhythm align.
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Karl Burke’s yard have been operating at full tilt in recent days, while Jamie Spencer’s booking for Wathnan Racing’s Almosh’her adds a layer of intrigue given how the race sets up tactically. There is also a spread of trainers using fresh rider combinations, from Sean Dylan Bowen linking with Owen Burrows on Night Step to Danny Tudhope renewing a partnership with the John and Thady Gosden team aboard Theory Of Tides. With the draw distributing pace across the line and a handful returning from stiff assignments, small margins are likely to matter. In such contests, the balance between stamina and agility at 10 furlongs often decides the argument in the final 200 yards.
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Best Bet for Dubai Duty Free Handicap at Newbury 2:40: Almosh’her to win
Here at bettingtips4you we only provide a single prediction rather than many different ones, as we believe in quality and not quantity and only give out the best tip per event. This also makes it easier for readers who do not need to juggle multiple options, and it improves accountability because we can clearly evaluate how our selections perform over time.
Almosh’her look primed to re-energise his spring progress now that he drops in both class and trip. After switching to Karl Burke in early May and being gelded on 1 July, he produced a neck win at Kempton over 1m4f before following up at York on 14 May when edging out Stressfree in a 1m4f Class 2, a result that signposted a horse with the gears for top-end handicaps. Two subsequent assignments stretched him: a strongly run 1m4f at Ascot and a searching 1m6f at York where he failed to see it out. Those efforts look more like context than regression, especially given the stable’s current momentum, with Burke sending out a flurry of recent winners.
The return to 1m2f is central to the case. His run style — travelling smoothly and using a late thrust — should be sharper over this trip, and the step down from summer’s deepest handicaps into slightly calmer waters reads as a deliberate reset. Jamie Spencer’s knack for conserving horse and committing late is a good tactical fit, particularly if the race develops down the centre before a decisive move inside the final furlong. Owner Wathnan Racing regularly target these valuable handicaps, and their colt’s profile suggests there is still untapped upside at this distance.
The opposition commands respect. Defiance bring consistent efforts and a high-class rider booking, but the shorter trip is a question rather than a certainty. Night Step’s sequence since handicapping (2112) shows momentum, yet this represents a new level of competition. Dante’s Lad continue to rise and nearly landed a York 1m2f prize, though he still has to prove he can deliver the same punch against older rivals. Mustazeed are dangerous back here but have to lift on recent evidence, and several others either want slower terrain or arrive from quieter spells. Against that backdrop, Almosh’her’s blend of early-summer substance, a targeted distance switch, and a stable in vibrant form offers the most coherent route to victory.
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