Golf Betting Tips: DP World Tour Championship predictions, preview and best bets

The DP World Tour moves from Abu Dhabi to Dubai for its traditional curtain closer and our experts have previewed this event and also suggested the best bet for this week. Read on for the complete analysis and tips.

Golf betting tips: DP World Tour Championship

Will Yas Links Witness Another Masterclass from Fleetwood?

• Tommy Fleetwood has secured three European Tour victories in the Middle East.
• Yas Links features water on nine holes, challenging players to stay precise under pressure.
• Fleetwood has recorded four top-10 finishes in 2024, showcasing his strong season form.

Our Tips

The DP World Tour Championship returns this week, bringing the 2024 season to a dramatic close at the Earth Course, Jumeirah Golf Estates in Dubai. This prestigious tournament, often considered one of the most elite events on the DP World Tour calendar, serves as the season’s finale, drawing in the top 50 players based on the standings. Set on Greg Norman’s lengthy desert course, the Earth Course stretches over 7,706 yards, challenging players with generous fairways flanked by 99 bunkers and strategically placed water hazards. The Tifeagle Bermuda greens, known for their undulating surfaces and run-off areas, add an extra layer of complexity, making precision a premium for any golfer aiming to succeed here.

The Earth Course demands a balance of power and finesse, especially with water coming into play on the 6th, 14th, and the final three holes. The closing stretch is particularly memorable, with the island green on the par-three 17th often setting up thrilling finishes. The par-five 18th requires both strategic thinking and execution, as players who go for the green in two must navigate water hazards on either side, while a safer lay-up introduces a third hazard into the approach. Despite its length, the course is known for yielding low scores in calm conditions, as seen with rounds in the 50s previously recorded. Players who can capitalise on the course’s par-fives, which are crucial to scoring here, often find themselves in contention come Sunday.

Best Bet for the Event: Tommy Fleetwood to Win

Rationale for Backing Fleetwood

Tommy Fleetwood is well-placed to take on the Earth Course, with his game aligning effectively with its demands. Known for his reliable iron play, Fleetwood ranks highly in total driving, which allows him to find fairways consistently and set up ideal positions for approach shots. His ranking in strokes gained off-the-tee and around-the-green further highlights his suitability for a course that favours all-around players who can handle both long drives and delicate short-game shots.

Fleetwood’s recent expert ratings reflects his solid form, making him a strong contender to succeed on this demanding course. His ability to scramble effectively from rough positions (ranking first in scrambling from rough) and strong sand-save percentage suggests he is well-prepared to tackle the Earth Course’s bunkers and unpredictable fairways. His adaptability on par-fives—an essential scoring area on this course—positions him as a serious contender to lift the trophy in Dubai. With a history of clutch performances in high-stakes environments, Fleetwood’s mental resilience and consistency will be invaluable as he navigates the pressures of this end-of-season championship.

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