As the final major of the golfing calendar begins, Royal Portrush once again takes centre stage, luring the world’s finest to its wild and wondrous shores in Northern Ireland. Read on for our expert preview and to find the best tips and analysis and don’t miss out on the best bookmaker offers as listed below.
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Golf betting tips: The Open Championship Predictions
Can Class and Control Overpower the Elements at Royal Portrush?
- Jon Rahm’s Total Strokes Gained this season is 2.642, with strong contributions from both Off-the-Tee (1.004) and Approach (1.153).
- Rahm has placed inside the top 15 in all three majors this year and inside the top 7 in three of his last four Opens.
- His putting stats remain solid, with an average of 29.92 putts per round and a one-putt rate of 32.87% this season.
Our Tips
Ludvig Aberg to Win the BMW Championship | |
20/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Ludvig Aberg’s blend of length, accuracy, and elite long-iron play makes him an ideal fit for the demanding Caves Valley test. Recent form is strong, with two top-10s in his last three starts, and his proven success on comparable courses reinforces his winning credentials this week. |
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The Dunluce Links, sculpted along the coast, delivers a brutal yet beautiful stage, where coastal winds, precision demands, and course nuance combine for a supreme test of nerve and skill.
The Open 2025 gets underway early, with the first tee shots struck at 6:35am on Thursday, setting in motion four days of top-tier competition on one of the sport’s most captivating layouts. Royal Portrush, only hosting its third Open, has undergone slight refinements since Shane Lowry’s triumphant home win in 2019. Strategic bunkering, thicker native grasses, and new championship tees mean that while the course still rewards imagination, it punishes hesitation.
With a field brimming with world-class names, the intrigue only heightens. Rory McIlroy returns to his homeland with unfinished business after a missed cut in 2019, while defending champion Xander Schauffele seeks back-to-back titles—a feat not achieved since Harrington in 2008. The weather promises a softer opening day with light rain, though the wind is not expected to cause havoc, keeping scoring possibilities in play.
Several players arrive in sparkling touch. Recent Scottish Open victor Chris Gotterup proved that form from The Renaissance Club can translate to links challenges, while runners-up including McIlroy signal readiness for this week’s grind. However, experience at The Open and the ability to stay consistent across shifting conditions remain paramount. All eyes will be on whether those at the top of the world rankings can hold their nerve across Portrush’s 7,381 yards of drama.
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Best Bet for The Open Championship 2025: Jon Rahm to Win
At BettingTips4You, we stand by quality over clutter. We don’t scatter predictions or throw out speculative multiples. We focus on one standout bet per event—our Best Bet—ensuring both clarity for readers and measurable accountability. For this week’s Open Championship at Royal Portrush, our standout selection is Jon Rahm to lift the Claret Jug.
Rahm arrives with a statistical profile and form line that makes him incredibly difficult to ignore. Across all four majors this year, he has consistently been in contention, placing inside the top 15 in each—most notably, a strong push at the PGA Championship where he stayed on Scheffler’s heels until the closing stages. That consistency at elite level underlines not just class but readiness.
His numbers this season back it up impressively. With a BettingTips4You Rating of 2.642 in Total Strokes Gained, Rahm ranks among the absolute best. His performance off the tee (1.004 SG) and with irons (1.153 SG Approach) reflects a player who controls his ball-flight with purpose—essential when navigating the angular fairways and exposed greens of Portrush.
Importantly, Rahm has previous comfort on these shores, finishing tied-11th at this very venue in 2019. His form since includes three top-seven finishes in his last four Open appearances, including a runner-up and a third-place. There’s a strong argument that no one in the field has displayed a more reliable game on links terrain over recent years. His putting, averaging just under 30 putts per round this season, and an above-average one-putt rate (32.87%) offer further reason to believe he can capitalise on scoring opportunities when they arrive.
It’s also telling that Rahm bounced back instantly after a rare dip on the LIV circuit, recording a final-round 65 at Valderrama to finish runner-up. That form confirms sharpness and intent. The motivation of securing a third major—and edging closer to a career Grand Slam—should ignite the Spaniard’s competitive fire in conditions he thrives in.
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