As the sun rises over Memphis, attention turns sharply to the start of the FedEx Cup playoffs, which begin today with the prestigious FedEx St. Jude Championship. Hosted once more at TPC Southwind, this event not only launches the three-tournament playoff series but also acts as a pivotal cut-off point in the race for the Tour Championship. Read on for our expert preview and to find the best tips and analysis and don’t miss out on the best bookmaker offers as listed below.
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Golf betting tips: FedEx St Jude Championship Predictions
Can Justin Thomas Handle the Pressure at TPC Southwind?
- Justin Thomas leads the tour in putting average, registering an unmatched 1.679 per green.
- He ranks second on tour in birdie average, scoring 4.5 per round across 64 starts.
- His Strokes Gained Total rating of 1.342 places him sixth overall in this elite 69-man field.
Our Tips
Justin Thomas To Win | |
22/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Justin Thomas is a proven contender at Southwind, having won here previously despite poor putting. His long-game excellence remains intact, and this course rewards exactly that profile. He has the tools to win. |
With just 70 players in the field—now 69 following Rory McIlroy’s decision to skip the week—every shot holds weight, especially as only the top 30 will ultimately advance.
The $20 million prize purse adds extra incentive, and so too do the 2,000 FedEx Cup points up for grabs. Scottie Scheffler, who has just triumphed at The Open, arrives as the headline name and top seed, while Hideki Matsuyama looks to defend his crown following his 2024 success here. Yet, with names like J.J. Spaun also drawing attention after a breakthrough year, the door is wide open for a player to seize the momentum early.
This course, which boasts the distinction of causing more penalty strokes through water hazards than any other on tour, demands accuracy, control, and a calm head. Expect tension, expect drama, but above all, expect a ruthless level of competition as players jostle for position in the chase for FedEx glory.
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Best Bet for Today: Justin Thomas to Win the FedEx St. Jude Championship
Here at BettingTips4You, we value precision over excess. Rather than cloud judgement with a flurry of conflicting tips, we focus on delivering one high-quality selection per event—the bet we consider strongest. This allows our readers to make confident, informed choices without hesitation. For today’s play at TPC Southwind, our standout selection is Justin Thomas to win.
Despite flying somewhat under the radar compared to more fancied rivals, Justin Thomas enters the FedEx St. Jude Championship with the statistical backing to mount a serious challenge. Currently ranked sixth for Strokes Gained Total (1.342), Thomas’s game is well-rounded, and he appears to be peaking at precisely the right moment. The layout at TPC Southwind prioritises accuracy and finesse, particularly on approach shots and greens—areas where Thomas excels.
While his driving accuracy sits at a modest 53.70%, placing him 161st in the field, this apparent weakness is softened by his consistent gains in other key departments. He ranks 18th for SG: Approach the Green (0.563) and 13th for SG: Putting (0.488), with a short-game average that’s among the best on tour. Notably, he leads the tour in putting average (1.679), is third in putts per round (27.98), and ranks first in birdie conversion rate at 37.37%. Those metrics matter immensely on a course like Southwind, which punishes wayward tee shots but rewards those who can capitalise from the fairway or scramble effectively.
His touch around the greens is further underlined by a sand save percentage of 60.91% (48th), and he shows real consistency in pressure rounds, evidenced by a final round scoring average of 68.67—eighth best in the field. If the course begins to bare its teeth, Thomas’s mental fortitude and performance under pressure could separate him from the chasing pack.
His all-round game suggests he is more than capable of overcoming any challenges the course throws up. TPC Southwind’s premium on iron precision and putting brilliance fits seamlessly with Thomas’s profile, and if he brings even average form, he has every chance of outlasting his more favoured opponents. For that reason, Justin Thomas to win is our Best Bet.
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