Monday’s racing offers a packed programme with competitive handicaps and a clutch of informative novice races that could throw up future stakes performers. For those looking to turn the day into something more exciting, we’ve put together a three-leg horse racing accumulator that blends proven specialists with progressive younger types. Each leg of this treble has been selected by one of our BettingTips4You experts, and together they create an appealing combination across two venues: Brighton and Kempton. Below, our panel explains the reasoning behind each of the three selections.
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Reasoning Today’s accumulator combines proven course form, class, and progressive handicapping. Krancjar’s Brighton record gives him a standout edge, Flash Of Fire promises more after a perfect debut, and Falmouth Lad is improving rapidly at a mile. Together, these three create a balanced multiple with serious potential for rewarding returns. | |
16:12 Brighton – Krancjar
John Pentin; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
When horses develop an affinity with a particular track, punters ignore it at their peril, and Krancjar’s record at Brighton is a case in point. The four-year-old has made five appearances here, hitting the frame on each occasion and landing two of them. That course form is critical on a circuit with such unique undulations, and his balance and confidence at this venue consistently shine through.
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He arrives chasing a hat-trick, having scored here before following up with a smart display on Chelmsford’s Polytrack. That adaptability underlines his current wellbeing, and the fact that connections wheel him back out a week later indicates that he has taken his exertions in stride. The 5lb penalty for his latest success is countered by Jack Callan’s claim, keeping him fairly treated against rivals who are still finding their feet.
George Boughey has been astute in placing him where his strengths matter most, and today’s 7f handicap looks another suitable test. In a race where several opponents have questions over consistency or suitability to the track, Krancjar’s familiarity with the Brighton contours can again make the decisive difference. He looks well set to continue his excellent sequence at this seaside course.
16:55 Kempton – Flash Of Fire
Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Few two-year-olds make as striking an impression on debut as Flash Of Fire did at Doncaster in July. Facing experienced rivals as the sole newcomer in a field of eight, she travelled fluently, settled quickly, and showed admirable resolution to edge ahead late on. That victory has been strongly endorsed since, with runner-up Queen Tamara winning in style next time out, boosting the form significantly.
Flash Of Fire’s pedigree screams quality. By Wootton Bassett and out of Group 3-winning mare Lightening Quick, she traces back to Lightening Pearl, Sheikh Fahad’s first Group 1 winner in the Cheveley Park Stakes. Her breeding suggests both precocity and scope for further progress, and her entries in the Rockfel Stakes and Fillies’ Mile indicate her stable holds her in high regard.
Returning here under a penalty, she faces a Polytrack test at Kempton, but her professionalism at Doncaster bodes well for handling the new surface. Oisin Murphy retains the ride and knows how to judge the fractions in novice events at this course. With tactical pace, class, and a strong family background all in her favour, Flash Of Fire looks ready to confirm her potential and take another step towards pattern company.
18:00 Kempton – Falmouth Lad
Gram Dodd; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Falmouth Lad has taken time to find his stride, but the switch back to a mile has unlocked clear improvement. After four unproductive runs over 10 furlongs, he looked a different proposition when dropped in trip, running well two starts back before getting the job done at Newmarket last time. That success came courtesy of a positive ride, allowed to bowl along from the front before showing enough tenacity to hold off the late challengers.
The narrow margin of victory ensured only a minor rise in the weights, leaving him still well placed to progress. His pedigree points to stamina, but crucially he is beginning to settle better, which makes him more effective tactically at this trip. With Oisin Murphy booked again, his ability to control the tempo from the saddle becomes an asset in a race lacking obvious front-runners.
Trainer Andrew Balding has developed a knack for nurturing horses through early inconsistencies, and Falmouth Lad seems to be benefitting from that patient handling. This Kempton handicap offers another opportunity to build confidence, and given his profile as a horse on the up, he should be capable of following up his breakthrough success with another bold display.
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