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The DP World Tour shifts its focus to the Spanish capital this week, as the prestigious Open de España unfolds at Club de Campo Villa de Madrid. Set against a backdrop of sunlit skies and pristine fairways, the tournament promises to deliver four days of captivating golf, with a strong international field vying for glory. Read on for the best bet of the night and the analysis in addition to the best betting offers to take full advantage of.
Golf betting tips: Open de Espana Predictions
Could Precision and Poise Decide the Battle in Madrid This Week?
- Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen ranks 6th on the DP World Tour for Greens in Regulation this season (71.83%).
- His Sand Save success rate of 67.65% ranks 5th, showcasing elite short-game recovery skills.
- With a Stroke Average of 69.86, he stands 8th overall, highlighting consistent form across recent tournaments.
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Tour top-10 Stroke Average, 71.83% GIR (6th), 60.25% accuracy, 305.18-yard power, and 67.65% sand saves; Madrid’s iron-led, altitude-boosted layout magnifies his consistency and win chance.
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Following the challenging conditions in Scotland at the Alfred Dunhill Links, where blustery winds and rain shortened proceedings, players will now relish the calmer, warmer weather forecast in Madrid – ideal for aggressive shot-making and low scoring.
The course, a par-71 layout stretching 7,154 yards, is renowned for its tree-lined fairways, sloping terrain, and sharply contoured greens. Sitting 2,500 feet above sea level, it offers both beauty and difficulty, with its elevation subtly influencing ball flight and distance control. Traditionally, this course rewards accuracy with irons and strong putting performance – two key ingredients for success here.
As always, Spanish golfers will carry the hopes of the home crowd, with Jon Rahm among the favourites at 16/5 to reclaim his crown. Fellow Spaniard David Puig, priced at 14/1, also draws significant attention after his excellent third-place finish last year. Joaquin Niemann, Shane Lowry, and Patrick Reed provide additional international intrigue, each capable of making a strong push on a course where both precision and patience are critical.
Televised across all four days on Sky Sports, the event also serves as a vital opportunity for players to secure qualification for next year’s Open Championship. The combination of top-tier competition, immaculate conditions, and national pride ensures that Madrid is set to host one of the most compelling stops on this year’s DP World Tour calendar.
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Best Bet for this event: Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen to Win at 20/1
At BettingTips4You, we prioritise quality over quantity, providing one clear, confident selection per event to simplify decisions for our readers and enhance accountability in tracking our profitability. For this week’s Open de España, our standout recommendation is Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen to win at 20/1.
The young Danish golfer has quietly built an impressive foundation on the DP World Tour, blending power and precision in a way that perfectly aligns with the demands of Club de Campo Villa de Madrid. His recent numbers underline just how well-rounded his game has become: a Driving Distance of 305.18 yards places him 36th on tour, while a Driving Accuracy rate of 60.25% shows his ability to find fairways with regularity. More crucially, Neergaard-Petersen ranks sixth for Greens in Regulation (71.83%), confirming that his iron play is among the sharpest in the field – a vital asset on a course that rewards consistent approach play.
Equally telling is his outstanding Sand Save percentage of 67.65%, fifth-best on tour this season, reflecting both technical skill and mental composure under pressure. His Stroke Average of 69.86, ranking eighth overall, further demonstrates his ability to maintain scoring consistency across various course types. While his putting statistics (1.78 putts per GIR, 62nd rank) indicate room for refinement, the Madrid greens’ receptive surfaces could easily see him improve in this department.
What stands out most is Neergaard-Petersen’s adaptability. The Club de Campo course’s hilly layout rewards those who can vary trajectory and shot shape, and his balanced game is ideally suited to doing just that. In calmer weather, his distance control and accuracy combination should allow him to create ample birdie opportunities. Given his steady rise in the Race to Dubai rankings, confidence is likely to be high, and at 20/1, his odds represent genuine value for a player whose game has matured rapidly.
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