The PGA Tour’s Florida swing begins with the Cognizant Classic, the first of four consecutive events in the Sunshine State. Read on for the complete preview and tips and make sure to check out the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.
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Golf betting tips: Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches
Can Anyone Tame PGA National’s Bear Trap This Week?
- Keith Mitchell previously won at PGA National in 2019 and has a strong record on challenging courses.
- Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and Greens in Regulation have been critical metrics for past winners, both of which are areas where Mitchell excels.
- Last year’s winning total of 17-under by Austin Eckroat was the lowest at this event since 2003, highlighting how conditions have slightly eased but still present a test.
Our Tips
Tommy Fleetwood to Win | |
14/1 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Fleetwood’s all-round game is tailor-made for TPC San Antonio. With elite tee-to-green numbers and steady putting, he brings the consistency required to navigate this wind-exposed layout. His ability to control iron shots and avoid errors under pressure gives him the edge. This could finally be his week to win on US soil. | |
The PGA Tour’s Florida swing begins with the Cognizant Classic, the first of four consecutive events in the Sunshine State. Held at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, this tournament is renowned for its demanding layout, with water hazards in play on 13 holes and an unforgiving final stretch known as the Bear Trap. Accuracy and composure are crucial, especially in the closing stages where even the most experienced players can struggle.
Previously called the Honda Classic, this event has a long history of producing dramatic finishes, and with a strong field competing for valuable FedEx Cup points, the stakes are high. This week also represents the final opportunity for players to secure a spot in the upcoming Arnold Palmer Invitational, a signature event on the PGA Tour.
Shane Lowry enters as the betting favourite, with his early-season form catching attention after a solid display at Pebble Beach. He will be challenged by Russell Henley and Sungjae Im, both of whom have shown consistency on courses with similar characteristics. However, last year’s winner, Austin Eckroat, proved that this event is open to longshots, having triumphed with a score of 17-under—the lowest winning total in over 20 years.
Conditions at PGA National can vary, with wind often playing a significant role. While recent changes to the course have made scoring slightly easier, its heavily bunkered layout and tricky greens continue to provide a stiff challenge. Players who excel in Greens in Regulation and Strokes Gained: Tee to Green are likely to perform well, making ball-striking a key factor in determining the winner.
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Best Bet: Keith Mitchell to Win
Keith Mitchell stands out as the most compelling choice to lift the trophy at PGA National this week. His previous success at this venue in 2019, combined with his strong all-round game, makes him a prime candidate to contend once again.
Mitchell’s strength lies in his ability to gain strokes off the tee, ranking among the top performers in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee this season. His powerful and accurate driving allows him to position himself well on a course where avoiding the water is essential. Furthermore, his Greens in Regulation percentage is among the best in the field, ensuring he will give himself plenty of birdie opportunities.
While his putting has been inconsistent at times, PGA National does not necessarily reward those who rely heavily on the flat stick. Recent winners have demonstrated that elite ball-striking can outweigh an average performance on the greens, which suits Mitchell’s style of play. Additionally, his scrambling ability—ranking among the top in Sand Save Percentage—means he can recover well when facing challenging bunker shots around the green.
Given his previous win at this course and his suitability for the conditions, Mitchell presents strong value to add a second Cognizant Classic title to his name. His familiarity with the layout and ability to navigate difficult stretches like the Bear Trap should put him in prime position to challenge for victory.
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