The John Deere Classic headlines Tuesday’s golfing action as the PGA Tour shifts to Illinois and the familiar fairways of TPC Deere Run. Read on for our expert preview and to find the best tips and analysis and don’t miss out on the best bookmaker offers as listed below.
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Golf betting tips: John Deere Classic Predictions
Will Accuracy Win the Day at TPC Deere Run?
- Thorbjornsen ranks 6th in Greens in Regulation with a superb 70.49% success rate, critical on a course where precision trumps distance.
- With a Birdie Average of 4.40, he’s among the Tour’s best at capitalising on scoring opportunities, ideal for this low-par layout.
- He gained over 0.45 strokes Off-the-Tee, placing him inside the top 20 in that metric—a valuable asset even on tighter setups like TPC Deere Run.
Our Tips
Michael Thorbjornsen to win | |
25/1 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Michael Thorbjornsen’s elite ball-striking, top-tier birdie average and strong recent finish position him perfectly for a breakthrough win at a venue he’s already nearly conquered. His form and fit are hard to ignore. | |
With its reputation as a venue that yields birdies in bunches, anticipation is high for another week of low scoring, with ideal early-week weather setting the stage for aggressive play. However, conditions may change as wind and showers are expected to arrive over the weekend, potentially complicating final-round scenarios.
Last year, Davis Thompson rewrote the tournament record books with a scintillating 28-under-par winning total, and several of 2025’s young guns return, hoping to follow a similar path. Among the most discussed names are Luke Clanton and Michael Thorbjornsen, both of whom shared runner-up honours behind Thompson in 2024. While Clanton endured a turbulent third round last time out in Detroit, he remains in the conversation due to his prior form at this venue.
Ben Griffin arrives as the bookmakers’ choice, bolstered by consistent recent showings and a Colonial win that aligns with this course’s demands. Yet the event’s true intrigue may lie in whether this steady-handed track favours short game artists over pure power. TPC Deere Run doesn’t always reward the bombers—it’s precision and putting that have often tipped the balance here. With the Open Championship looming, the John Deere Classic also serves as a final gateway for players looking to secure their spot via a top-five finish, adding further motivation to a field hungry for opportunity.
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Best Bet – Michael Thorbjornsen to win
At BettingTips4You, we pride ourselves on providing a single refined selection for each event rather than overwhelming you with multiple speculative options. Our focus is on well-researched, high-quality picks that streamline the process for readers and make the performance of our advice far easier to track. Today’s standout bet for the John Deere Classic is Michael Thorbjornsen to win.
Why Backing Thorbjornsen Makes Sense
Michael Thorbjornsen’s blend of raw ability and timely form places him front and centre as the most compelling choice this week. Coming off a narrow miss in Detroit where he finished inside the top five, he returns to a venue that already suits his eye—his tied-second finish at last year’s John Deere Classic confirms that. While some concerns remain about the suitability of his aggressive driving style to a course that rewards accuracy over brute force, there is little question about his momentum and motivation.
Statistically, he makes a powerful case. Ranking 5th on Tour in driving distance at over 316 yards and top 20 in Off-the-Tee strokes gained, he commands attention on longer holes. More crucially, his Greens in Regulation percentage stands at an elite 70.49%, 6th-best in the field. This level of ball-striking gives him repeated birdie chances, which at TPC Deere Run is vital given its low-scoring profile. While his approach play and putting metrics have fluctuated, his ability to recover and convert chances has kept him in contention. Thorbjornsen’s Birdie Average of 4.40 per round—6th on Tour—demonstrates the scoring explosiveness required to win this shootout-style event.
With form trending upward and course history reinforcing his fit, he offers genuine value. While there are tidy, experienced operators in this week’s field, few combine current confidence with prior success at Deere Run quite like Thorbjornsen. In a field where volatility can emerge, he’s the type of talent who can break through with a statement win.
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