Golf Betting Tips: US Open predictions, preview and best bets

As the golfing calendar hits a critical juncture, attention turns squarely to Oakmont Country Club in Pennsylvania, where the 125th edition of the US Open gets underway. Read on for our expert preview and to find the best tips and analysis and don’t miss out on the best bookmaker offers as listed below.

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Golf betting tips: US Open Predictions

What Awaits at Oakmont’s Fiery Greens This Week?
  • Jon Rahm ranks at +2.460 in SG: Total, with 1.519 of that coming from tee to green—crucial on Oakmont’s demanding terrain.
  • He averages 315.9 yards off the tee with 62.5% accuracy, a rare combination ideal for Oakmont’s narrow fairways.
  • His one-putt rate stands at 38.19%, signalling form on Oakmont’s slick, sloping greens.
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Our Tips

Jon Rahm to Win the 2025 US Open
11/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Jon Rahm’s blend of distance, accuracy and composure on the greens make him an ideal contender at Oakmont. With top-tier Strokes Gained metrics and a reliable putting stroke, he matches perfectly with the demands of this venue. His scoring efficiency and all-round strength point toward a serious title challenge this week.

This tournament, traditionally a showcase of attrition and nerve, unfolds once again on a course so synonymous with unforgiving challenges that its name alone strikes caution into the hearts of even the most decorated professionals.

Set against the backdrop of a meticulously restored layout, Oakmont presents a classical yet cruel test. The greens, now expanded and restored to their original form by Gill Hanse’s 2023 rework, roll fast and unforgiving. False fronts and punishing contours ensure no respite, and the notorious church pew bunkers add psychological as well as strategic pressure. Measuring over 7,370 yards as a par-70, with two par-5s exceeding 600 yards, this venue is tailored to expose even the smallest weaknesses.

Past winners here have walked away bloodied but victorious, with Oakmont offering little to those who lack power, precision, and poise. It’s not just about distance—though that helps—but about a complete game that can survive and thrive in an environment where even two-putting is a form of attack. Softened by early-week rain, the layout might lose some fire, but its venom will persist, especially with narrow fairways and rough that punishes like few others on tour.

With every hole capable of wrecking a scorecard, Oakmont will demand more than just good form—it will call for mettle and mastery.

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Best Bet: Jon Rahm to Win the 2025 US Open

At a venue that rewards the relentless over the reckless, Jon Rahm emerges as the player with the ideal blend of traits to conquer Oakmont’s subtle brutality. While the course will ask questions of every part of the game, it’s clear that the answer must come from someone with unwavering strength tee to green, and Rahm’s profile suggests he’s perfectly placed to respond.

His current numbers reveal an outstanding all-round game: ranking impressively with a Strokes Gained: Total figure of +2.460, bolstered by a solid +1.006 Off the Tee and +0.650 in Approach. These translate to exceptional consistency, with his driving distance at 315.9 yards and a fairways hit rate of 62.5%, offering a combination of length and sufficient control that’s vital on Oakmont’s narrow avenues. His ability to find greens at a clip of 63.89% demonstrates that he’s striking his irons with precision, essential when approaching the firm, elevated putting surfaces here.

Perhaps most importantly, his short game, often a differentiator at the US Open, is more reliable than not. A scrambling rate close to 60% and a sand save rate of 55.56% show he’s capable of salvaging scores under pressure. Though not leading in SG: Around the Green (-0.137), Rahm makes up for it with superb putting stats, including an average of just 28.63 putts per round and a one-putt percentage of 38.19%, both signs that his poa annua putting will hold up under the spotlight.

If history at Oakmont teaches us that composure, ball-striking, and a sprinkle of brilliance are key, Rahm’s toolkit looks tailor-made for the job. With the weather softening conditions slightly, Rahm’s power game gives him a strong edge, and his overall consistency this season positions him as the man most likely to handle the unique strain that Oakmont inflicts.

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Herrin Kendrick
Herrin Kendrick is a sports journalist with 10 years of experience in the sports betting industry. His work has been referenced by many sports publications over the years. Sport passionate.