The PGA Tour’s Fall Series heads to Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Championship at the Country Club of Jackson. Read on for the complete analysis and tips and make sure to check out the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.
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Golf betting tips: Sanderson Farms Championship
Can a Rising Star Claim Glory at the Country Club of Jackson?
- Nick Dunlap ranks second in Par 5 Scoring Average this season.
- He averages 4.21 birdies per round, placing him 16th in Birdie Average.
- Dunlap has secured two PGA Tour wins in the 2024 season.
Our Tips
Best Bet: Tommy Fleetwood to Win | |
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Reasoning Tommy Fleetwood is a prime candidate for the DP World Tour Championship title, given his current form, accuracy on par-fives, and experience handling Dubai’s demanding Earth Course, where precision and pressure play are essential. | |
As the PGA Tour’s Fall Schedule continues, attention turns to the Sanderson Farms Championship at the Country Club of Jackson in Mississippi. This course will host this event for the 11th time, with its tree-lined fairways and fast Bermuda greens. Water hazards feature on six holes, adds additional challenges for the golfers.
The course was upgraded in 2008 by John Fought, who was inspired by the popular designer Donald Ross, and now has a demanding run-off areas around the greens. Historically, we have seen low scores here, with totals between 17-under and 22-under par. Strong iron play is usually the key, so this is something to consider when looking at who will be successful this week.
Best Bet: Nick Dunlap
Nick Dunlap is the player we have chosen for this week as our best bet. With two PGA Tour victories already under his belt in 2024—the Barracuda Championship and The American Express—Dunlap has already proven to respond well in challenging situations. His season earnings stand at a huge $2,878,325, and he sits 49th in the FedExCup standings with 1,224 points.
Dunlap’s game fits well with the requirements of Country Club of Jackson. He ranks 16th in Birdie Average, averaging 4.21 birdies per round. This is a key stat in a course where birdies are crucial to keep pace with the low scoring historically required to win. He ranks second in Par 5 Scoring Average at 4.47 and is eighth in Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders with a 55.09% success rate. All these numbers prove that he can make the most of the opportunities the par fives offer.
In terms of ball striking, Dunlap is ranking 83rd in Strokes Gained: Approach the Green, gaining 0.129 strokes per round. When exploring the last four winners, we can see that three of the last four ranked in the top six for Strokes Gained: Approach, his solid iron play could be a decisive advantage. Despite his Driving Accuracy is 55.69%, ranking 142nd, his impressive Driving Distance of 307.8 yards (34th on tour) can mitigate some inaccuracies off the tee by leaving shorter approach shots into the greens.
Dunlap’s putting is another important metric to consider; he ranks 15th in Putting Average with 1.725 putts per green in regulation. His ability to convert birdie opportunities can also be seen by the 34.77% Birdie or Better Conversion Percentage, 9th in the tour. On greens that are known to be slick and challenging, his putting could be the difference between him and other competitors.
In short, Nick Dunlap represents the best balance if you are looking for a solid choice for this Sunday’s Sanderson Farms Championship.
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