Golf Betting Tips: Open de Espana predictions, preview and best bets

John Rahm is the standout player at the Open de España, and John Pentin provides his top betting tips for this week’s DP World Tour event. Rahm’s strong form and home advantage make him a favourite. Read on for the complete analysis and tips.

Golf betting tips: Open de Espana

Can Anyone Stop Rahm in Madrid?

• Jon Rahm: has won three of the last five editions of the Open de España at Club de Campo.
• Manassero’s Resurgence: Matteo Manassero has shown signs of a comeback this season, displaying precision and consistency with his iron play. His style is well-suited to the course’s demands, making him a viable contender at attractive odds of 25/1.
• Straka’s Ball-Striking Prowess: Sepp Straka has been impressive with his ball-striking recently, evident from his top-10 finish at Wentworth. His combination of power and accuracy, especially in approach play, positions him as a strong outside bet for the tournament.

Our Tips

The Open de Espana, one of the most prestigious and historic tournaments on the DP World Tour, returns to the scenic Club de Campo Villa de Madrid. Known for its rich history and competitive atmosphere, this event has attracted some of the finest golfers from around the world. The course itself, a par-71 measuring 7,154 yards, is a challenging test of both strategic ball striking and mental resilience. Players will navigate through its hilly terrain, contoured greens, and tight fairways, all while dealing with the unique challenges posed by Madrid’s elevation.

The tournament has produced some memorable performances over the years, with players needing to excel in every aspect of their game to stand a chance of lifting the trophy. The layout rewards those who can effectively manage their game off the tee and approach shots into the small, tricky greens. This year’s field is packed with talent, and as the players prepare for this prestigious event, several key names stand out as potential winners.

Best Bet: Jon Rahm to Win

Jon Rahm heads into the Open de Espana as the clear favourite, and for good reason. The Spaniard has already won this tournament three times, including twice at this very venue. His knowledge of the course, coupled with his current form, makes him the standout pick for victory this week.

Rahm’s game is well-suited to the demands of Club de Campo Villa de Madrid. His strength off the tee is complemented by an excellent approach game, both of which are crucial on this course. The fairways are generous, but the placement is key due to the strategically positioned bunkers and tree-lined angles that block easy access to the greens. Rahm’s ability to shape shots and find the ideal positions will serve him well in navigating these challenges.

Another critical factor is his putting on the challenging, multi-tiered greens that rank among the toughest on the DP World Tour in terms of putting difficulty. Rahm has consistently shown his prowess with the flat stick, and this will be crucial as he looks to convert the numerous birdie opportunities that this course can provide.

Despite a recent withdrawal due to illness, Rahm’s form this season has been exceptional. His performances in major championships, coupled with his previous successes on similar courses, provide ample evidence that he is in prime position to add another Open de Espana title to his name. The combination of local support, familiarity with the course, and his all-round game make him the best bet for this week’s tournament.

Dark Horse: Matteo Manassero

Matteo Manassero represents a compelling alternative pick for those looking for higher odds. The Italian has been enjoying a resurgence in form, and his performances in recent tournaments have been promising. Manassero’s precision and accuracy with his irons make him a strong candidate to contend on this course, where approach play into the small greens will be a decisive factor.

Manassero has shown his capability in similar conditions, with his performances in the Race to Dubai standings reflecting his consistent play. His game has always been about control and finesse, attributes that are perfectly suited to the demands of Club de Campo Villa de Madrid. His scrambling ability and skill in saving pars from difficult positions could give him an edge, especially if the winds play a significant role early in the week.

His recent form, combined with a style of play that aligns well with the demands of the course, make him a worthy dark horse pick. At odds of 25/1, Manassero offers value for those looking beyond the tournament favourites, and his steady improvement suggests he could be a surprise contender this week.

Outsider Pick: Sepp Straka

Sepp Straka is another player worth considering as an outside bet for the Open de Espana. The Austrian has been displaying solid form, particularly in his ball-striking capabilities. Known for his strength off the tee and solid approach play, Straka’s skill set matches well with the requirements of Club de Campo.

Straka’s performance at similar courses, including a top-10 finish at Wentworth, highlights his ability to handle the undulating fairways and tight driving angles that this Madrid course demands. His recent outings have shown a resurgence in form, particularly in his approach play, which will be vital for scoring on the tricky greens here.

At 28/1, Straka provides an interesting option for those looking to back a player who might not be the immediate choice but has all the tools to contend. His combination of power and precision, coupled with recent strong performances, makes him a potential challenger this week.

Longshot Pick: Shane Lowry

Shane Lowry’s experience and pedigree make him a dangerous contender, especially when he is perceived as a dark horse. The Irishman’s solid all-round game is well-suited to the demands of this course. Lowry’s ability to handle tough conditions and his adeptness at scrambling make him a player to watch, particularly if the wind picks up over the first two days as forecasted.

Lowry’s strength lies in his ability to stay calm under pressure and his solid tee-to-green game. His recent form suggests he is building towards something special, and his history of performing well on difficult courses makes him a worthy pick at longer odds. Lowry’s expertise in navigating small, undulating greens and his deft touch around the greens could prove decisive.

At 16/1, he may not be the longest shot in the field, but he certainly offers value for those looking for a seasoned player who has the capability to rise to the occasion. Lowry’s game is built for the kind of challenge that Club de Campo presents, and he will be keen to add another title to his impressive resume.

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