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Saturday’s card at Newmarket places the famous 2m2f Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap centre stage at 15:40, a heritage contest where flat specialists mix with elite jumping yards. The shape of this year’s renewal again leans towards dual-purpose operations, with W P Mullins, Joseph Patrick O’Brien, and other Irish raiders sending powerful teams to engage a deep home defence. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers for the Preis von Europa on Sunday October 5 at Newmarket (15:40).
Horse racing betting tips: Cesarewitch tips
Will Stamina Or Speed Decide Newmarket’s Marathon This Afternoon?
- Jumps yards have won the last seven renewals, including three trained by W P Mullins.
- Belgravian enjoys a 9lb swing with Reverend Hubert compared with the Cesarewitch Trial.
- Dawn Rising is 13lb better with Alphonse Le Grande and 15lb with Manxman than last year.
Winter Fog’s staying profile suits the Cesarewitch: proven hurdles engine, Flat mileage, and late kick. Willie Mullins trains. Pace, tractable style, and workable mark combine to make 14/1 value.
Recent runnings have repeatedly rewarded National Hunt stables and that pattern is reflected in the market, the declarations, and the tactical complexion expected on the Rowley Mile.
The field is large, the pace angles are plentiful, and the draw looks balanced enough to let true stayers assert late. Reverend Hubert returns after an emphatic course-and-distance trial win, Belgravian is back with a favourable weight shift, and Dawn Rising enjoys notable pulls with rivals who finished in front of him twelve months ago.
Alphonse Le Grande also lines up, while Beylerbeyi, Fireblade, and Manxman arrive with compelling recent figures. Layered through that is the Mullins squad featuring Bunting, Hipop De Loire and the veteran Winter Fog, each bringing strong staying credentials. With ITV covering, conditions set fair, and a broad range of running styles in opposition, this is a proper test of patience, positioning and deep reserves.
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Best Bet for the Cesarewitch Handicap – Newmarket 15:40
Here at BettingTips4You we prioritise quality over quantity. We provide a single, clearly signposted selection per event, so readers never have to sift through conflicting alternatives. That approach also keeps us accountable, because one definitive pick per race makes profit and loss easy to track.
Best Bet: Winter Fog to win – 15:40 Newmarket
Why back Winter Fog today
The case for Winter Fog hinges on a rare blend of freshness on the Flat and proven stamina over obstacles. Despite being an eleven-year-old, he is scarcely exposed on the level, with only three Flat runs recorded and a recent win in August pointing to a horse still operating with zest. His new turf mark of 85 looks workable given his jumps ability, and the race notes emphasise he is a “smart hurdler” who has not been hit hard with this opening Flat mark in Britain. That matters in a Cesarewitch where the last seven runnings have gone to yards dominated by jumpers, and W P Mullins has been a regular architect of those successes.
The trainer’s current return is solid in the published figures, with his last-fortnight record 2-9 (22%) in one data cut, and a broader profile on the Winter Fog page showing 11-35 (31%) in the same timeframe. Both snapshots underline a stable sending out winners. Tactically, the Rowley Mile’s long home straight rewards horses who travel within themselves and then lengthen once the tempo bites; Winter Fog’s hurdling background suggests he will conserve energy, secure rhythm, and keep finding. The jockey booking of Sean D Bowen gives continuity with a rider who understands a measured ride, and his recent 1-13 (8%) fortnight shows he is sharp and active, even if the raw percentage is modest.
Opposition strength is obvious. Reverend Hubert arrives off an eight-length demolition in the trial but must defuse a 4lb penalty, while Belgravian now enjoys a 9lb swing with that winner and carries a “very low weight”, which Nicola Currie believes is a major positive. Dawn Rising has a compelling set-up too: beaten only three and three-quarter lengths last year and now 13lb better off with Alphonse Le Grande and 15lb with Manxman, the differential is sizeable. Yet Winter Fog’s profile fits the way this handicap is often won: uncompromising stamina, proven jumping engine, light Flat mileage, and a mark that could underestimate latent ability. In a field stacked with narratives, he owns the most persuasive combination of staying power, trainer nous, and handicapping upside at the price.
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