Golf Betting Tips: The American Express Predictions, Preview and Best Bets

After two weeks in Hawaii, the PGA Tour is now in California for the West Coast Swing, which is starting with The American Express at La Quinta. Read on to find John Pentin’s comprehensive preview and his three main predictions ahead of Thursday’s start. Don’t forget to also take advantage of the selected bookmaker offers below to maximise your betting value.

100% LEGAL - *TERMS & CONDITIONS OF THE SERVICE GOLF (#Ad)

To add to the In-Play excitement, bet365 stream over 200,000 events live to your PC every year - so you can bet as the action unfolds. Highlights include Masters Series Tennis tournaments and matches from some of the top domestic Soccer leagues in the world. To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Any fixture/event on our website which has the Play or Video icon next to it is scheduled to be shown via Live Streaming. Geo location and live streaming rules apply. Golf Streaming: any holes highlighted in yellow with the camera icon are live-streamed. These are Par 3 holes only. Two Par 3 holes from selected tournaments will be Live Streamed daily, so you can choose to follow the action via the interactive course visualisation or switch to the Live Stream and sit at one hole to enjoy a 'true on course experience'. Live streaming rules above apply. Country restrictions might apply. T&C's apply

#Ad. 18+Only, begambleaware.org

bet365 golf live tracker

The American Express Betting

The American Express Betting Tips | Thursday 18th January to Sunday 21st January 2024

BetVictor

18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 6x £5 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. 7 day bonus expiry. Debit Card / Apple Pay payments only. #AD T&C’s Apply. 18+ | BeGambleAware | #Ad | #Ad. 18+Only, begambleaware.org


£20 Returns £420

Reason for tip: Sungjae Im's record-breaking performance at The Sentry, highlighted by a record number of birdies in a 72-hole event, showcases his skill, tenacity, and focus. His consistent top finishes at The American Express, demonstrating a deep understanding of the course and tournament demands, signal his readiness for victory. Im's birdie-making ability, crucial in low-scoring tournaments, sets him apart under pressure. Additionally, his strong approach and putting game, vital on challenging greens, give him a significant edge in high-stakes play.

-----

£20 Returns £332 (If placed £72)

Reason for tip: Tom Kim's victory at the Shriners Open marks his ascent in golf, showcasing his ability to thrive under pressure in major tournaments. His solid performance in the previous American Express demonstrates his compatibility with the event, hinting at future success. Kim's precision off the tee, vital for setting up birdie and eagle opportunities in low-scoring events, is a major asset. Additionally, his prowess in iron play, crucial for navigating course challenges, particularly in approach shots, could be key to achieving a top finish or victory at The American Express.

-----

£20 Returns £770 (if placed £160)

Reason for tip: Akshay Bhatia's impressive early season form indicates his preparedness and adaptability, key for The American Express challenges. His Californian roots could provide a home-ground advantage, familiar with local conditions and possibly the courses. Bhatia's scoring ability, especially on par 5s, aligns with the tournament's demands, where capitalizing on scoring opportunities is crucial. His prowess on these holes could significantly lower his score, enhancing his chances of standing out. As a dark horse, Bhatia's potential for a surprise performance is heightened, free to play aggressively and take risks, a combination that could see him emerge as a notable contender.

-----

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change; Stake Limits Might Apply; T&C's Apply; #Ad

Comprehensive Analysis of The American Express Tournament

Introduction to the Tournament

The American Express, formerly known as the Palm Springs Desert Golf Challenge, is a renowned PGA Tour event with a rich history dating back to 1960. Initially won by Arnold Palmer, the tournament has undergone several transformations, including a name change from the Bob Hope Classic to its current title. Notably, a shift from a five-round format to the conventional four rounds in 2012 has made the event more appealing, attracting higher-quality fields.

Venue Overview

The tournament unfolds across three distinct courses in La Quinta, California: the Pete Dye Stadium Course, the PGA West (Nicklaus Tournament Course), and the La Quinta Country Club. Each course presents unique challenges and has contributed to varied scoring averages in the past.

  • Pete Dye Stadium Course: Par 72, 7,187 yards, Average Score 69.2
  • PGA West (Nicklaus Tournament Course): Par 72, 7,147 yards, Average Score 68.72
  • La Quinta Country Club: Par 72, 7,060 yards, Average Score 69.58

The Pete Dye Stadium Course, known for its difficulty, contrasts sharply with the La Quinta Country Club, historically the easiest among the three.

Key Skills and Challenges

Players participating in The American Express need a blend of accuracy and power off the tee, although driving stats are not the sole determinants of success. The last few winners, like Jon Rahm and Hudson Swafford, have demonstrated a slight edge in length over accuracy. However, the ability to navigate the greens and master the putting surfaces is crucial. Strokes Gained Tee to Green, Greens in Regulation, and putting metrics are pivotal for emerging victorious in this birdie-fest.

The tournament’s pro-am nature means the course setups are less demanding, with Bermuda greens usually set around 11 on the stimpmeter and minimal rough. This setup typically results in low scoring.

Weather and TV Coverage

The event is forecasted to have dry and warm conditions throughout the week, with minimal wind interference, conducive to low scores.

Historical Performance and Patterns

Examining the past eight winners and their pre-event prices reveals a trend of longshots and previous event winners excelling. Players like Jon Rahm and Hudson Swafford have both claimed the title multiple times. The event has also seen its fair share of dramatic in-play fluctuations, making it an exciting prospect for traders and spectators alike.

Tournament Analysis and Insights

Tournament Trajectory

The American Express, evolving from its inaugural edition in 1960, has seen numerous transformations, notably the reduction from a five-round to a standard four-round format in 2012. This change, along with the introduction of new courses, has rejuvenated the tournament, attracting higher-caliber participants and fostering a more competitive atmosphere.

The Venues: A Trio of Challenges

The tournament is uniquely staged over three courses, each presenting its distinct challenges:

  • Pete Dye Stadium Course: Known for its rigour, this course demands strategic play and precision.
  • PGA West (Nicklaus Tournament Course): Offers a blend of challenge and opportunity, requiring a balanced approach.
  • La Quinta Country Club: The easiest of the trio, it has historically allowed players to score low, setting the stage for dramatic shifts in leaderboard standings.
Skills and Challenges

Success in The American Express hinges on a combination of skills. While driving accuracy and length are advantageous, they are not the sole determinants of success. The key to conquering this tournament lies in mastering the greens, with a particular emphasis on strokes gained on approach and putting proficiency. Players must adapt to the Bermuda greens and manage the typically low rough, making for a high-scoring event.

Weather Influence

The typically warm and dry conditions in La Quinta, coupled with minimal wind, set the stage for aggressive play and low scoring. This weather pattern has consistently played a role in shaping the tournament’s dynamics.

Predictions for The American Express

BetVictor

18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 6x £5 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. 7 day bonus expiry. Debit Card / Apple Pay payments only. #AD T&C’s Apply. 18+ | BeGambleAware | #Ad | #Ad. 18+Only, begambleaware.org

1. Sungjae Im: A Strong Contender

Rationale for Prediction:
  • Record-Breaking Performance at The Sentry: Sungjae Im’s exceptional showing at The Sentry is a testament to his formidable form. Breaking records for the number of birdies in a 72-hole event indicates not just skill but a tenacity and focus that’s essential for winning.
  • Consistency in The American Express: Im’s track record in this particular tournament speaks volumes. His ability to consistently finish at the top in this event demonstrates a deep understanding of the courses and the tournament’s unique demands. It’s this consistent performance that often heralds a player’s readiness to clinch the title.
  • Birdie-Making Ability: In a tournament where low scoring is the norm, Im’s proven ability to make birdies is a significant advantage. This ability, especially under pressure, could be the defining factor that sets him apart from the field.
  • Strong Approach and Putting Game: Im’s statistics in approach play and putting are impressive. In a tournament where the greens play a crucial role, his proficiency in these areas gives him a substantial edge. Mastery over these aspects of the game is often what separates the winners from the rest in high-stakes tournaments.

2. Tom Kim: A Rising Star

Rationale for Prediction:
  • Victory at the Shriners Open: Tom Kim’s success at the Shriners Open is a clear indication of his rising status in the golf world. Winning such a prestigious event not only boosts confidence but also proves his ability to handle the pressure of big tournaments.
  • Solid Performance in Previous American Express: Kim’s commendable performance in the last edition of The American Express suggests his compatibility with the courses and the tournament’s style. A golfer’s ability to adapt and perform consistently in the same event over time is often a precursor to eventual victory.
  • Accuracy off the Tee: In a sport where every stroke counts, Kim’s accuracy off the tee is a significant asset. This precision sets up opportunities for birdies and eagles, especially crucial in a tournament known for its low scoring.
  • Prowess in Iron Play: Tom Kim’s iron play is another aspect that positions him well for The American Express. The ability to navigate the challenges of these courses, particularly in approach shots, could very well be the key to a top finish, if not a win.

3. Akshay Bhatia: The Dark Horse

Rationale for Prediction:
  • Impressive Early Season Form: The start of a season often sets the tone for a player’s year, and Akshay Bhatia has begun on a high note. Good form in the early season is an indicator of a player’s preparedness and adaptability, crucial for tackling the challenges of The American Express.
  • Californian Roots: Being a native to the state where the tournament is held might give Bhatia a home-ground advantage. Familiarity with local conditions, weather, and perhaps even the courses themselves, can lend an intangible but real edge.
  • Scoring Ability, Especially on Par 5s: Bhatia’s prowess in scoring, particularly on par 5s, aligns perfectly with the demands of The American Express. In a tournament where capitalising on scoring opportunities is vital, his ability to excel on these holes could be his secret weapon. This aspect of his game can significantly contribute to a lower aggregate score, enhancing his chances of emerging as a standout performer.
  • Potential for a Surprise Performance: As a dark horse, Bhatia carries the element of surprise. Without the weight of expectation, he has the freedom to play more aggressively and take calculated risks. This factor, combined with his early-season form and familiarity with the local conditions, makes him a potential surprise package in the tournament.

£20 Returns £420

Reason for tip: Sungjae Im's record-breaking performance at The Sentry, highlighted by a record number of birdies in a 72-hole event, showcases his skill, tenacity, and focus. His consistent top finishes at The American Express, demonstrating a deep understanding of the course and tournament demands, signal his readiness for victory. Im's birdie-making ability, crucial in low-scoring tournaments, sets him apart under pressure. Additionally, his strong approach and putting game, vital on challenging greens, give him a significant edge in high-stakes play.

-----

£20 Returns £332 (If placed £72)

Reason for tip: Tom Kim's victory at the Shriners Open marks his ascent in golf, showcasing his ability to thrive under pressure in major tournaments. His solid performance in the previous American Express demonstrates his compatibility with the event, hinting at future success. Kim's precision off the tee, vital for setting up birdie and eagle opportunities in low-scoring events, is a major asset. Additionally, his prowess in iron play, crucial for navigating course challenges, particularly in approach shots, could be key to achieving a top finish or victory at The American Express.

-----

£20 Returns £770 (if placed £160)

Reason for tip: Akshay Bhatia's impressive early season form indicates his preparedness and adaptability, key for The American Express challenges. His Californian roots could provide a home-ground advantage, familiar with local conditions and possibly the courses. Bhatia's scoring ability, especially on par 5s, aligns with the tournament's demands, where capitalizing on scoring opportunities is crucial. His prowess on these holes could significantly lower his score, enhancing his chances of standing out. As a dark horse, Bhatia's potential for a surprise performance is heightened, free to play aggressively and take risks, a combination that could see him emerge as a notable contender.

-----

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change; Stake Limits Might Apply; T&C's Apply; #Ad

Enhance your betting game with our daily free betting tips, predictions, and accumulators.

For more betting tips and news, check out:

Don’t forget to visit our Free Bets page for the best possible value as well as our Predictions.

Top UK Bookies & Best Sign Up Offers 

BV

18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 6x £5 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. 7 day bonus expiry. Debit Card / Apple Pay payments only. #AD T&C’s Apply. 18+ | BeGambleAware | #Ad | #Ad. 18+Only, begambleaware.org

b365

Open Account Offer – Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365.

Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and  T&Cs apply. #Ad. 18+Only, begambleaware.org

Unibet

#AD 18+ begambleaware.org. New customers only. Min deposit £10. Money back as bonus if first sports bet loses. Wagering requirements: sportsbook 3x at min. odds of 1.40 (2/5), casino 50x. Unless forfeited the sportsbook bonus must be wagered before using the casino bonus. Bonus expires 7 days after opt-in. Visit Unibet.co.uk for full T&C's.

Fitzdares

New customers only, 18+. Min deposit £10. Place a £50 bet on any sport at 2.0+ to qualify for £25 in free bets and 10 Free Spins. Free Bets and Spins valid 7 days. £0.10 Free Spins. T&Cs apply. Please bet responsibly.

betfred

New UK 18+ only. Register (excl. 13/04/2024) with promo code WELCOME40, Bet £10+ on Sports in one transaction within 7 days of registering. Get £30 Free Bets & £10 free spins within 10hrs of bet settlement. Bonuses expire 7 days after issue. Min odds, eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply. #Ad. 18+Only, begambleaware.org

PM

18+ New customers only. Opt in, and bet £10 on football markets (odds 2.00+). No cash out. Get 6x£5 football free bets at specified odds for set markets, which expire after 7 days. Offer valid from 12:00 UK Time on 25/08/2023. Card payments only. T&Cs Apply | begambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly

Fitzdares

New customers only, aged 18+. Min deposit £10. Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of Evens (2.0) or greater. Get 50% back on first day losses (up to 23:59) as a Free bet, up to £50, plus 10 Free Spins on Reel King, credited within 24 hours. Free Bet & Spins expire in 7 days. Additional T&Cs apply. Please bet responsibly.

betfred

New customers & 18+ only. Min. deposit of £10.
Qualifying real money bet of £10. Min odds greater than or equal to 1.5 required. E/W bets excluded. Offer awarded immediately but could be issued the next working day in exceptional circumstances such as technical fault. Additional T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly, 

PM

18+, UK only. This promotion is valid for new UK Fafa customers aged 18 years and over who have yet to avail of a FafaSports Welcome Offer and register after the start date. Start from 00:01 on 15/02/2023. Full T&Cs Apply.

Subscribe To Our Newsletter For Exclusive Tips

Want to have exclusive tips from experts tipsters delivered right into your inbox? Subscribe Now To Our Newsletter. We will never spam, we fully respect your privacy!

Previous articleGolf Betting Tips: Dubai Desert Classic Predictions, Preview and Best Bets
Next articleTennis Betting Tips: Australian Open Day Four Best Bets And Predictions Wednesday January 17
John Pentin
Born and raised in London, John has always been in love with sport. He started successfully his own blog back in 2006, while writing for football in several newspaper. John has also worked with several betting operators as sports trader and has joined BettingTips4You.com since the start in 2013. John is now head of the content team at BettingTips4You.com.