Golf Betting Tips: The Chevron Championship predictions, preview and best bets

The women’s Major season kicks off this week in Texas, with The Chevron Championship making its third consecutive appearance at The Jack Nicklaus Signature Course at The Club at Carlton Woods. Read on for our expert preview and to find the best tips and analysis and don’t miss out on the best bookmaker offers as listed below.

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Golf betting tips: The Chevron Championship

Could Precision Be the Deciding Factor at Carlton Woods?
  • Lydia Ko ranks first on the LPGA Tour in par-five scoring average this season.
  • She leads the Tour in both scrambling percentage and sand saves, key assets for Carlton Woods.
  • Ko’s 25% birdie-or-better rate places her inside the top 20, showcasing her attacking intent.
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Our Tips

Rio Takeda to Win
25/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Rio Takeda leads the LPGA in bogey avoidance and sits inside the top three in tee-to-green performance. Her reliable approach play and scoring consistency make her ideally suited to the demands of Erin Hills. With five top-10s already this year, she looks poised to contend at major level.

A venue defined by its generous fairways and subtle greenside challenges, this layout has fast become a fixture on the LPGA Tour’s spring calendar. Although it rewards bold approaches and intelligent shot placement, the course has shown that victory here demands not just power but precision under pressure.

Measuring over 6,700 yards, the par-72 design is strewn with bunkers and bordered by water hazards, which shape the strategy on numerous holes. The key to mastering this course lies in controlling second shots, with firm approach play often the deciding factor. The greens, while not overly large, are guarded closely and present significant undulation, placing emphasis on short game quality and confidence with the putter.

Recent champions have highlighted different pathways to success here—some leaning on red-hot form with the flat stick, others excelling through calculated tee-to-green dominance. And this year’s edition looks no different, with many of the world’s elite arriving in varying form, eager to make a statement in the first Major of the campaign. Rain is forecast throughout the tournament, softening conditions and offering scoring chances to those bold enough to seize them.

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Best Bet: Lydia Ko to Win

Among a field stacked with talent, Lydia Ko enters this year’s Chevron Championship as one of the strongest contenders to lift the trophy on Sunday.


Why Lydia Ko Stands Out as the Value Pick

Lydia Ko has begun 2025 with an air of determination, and her early-season form signals she could be ready to challenge again at the highest level. A victory at the HSBC Women’s World Championship, alongside two other top-six finishes, has pushed her to fifth in the official money standings and third in the world rankings. Such results illustrate a player operating with clarity and rhythm, both of which will be vital this week in Texas.

Ko’s statistical profile shows a golfer whose all-round game is functioning smoothly. She ranks first in par-five scoring, a crucial metric given the four reachable par-fives on this course. Her ability to convert opportunities is further underlined by a 25% birdie-or-better rate, positioning her among the Tour’s most dangerous scorers. Moreover, she ranks inside the top ten for overall scoring average and birdie-to-bogey ratio, reflecting her capacity to go low while limiting mistakes.

What strengthens her case even more is the subtle excellence in the short game—she currently leads the LPGA in both scrambling and sand saves. At a venue where bunkers guard many of the pin positions, those numbers cannot be overstated. While her approach play is quietly efficient (ranking 39th), it is her composure on and around the greens that elevates her above many of her rivals.

In a field filled with youthful potential and recent winners, Ko brings a blend of experience, form, and finesse that few can match. She has shown throughout the season that when conditions are demanding, she excels. Carlton Woods is a layout that rewards those who play smart rather than reckless, and Lydia Ko has the tactical acumen and technical sharpness to dominate across four rounds.

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Tyler Morris
Sports writer and analyst Tyler Morris has more than eight years of experience writing about a range of sports. He has considerable knowledge of football, and he has also covered US sports extensively, offering in-depth comments and analysis on the most recent events in these sports. Tyler is a respected specialist in the field since he utilises his knowledge to provide incisive analysis and opinion on the most recent sports events with a track record of successful tips.