Golf Betting Tips: Olympic Games women’s golf predictions, preview and best bets

The upcoming women’s golf competition at the Paris Olympics promises to be a thrilling event. Held at the prestigious Le Golf National, this tournament will feature some of the world’s best golfers vying for the top spot.

As we dive into this preview, we’ll explore the key players, course conditions, and make informed predictions on who might take home the gold. Keep reading to uncover insights that could enhance your betting strategies for this exciting event.

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Olympic Games women’s golf Betting Tips: Analysis and Outright Predictions

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Who Will Conquer Le Golf National: Can the Favourites Hold Their Nerve?

Key Stats

Rose Zhang ranked second in Strokes Gained Approach this season.

Albane Valenzuela has competed in two previous Olympics, finishing T21 and T18.

Lydia Ko is the only golfer with two Olympic medals in women’s golf history.

Historical Context and Evolution

The inaugural Olympic women’s golf event, held 124 years ago in Paris, marked a significant moment in sporting history. Margaret Abbot, an American golfer, clinched victory in 1900, albeit unknowingly winning an Olympic event. Abbot’s triumph occurred in an era when women’s golf was in its infancy on the global stage, characterised by informal competitions and less structured formats. This historical backdrop provides a stark contrast to the highly organised and competitive nature of today’s women’s golf tournaments.

Abbot’s win was notable not just for the achievement itself but for the circumstances surrounding it. Born in Kolkata, then part of the British Raj, Abbot’s family relocated to Chicago, and she found herself in Paris during a year of artistic and social endeavours. The 1900 tournament she entered was a nine-hole event, quite different from the rigorous 72-hole formats we see in modern championships. The prize for her victory was a porcelain bowl mounted in gold, a far cry from the gold medals awarded today. Remarkably, even upon her death in 1955, Abbot was unaware of her Olympic champion status, a fact only uncovered by academics in the 1980s.

Over the decades, women’s golf has evolved dramatically. The sport’s reintroduction to the Olympics in 2016 signalled a new era, showcasing top-tier talent and intense competition. Inbee Park of South Korea captured the gold in Rio, demonstrating the global reach and high standards of modern women’s golf. The subsequent Olympic event in Tokyo further highlighted this progression, with Nelly Korda of the USA standing atop the podium, her victory underscored by her familial Olympic legacy—her mother having competed in tennis during the 1988 Olympics.

This year’s competition at Le Golf National is set against this rich tapestry of history and evolution, promising to be a highly anticipated event that blends the sport’s storied past with its dynamic present.

Course Overview: Le Golf National

Le Golf National, meticulously designed by Hubert Cheneau and Robert Von Hagge, stands as a premier golfing venue, renowned for hosting prestigious events like the Open de France and the 2018 Ryder Cup. This year, it proudly hosts the women’s Olympic golf competition, offering a challenging yet rewarding experience for the world’s best golfers.

The course is celebrated for its tight fairways, which demand precision off the tee. Golfers will need to navigate the undulating terrain skillfully, as the rolling landscape can significantly influence ball trajectory and positioning. The fast greens of Le Golf National add another layer of complexity, requiring sharp, accurate putting to score well.

One of the defining features of this course is its strategic use of water hazards. Lakes and ponds are integral to its design, particularly on the closing holes, where they can dramatically alter the outcome of a round. These hazards require players to approach with caution and strategic thinking, balancing risk and reward.

Playing as a par-72 at 6,504 yards, Le Golf National is not overly long by modern standards, yet it compensates with its need for accuracy and tactical play. The emphasis on precision over power means that golfers with strong approach games and reliable putting are likely to excel. Last week’s men’s event highlighted the importance of Strokes Gained Approach, a statistical measure that will undoubtedly be crucial in this week’s women’s competition.

As the competition unfolds, Le Golf National’s demanding layout will test the skill, patience, and strategy of every participant, ensuring a thrilling and unpredictable tournament.

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Key Players and Their Prospects

Nelly Korda

Nelly Korda enters the competition as one of the favourites, having had a stellar season earlier this year with six wins in seven starts. However, her form has dipped recently, missing three cuts and finishing T26 at the Evian Championship. Despite these setbacks, her prowess cannot be underestimated.

Atthaya Thitikul

Thai sensation Atthaya Thitikul has shown immense promise with five wins on her home tour and three LPGA victories. Although she missed the cut at the Evian Championship, her overall form this season makes her a formidable contender.

Lilia Vu

Lilia Vu, another top American golfer, has had a remarkable year with four victories, including two major championships. Her recent performances have solidified her status as a major threat in this competition.

Rose Zhang

Rose Zhang stands out as a top contender. She excelled at the World Amateur Team Championship at Le Golf National in 2022, tying for first in individual scoring. Her familiarity with the course and her strong approach play, ranking second in Strokes Gained Approach this season, make her a prime candidate for success. Zhang's recent sixth-place finish in Canada and her overall momentum suggest she is well-prepared for the Olympics.

Albane Valenzuela

Albane Valenzuela from Switzerland is another intriguing pick. With a multicultural background and a history of strong performances in international competitions, she brings a unique blend of experience and versatility. Valenzuela has competed in two previous Olympics, finishing T21 in Rio and T18 in Tokyo. Her recent form includes a second-place finish in Thailand and a T22 at the Evian Championship. Her top-seven ranking in Strokes Gained Approach this year further supports her potential to contend.

Lydia Ko

New Zealand's Lydia Ko, with her consistent Olympic success, cannot be overlooked. Having won silver in Rio and bronze in Tokyo, Ko aims to complete her medal collection with a gold. Despite a mixed year, her recent strong finishes, including an eighth-place at the Evian Championship, indicate she is peaking at the right time.

Predictions and Betting Tips

Rose Zhang: Primary Bet for Gold

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Competitive Experience at Le Golf National

Rose Zhang stands out as the leading contender for the gold medal, and this prediction is strongly anchored in her prior competitive experience at Le Golf National. This course, with its intricate layout and demanding conditions, is not new to Zhang. Her impressive performance during the 2022 World Amateur Team Championship, where she tied for first in individual scoring, speaks volumes about her ability to handle the challenges posed by this venue.

Zhang’s rounds of 69-72-69-69 at that championship highlight her consistency and adaptability, crucial traits for navigating the tight fairways and complex greens of Le Golf National. Her familiarity with the course’s nuances, including its strategic water hazards and undulating terrain, gives her a substantial edge over competitors who are less acquainted with these conditions.

Recent Form and Momentum

In addition to her experience, Zhang's recent form underscores her readiness to compete at the highest level. She claimed her first professional win at Liberty National last year, a course with similar characteristics to Le Golf National, such as flowing high grass, breezy conditions, and numerous water hazards.

This victory demonstrated her ability to thrive in environments that demand precision and strategic play. Furthermore, her performance in Canada, where she finished sixth, reveals that she is currently in excellent form. Zhang herself noted the positives from that week, emphasising her renewed confidence and competitive spirit. This momentum is critical as she heads into the Olympics, poised to build on her recent successes and leverage her strengths in approach play and putting.

Technical Proficiency

Another factor favouring Zhang is her technical proficiency, particularly in approach play. This season, she ranks second in Strokes Gained Approach, a statistic that was pivotal in last week’s men’s event at the same course.

Her ability to gain strokes on approach shots suggests that she can consistently place herself in advantageous positions on the greens, an essential skill given the fast and undulating surfaces of Le Golf National. Her precise iron play will enable her to navigate the course's hazards effectively and avoid the pitfalls that can derail less accurate competitors.

Each-Way Outsider: Albane Valenzuela

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Strong Approach Play

Albane Valenzuela presents a compelling case as a high-odds bet, primarily due to her strong approach play. This season, she ranks seventh in Strokes Gained Approach, indicating her proficiency in landing the ball close to the pin from various distances. On a course like Le Golf National, where accuracy and precision are paramount, Valenzuela’s approach play could prove to be a decisive factor. Her ability to handle the course's tight fairways and challenging greens will be crucial, particularly in the closing holes where water hazards can come into play.

Familiarity with Competitive Atmosphere

Valenzuela’s extensive experience in international competitions further bolsters her credentials. She has participated in two previous Olympics, finishing T21 in Rio and T18 in Tokyo. These experiences have provided her with a deep understanding of the pressures and unique dynamics of Olympic competition.

Her multicultural background, with roots in Mexico, Switzerland, and France, enhances her adaptability and mental resilience, allowing her to thrive in diverse environments and under varying conditions. Valenzuela’s familiarity with the competitive atmosphere of major tournaments and her ability to perform under pressure make her a formidable contender.

Inspirational Factors and Recent Form

Valenzuela’s recent form also points to her potential for a strong performance. Earlier this year, she finished second in Thailand and secured a T22 at the Evian Championship. Her close friend Katie Ledecky’s historic gold medal win at the swimming venue has also served as a source of inspiration.

Witnessing Ledecky’s success firsthand has undoubtedly boosted Valenzuela’s motivation and drive to excel. Additionally, her past performances, such as her near-win at last year’s Chevron Championship, demonstrate her capability to contend at the highest level. Valenzuela’s presence in Paris, soaking up the Olympic atmosphere and participating in the festivities, suggests she is mentally prepared and highly motivated to perform well.

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John Pentin
Born and raised in London, John has always been in love with sport. He started successfully his own blog back in 2006, while writing for football in several newspaper. John has also worked with several betting operators as sports trader and has joined BettingTips4You.com since the start in 2013. John is now head of the content team at BettingTips4You.com.