Golf Betting Tips: The Memorial Tournament predictions, preview and best bets

The Memorial Tournament returns to Muirfield Village Golf Club this week for its 50th edition, a golden anniversary that coincides with a critical juncture in the PGA Tour calendar. Read on for our expert preview and to find the best tips and analysis and don’t miss out on the best bookmaker offers as listed below.

Golf betting tips: The Memorial Tournament Predictions

Will Precision or Power Prevail on One of Golf’s Most Demanding Stages?

• Ludvig Åberg ranks first on the PGA Tour for approach shots over 200 yards, ideal for Muirfield’s lengthy challenges.
• His fairway proximity places him second, ensuring frequent scoring chances even on demanding setups.
• Åberg converts 89.8% of his scrambling attempts from inside 10 yards, a crucial asset around fast, undulating greens.

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As one of the season’s Signature Events, the stakes are amplified not only by the event’s $20 million purse but also by its place on the schedule—just two weeks before the US Open. Hosted at “Jack’s Place,” a course meticulously designed and frequently adjusted by Jack Nicklaus, the Memorial offers a stern examination of every facet of a golfer’s game.

Stretching 7,569 yards and playing to a par of 72, Muirfield Village is defined by subtle elevation shifts, tree-lined corridors, and 13 holes where water hazards are in play. Since its 2020 renovation, the venue has become even more penal from tee to green, with narrower fairways, deeper bunkers and compact bentgrass greens that challenge even the finest ball-strikers. The greens, angled to fairways and often sloped dramatically, add a level of complexity that elevates this course into one of the most challenging outside of major championships.

With the likes of Scottie Scheffler aiming to defend his title and a field stacked with quality from top to bottom, this year’s edition promises another four days of captivating golf. Strong winds in the early rounds will test composure, while any reprieve in the weekend conditions could open up scoring—but only for those striking it truly well. The Memorial never fails to deliver drama, and as the tournament unfolds in Ohio, all eyes will be on who can handle the full spectrum of challenges laid out by one of the game’s great architects.

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Best Bet: Ludvig Åberg to Win

Backing Ludvig Åberg to come out on top at Muirfield Village is a strategy rooted not in sentiment but in data-backed conviction. His profile matches the demands of this complex track remarkably well, and a closer look at the numbers reveals a player quietly building towards something significant.

First and foremost, his prowess from long range stands out. Åberg leads the PGA Tour in approach proximity from over 200 yards—no small feat on a course where those shots are pivotal due to long par threes and doglegging par fours. With 309 yards of average driving distance and a Total Driving rank of 28th, he has both length and relative accuracy—essential on a layout that punishes poor placement but rewards powerful precision.

While the Swede’s putting stats may seem underwhelming on the surface, they are counterbalanced by his elite performance in proximity metrics. Ranking second in fairway proximity and first from over 200 yards means he frequently gives himself makeable birdie chances—something supported by his solid birdie average of 4.06, ranking inside the top 40 on tour.

Moreover, Åberg’s short game continues to evolve. He sits 24th in Sand Save percentage and maintains an impressive 65.22% conversion from bunkers. His scrambling rate may appear mid-tier overall, but his touch around the greens has been steadily improving, as shown by his 89.8% success from under 10 yards—excellent for Muirfield’s closely mown surrounds.

Although his season has seen moments of inconsistency, such as a missed cut at the US PGA, a top-five debut here in 2024 suggests a comfort level with the layout. With a powerful tee game, accurate long irons and signs of growth in his scoring finesse, this might just be the perfect week for Åberg to announce himself fully.

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