The PGA Tour continues in California at Torrey Pines, with our golf expert highlighting the best betting opportunities for this annual event. Read on for the complete preview and tips and make sure to check out the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.
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Golf betting tips: Farmers Insurance Open
Can Consistency Triumph at Torrey Pines?
- The North Course plays nearly three strokes easier than the South Course, where the final three rounds are contested, highlighting the importance of mastering the tougher layout.
- Keegan Bradley’s greens-in-regulation percentage of 79.86% ranks him 18th on tour, making him one of the most reliable ball-strikers in the field.
- Bradley ranks 10th in par-4 scoring average (3.80), a crucial metric at Torrey Pines, which features several long, challenging par-4s on its South Course.
Our Tips
Keegan Bradley to Win the Farmers Insurance Open | |
22/1 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Keegan Bradley, ranked 13th, combines consistent form, strong approach play, and solid par-4 scoring. With a 79.86% greens-in-regulation rate, he’s a top contender at Torrey Pines. | |
The PGA Tour makes its highly anticipated return to the dramatic cliffs of Torrey Pines this week for the Farmers Insurance Open, an event steeped in history and challenge. Perched along the Pacific coastline in San Diego, this dual-course spectacle provides a stern test for golfers, with players tackling one round on the shorter, more forgiving North Course (7,258 yards) before facing three rounds on the formidable South Course. The South, stretching to 7,765 yards, is a venue that has hosted major championships, including Tiger Woods’ famous 2008 U.S. Open triumph.
Unlike the low-scoring shootouts of recent weeks, where winners amassed staggering scores of 35-, 16-, and 25-under par, Torrey Pines presents a tougher examination. Last year’s champion, Matthieu Pavon, secured the title with a 13-under total—just under the 10-year tournament average of 12.9-under. With windy conditions and challenging pin placements often in play, precision and mental toughness are paramount here. This year, a notable international contingent leads the field, with players like Hideki Matsuyama, Sungjae Im, and Sweden’s Ludvig Åberg among the top contenders. However, as the action unfolds against the backdrop of the Pacific Ocean, all eyes will be on who can rise above the field’s demands.
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Best Bet: Keegan Bradley to Win the Farmers Insurance Open
Keegan Bradley enters the Farmers Insurance Open as a strong candidate for victory, combining steady form with a game well-suited to the challenges of Torrey Pines. Currently ranked 13th in the Official World Golf Ranking, Bradley has built a reputation for consistency, and his statistical profile offers compelling reasons to back him this week.
From a strokes gained perspective, Bradley has demonstrated balance across key areas, with a total strokes gained average of 1.460, placing him 21st in the field. His approach play has been a standout feature of his game, ranking 47th in strokes gained: approach (0.496). Given that last year’s winner, Pavon, was third in this category, strong iron play is a proven formula for success at Torrey Pines. Bradley also boasts a greens-in-regulation percentage of 79.86%, ranking 18th on the PGA Tour, further highlighting his ability to control his ball on courses with smaller margins for error.
Although Bradley’s putting has been less consistent, his birdie average of 5.13 (44th on tour) suggests he has the scoring potential to capitalise when opportunities arise. Additionally, his performance on par-4 holes has been particularly impressive, where he averages 3.80 strokes, ranking 10th. With the South Course demanding both length and accuracy, Bradley’s controlled driving and proficiency in approach shots from over 200 yards (ranked 66th) could give him a decisive edge.
Bradley’s temperament also suits the demands of Torrey Pines, a venue that often rewards patience and resilience over flashy heroics. With a fifth-place scoring average of 67.25 and seven consecutive cuts made this season, he has shown he can deliver under pressure. His steady play and ability to adjust to varied conditions make him an excellent pick to lift the trophy this week.
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