Golf Betting Tips: Valspar Championship predictions, preview and best bets

The Florida Swing of the PGA Tour reaches its conclusion this week at the Valspar Championship, held at the Copperhead Course in Innisbrook Resort. Read on for the complete preview and tips and make sure to check out the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.

Golf betting tips: Valspar Championship

Can Precision and Putting Make the Difference at Innisbrook?

• The last eight winners at Innisbrook have averaged a ranking of 7.63 for Strokes Gained: Approach, highlighting the importance of precision iron play.
• Over 65% of past champions have ranked inside the top 20 for Putting Average, reinforcing the significance of a strong performance on the greens.
• The par-four 16th has been the hardest hole in five of the last six renewals, often proving decisive in determining the tournament outcome.

Our Tips

Known for its tree-lined fairways and undulating terrain, this par-71 course stretches to 7,340 yards and consistently ranks as one of the most challenging stops on the PGA Tour calendar.

Unlike some of the more open and wind-exposed Florida layouts, Innisbrook demands accuracy off the tee, with dogleg fairways and dense rough penalising wayward drives. The course’s four par fives provide the best scoring opportunities, while the final stretch—dubbed “The Snake Pit”—is among the toughest closing sequences in golf. The 16th, a treacherous par four with water lurking right and no safe bailout, has repeatedly been the most difficult hole in recent renewals.

With a field featuring several of the world’s top players, including Justin Thomas, Tommy Fleetwood, and Xander Schauffele, the competition promises to be fierce. But course history suggests that precision iron play and a hot putter will be the key ingredients for success. Defending champion Peter Malnati triumphed last year with a standout performance on the greens, while previous winners have often ranked inside the top 10 for Strokes Gained: Approach and Putting.

As the tournament gets underway, the focus will be on those who can navigate the tight fairways and find the small, fast Bermuda greens with consistency. With Augusta looming just weeks away, a strong performance here could serve as the perfect preparation for players looking to peak at the right time.

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Best Bet: Xander Schauffele to Win

Xander Schauffele stands out as a prime contender for the Valspar Championship, given his well-rounded game and ability to thrive in demanding conditions. His recent form suggests he is playing some of the most consistent golf of his career, and the Copperhead Course appears to be an ideal fit for his strengths.

One of the key aspects of Schauffele’s game that makes him a strong pick is his precision with approach shots. Success at Innisbrook has historically been linked to elite iron play, with the last eight winners averaging a ranking of 7.63 in Strokes Gained: Approach. Schauffele has been one of the most consistent performers in this category, regularly ranking among the best on tour when it comes to hitting greens in regulation.

Additionally, his putting has shown significant improvement in recent months, a crucial factor on the fast and tricky Bermuda greens of Innisbrook. Last year’s winner, Peter Malnati, ranked third in Strokes Gained: Putting, and recent champions have typically excelled with the flat stick. If Schauffele can maintain his current form on the greens, he has the potential to gain crucial strokes on the field.

Another reason to favour Schauffele is his ability to perform under pressure. The closing stretch at Copperhead, particularly the notorious Snake Pit, has decided many tournaments over the years. His calm demeanour and strategic approach should serve him well when navigating the tough final holes, where avoiding mistakes is just as important as making birdies.

With his combination of ball-striking ability, improved putting, and a track record of contending in strong fields, Schauffele is well-positioned to claim victory at the Valspar Championship. His game suits the demands of the course perfectly, and given his form, this could be the week he adds another title to his resume.

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