The DP World Tour resumes this week with the Magical Kenya Open, set against the picturesque backdrop of Muthaiga Golf Club in Nairobi. Read on for our expert preview and to find the best tips and analysis and don’t miss out on the best bookmaker offers as listed below.
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Golf betting tips: Magical Kenya Open
Who Will Shine at the Magical Kenya Open? A Test of Precision Awaits
- Jorge Campillo’s previous win at Muthaiga (2023) came with an 18-under-par total, demonstrating his ability to go low on this course.
- His strokes gained tee-to-green (0.352) ranks among the best in the field, highlighting his accuracy and control—two crucial attributes at Muthaiga.
- Despite a slightly negative strokes gained putting (-0.110), his one-putt percentage (39.74%) shows he can convert key birdie opportunities when in rhythm.
Our Tips
Jorge Campillo to Win the Magical Kenya Open | |
22/1 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Jorge Campillo, a 22/1 contender, won in 2023 and excels at Muthaiga. Strong approach play, scrambling, and final-round scoring make him a top pick despite putting inconsistencies. | |
This event, now in its fourth consecutive year at this venue, marks the 10th tournament of the 2025 DP World Tour season. A total of 156 players will compete for a $2.5 million prize purse, with defending champion Darius van Driel aiming to retain his title.
Muthaiga, a par-71, 7,228-yard course, is renowned for its tree-lined fairways and strategically placed water hazards, which make precision and course management vital. The Karura Forest surroundings contribute to the course’s scenic appeal, while the thin air at 1,800 metres above sea level allows for longer ball flights, reducing the effective yardage of the layout.
Over the years, the winning score has fluctuated, with past champions finishing anywhere from 14-under to a record 21-under. This suggests that while low scores are possible, consistent iron play and strategic putting remain crucial for success. With no players currently ranked inside the world’s top 100, this week presents a major opportunity for those looking to establish themselves on the DP World Tour.
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Best Bet: Jorge Campillo to Win
Jorge Campillo stands out as the most compelling contender at 22/1, and there are several reasons why he represents the best value bet for this tournament.
First and foremost, Campillo has previously won this event, securing victory in 2023 with a score of 18-under-par. His experience at Muthaiga Golf Club gives him a significant advantage over much of the field. While he did not defend his title in 2024 due to commitments on the PGA Tour, his familiarity with the course could prove pivotal.
Statistically, his game aligns well with the demands of this venue. His strokes gained approach (0.157) and strokes gained tee-to-green (0.352) show that he possesses the accuracy needed to navigate Muthaiga’s tight fairways and challenging greens. In addition, his scrambling percentage (61.27%) is among the stronger areas of his game, crucial for salvaging par when missing greens in regulation.
While his driving distance (296.7 yards) is not among the longest, it should not be a major disadvantage, given the altitude in Nairobi which allows the ball to travel further. His driving accuracy (61.76%) is respectable, ensuring he can keep himself in play and avoid the numerous water hazards and tree-lined trouble spots on the course.
Despite some inconsistencies with putting (strokes gained putting: -0.110), his one-putt percentage (39.74%) suggests he can convert birdie opportunities when given the chance. If he can gain confidence on the greens early in the week, he has the potential to outscore the field.
With three DP World Tour titles already to his name, Campillo knows how to handle the pressure of Sunday contention. His final-round scoring average of 69.50 also suggests he is capable of finishing strong, which could be decisive if the leaderboard remains tight heading into the closing holes.
All factors considered, Jorge Campillo’s combination of course experience, iron precision, and short-game resilience make him the strongest candidate to lift the Magical Kenya Open trophy once again.
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