Monday’s racing brings a blend of novice contests, handicaps and intriguing returners to the track, with Windsor and Brighton hosting some of the day’s more appealing events. For punters seeking a focused approach, we have built an horse racing accumulator based on three selections that all look capable of going close. Our panel of BettingTips4You experts – John Pentin, Herrin Kendrick and Gram Dodd – have each picked out one runner, and together these combine into an accumulator that balances proven ability with potential improvement.
Windsor features prominently in the first two tips, where both an unbeaten filly and an improving handicapper take their chances, while Brighton provides the final leg with a course specialist lurking on a handy mark. Below, each of our experts explains their reasoning in detail, highlighting the key factors that support their choices and why this treble makes for an attractive play today.
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Monday’s Accumulator | |
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Reasoning Today’s accumulator brings together three horses with strong profiles: Lodge, who impressed on debut and looks capable of following up at Windsor; Nelson Gate, improving with every start and close to a breakthrough; and A Pint Of Bear, a proven Brighton performer now well-handicapped. Together, they form a well-balanced multiple bet. | |
17:00 Windsor – Lodge
John Pentin; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Lodge wasted no time in making a strong impression when scoring on debut at Ffos Las, showing natural pace and professionalism despite still learning on the job. That performance, where she stretched clear to win by two and a half lengths, gave the impression of a filly with considerable scope to progress. The daughter of Churchill had the race in hand from a long way out, and although she still displayed hints of inexperience, the manner in which she put the field away suggests she has the right attitude for racing.
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Carrying a 7lb penalty is never straightforward, yet her style of victory implied she had more left in the tank. The continuity of having Billy Loughnane back in the saddle strengthens her case, as their successful partnership remains intact. While Sapphire Princess has been running consistently without winning, her record lacks the cutting edge that Lodge showed at the first time of asking. With her powerful yard often producing juveniles who improve markedly from their initial run, further progress looks very likely. For that reason, Lodge stands out as the one to beat in what doesn’t appear to be the most demanding novice contest.
19:30 Windsor – Nelson Gate
Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Nelson Gate has taken time to find his stride but his recent efforts strongly hint that a breakthrough success is imminent. After struggling as a youngster on unsuitably soft ground at Goodwood and in a Polytrack maiden at Kempton, he has looked a different proposition this season. His run at Windsor in May was a turning point, when a step up in trip combined with the addition of blinkers transformed him into a more competitive force. He finished less than two lengths behind a rival who has gone on to frank the form by winning again, underlining the value of that display.
Five days ago at Kempton, he almost gained his reward, hitting the front late only to lose out by a nose in a tight finish. That effort confirmed both his stamina over the mile-and-a-half trip and his growing consistency. Returning to Windsor off the same mark of 60, he now has the benefit of Hector Crouch, who partnered him for the first time in that Kempton near miss. With his profile suggesting he is still improving and the track evidently to his liking, Nelson Gate looks very well placed to get his head in front.
15:50 Brighton – A Pint Of Bear
Gram Dodd; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
A Pint Of Bear returns from an absence, but that should not deter interest, given his previous record of running well when fresh. The grey gelding showed his liking for Brighton last summer when striking over this very course and distance, and he now reappears from a mark 10lb lower than when successful here. That makes him an undeniably dangerous contender on handicapping terms, particularly as he often runs with determination at this venue.
Although he has been off the track for some time, his trainer Scott Dixon has his yard in fair order, highlighted by recent winners. That context makes it more reasonable to think that A Pint Of Bear could be ready to perform despite the layoff. His earlier campaign last year showed he was kept busy, so a break may even have freshened him up. At his best, he has the turn of foot to make an impact in this sort of Class 6 contest, and if anywhere is going to coax out that ability again, Brighton is the place. With course form, a favourable weight and a stable beginning to find rhythm, he looks a value inclusion in today’s accumulator.
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