Golf Betting Tips: Soudal Open Predictions, Preview and Best Bets

This week, the DP World Tour arrives in Belgium for the Soudal Open, and the action is set to unfold at the Rinkven International Golf Club. Our expert, John Pentin, is here to provide comprehensive insights and top betting tips ahead of Thursday’s start. Stay tuned to find out his two predictions for this week, including an exclusive Premium tip, which is only available to Premium Tips subscribers.

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Soudal Open Betting

Soudal Open Betting Tips | Thursday 23rd May to Sunday 26th May 2024

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Tournament Overview

The Soudal Open, originally known as the Belgian Open, boasts a rich history dating back to its inaugural edition in 1910, which was won by Frenchman Arnaud Massy. Despite its sporadic presence on the tour, this tournament has been the stage for many memorable moments. Among these highlights are Lee Westwood’s victories in 1998 and 2000, cementing his legacy in the event’s storied past.

The tournament made a significant return to the DP World Tour schedule in 2018 with a novel format called the Belgian Knockout, blending stroke play and match play elements. This innovative approach brought a fresh dynamic to the competition. However, in 2022, the event reverted to a traditional 72-hole stroke play format, offering a straightforward yet demanding test for the participants, showcasing their consistency and endurance over four days.

Venue

The tournament is held at the Rinkven International Golf Club, situated just 15 kilometres from the vibrant city of Antwerp. This prestigious club features two 18-hole courses, the North and the South, with the competition layout being a composite of both. Originally designed in the early 1980s by Belgian golfer and coach Paul Rolin, Rinkven has seen numerous modifications over the years to enhance its challenge and beauty. The course now spans 6,940 yards and plays as a par 71.

Its design integrates both woodland and parkland elements, with several water hazards strategically placed to test the golfers’ precision and strategic thinking. The course’s tranquil setting amidst the natural ‘Kempense’ fenland provides a serene backdrop, making it not only a physical but also a visual delight.

Course Details

Rinkven International Golf Club, with its picturesque and tranquil setting, offers a challenging yet fair test for the golfers. The course features an exposed, flat parkland layout with poa annua tees, fairways, and bentgrass greens. These smaller-than-average greens require players to be highly accurate with their approach shots and proficient in scrambling to recover from missed greens.

The course’s stroke average of 70.51 from the previous edition indicates its balanced difficulty, rewarding those who can skillfully navigate its nuances with composure and precision. The combination of woodland and parkland holes, along with strategically placed water hazards, demands a comprehensive skill set from the participants.

Key Skills for Success

Approach Play

Precision with irons is absolutely essential at Rinkven. The course layout places a premium on accurate approach shots, particularly from the 125-175 yard range, where many of the golfers’ attempts will land. Players need to excel in Strokes Gained: Approach to set up birdie opportunities and avoid the course’s tricky greenside hazards. This precision not only helps in scoring but also in managing the course’s various challenges effectively.

Putting on Bentgrass

The bentgrass greens at Rinkven are renowned for their speed and subtle undulations, making putting a critical factor for success. Mastery of these greens requires a delicate touch and the ability to make crucial putts under pressure. Players who rank high in Strokes Gained: Putting will have a significant edge, as the ability to read and adapt to the greens’ intricate breaks can be a decisive factor in their performance.

Scrambling

Given the smaller-than-average greens, scrambling becomes a vital skill at Rinkven. Players need to be adept at recovering from missed greens and converting these opportunities into pars. Effective scrambling can differentiate between a good round and a great one, particularly on a course like Rinkven where the ability to save par from difficult positions can significantly impact the overall score.

Key Contenders

Jordan Smith and Adrian Otaegui

Jordan Smith, currently leading the market, concluded the US PGA Championship on a high note with a superb seven-under-par 64. His current form is impressive, suggesting he is in excellent shape heading into the Soudal Open. However, his historical performance at Rinkven leaves much to be desired, having missed the knockout stages during his last appearance here in 2018. This suggests that while he has the skills, he may struggle to adapt to the unique challenges presented by this course.

Adrian Otaegui, a past champion at Rinkven, recently clinched the China Open, reinforcing his ability to deliver under pressure. Despite this, Otaegui’s inconsistency, particularly on the greens, raises questions about his reliability. His performance can vary significantly, making him a somewhat unpredictable contender. Nevertheless, his familiarity with the course and recent victory could serve as significant advantages.

Yannik Paul and Thomas Pieters

Yannik Paul arrives at Rinkven in commendable form, with recent finishes including 10th in India and 11th in China. These results indicate that he is capable of competing at a high level and can handle diverse course conditions. Paul’s ability to navigate tight, tree-lined courses could be advantageous at Rinkven, where precision is paramount.

Thomas Pieters, a crowd favourite given his local ties, has shown strong performances on the LIV Golf Tour, with notable finishes of 9th, 14th, and 5th in recent events. His knowledge of the course, coupled with his current form, makes him a formidable competitor. However, Rinkven’s emphasis on accuracy over power might pose a challenge for Pieters, who typically relies on his driving distance.

Guido Migliozzi and Sam Horsfield

Guido Migliozzi, who triumphed at this venue in 2019, remains a significant threat. His success in similar conditions, including a win at the Kenya Open and strong showings at tight courses like Valderrama, underscores his suitability for Rinkven. Migliozzi’s recent form, including a near miss in US Open qualifying, highlights his capability to contend.

Sam Horsfield, the 2022 winner, has a proven track record at Rinkven. His ability to navigate the course effectively is well-documented, with his victory here showcasing his strategic acumen. However, his recent performances on the LIV circuit have been mixed, raising some doubts about his current form. Nevertheless, his past success at Rinkven cannot be ignored.

Alex Fitzpatrick and Bernd Wiesberger

Alex Fitzpatrick is another rising star to watch. The young Englishman has made significant strides, with notable finishes including a win on the Challenge Tour and a commendable 17th place at the Open. His recent performances, such as his 11th place finish alongside his brother Matt in the Zurich Classic, demonstrate his growing confidence and capability. Fitzpatrick’s precise play style could be well-suited to Rinkven’s demands.

Bernd Wiesberger, an experienced contender, has made a solid return to the DP World Tour following a stint on the LIV circuit. With eight DP World Tour titles to his name, Wiesberger’s pedigree is unquestionable. His performance in the US Open qualifier, where he made ten birdies, suggests he is regaining his form. Wiesberger’s experience and strategic approach make him a potential challenger at Rinkven.

Darius van Driel and Matteo Manassero

Darius van Driel, a precision player known for his accuracy, clinched the Kenya Open earlier this year, highlighting his ability on courses that reward careful play. His history at Rinkven, including a runner-up finish in the 2019 Belgian Knockout, and a strong showing in last year’s Soudal Open despite a challenging run-up, underscores his potential. Van Driel’s affinity for the course and current form make him an excellent each-way bet.

Matteo Manassero, who has experienced a resurgence this season, winning the Jonsson Workwear Open, is another to consider. His career has been marked by early success and a subsequent long period without a win, but his recent form suggests a revival. Manassero’s precise wedge game and experience on similar courses make him a dark horse worth watching.

Free Tip: Back Guido Migliozzi to Win

Guido Migliozzi, a previous victor at Rinkven International, emerges as a formidable contender for this year’s Soudal Open. His adeptness on courses that share similarities with Rinkven, such as those found in Kenya and at Valderrama, underscores his potential for success. Migliozzi’s recent performances have been notably consistent, with a near qualification for the US Open showcasing his all-around capabilities.

At odds of 40/1, he represents excellent value as an each-way bet. This is largely due to his proficiency in navigating tight, tree-lined courses and his impressive scrambling abilities. These skills are particularly critical at Rinkven, where precision and adaptability are paramount. Migliozzi’s ability to recover from difficult positions and maintain high levels of accuracy around the greens makes him a strong candidate.

His history of success in similar environments further solidifies his case as a solid pick. For instance, his triumph at the Kenya Open, held at the Karen Country Club, mirrors the conditions he will face at Rinkven. Both courses demand a strategic approach to avoid hazards and effectively manage smaller greens. Additionally, his victory at Valderrama, known for its challenging layout, demonstrates his capability to excel under pressure and in demanding conditions.

Migliozzi’s mental toughness and competitive spirit have been evident in his recent tournaments. His ability to maintain composure and deliver under high-stakes scenarios is a crucial asset. Moreover, his recent performance metrics, including greens in regulation and scrambling statistics, have been outstanding, positioning him well for another strong showing at Rinkven.

Overall, Migliozzi’s blend of past success at Rinkven, current form, and specific skill set tailored to the course conditions make him a compelling pick for this week’s Soudal Open. Bettors looking for a solid return on their investment should consider backing him as an each-way bet.

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