Friday Expert’s Accumulator: This fourfold leans fully into the goals markets. Denmark’s home scoring record makes the “Over” logical against Scotland’s revitalised away form. Italy should generate plenty against Estonia. France’s clash with Ukraine carries attacking weight on neutral ground. Switzerland’s recent friendlies and Kosovo’s scoring streak make their meeting another strong candidate for overs.
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Reasoning We’re backing a controlled contest at St James’ Park, Barcelona’s sustained superiority over a struggling Real Sociedad, a to-and-fro at San Siro where both giants carry firepower, and a confident Stuttgart side to outclass a leaky Cologne. The quartet blends pragmatic totals with clear form edges across Europe’s top leagues. | |
Denmark vs Scotland
Linus Bergström; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Parken has become one of Europe’s most reliable stages for goals. Denmark have scored freely at home in qualifying, with an average of 3.8 across their last five such matches. Their ability to press high and sustain waves of attacks typically leads to breakthroughs in the first half and further goals after the break. Brian Riemer’s side also rarely settle for narrow margins, with three of their last five home qualifiers won by at least two goals.
Scotland add another layer to the case for goals. Steve Clarke’s men are more adventurous away from Hampden Park, collecting consecutive away wins in Poland and Greece before this campaign. Che Adams’ current form, fresh from a hat-trick against Liechtenstein, and Scott McTominay’s penchant for late surges give them chances to contribute. The Danes’ defensive solidity may not hold against such intent, but their own attacking strength makes this a contest where the “Over” looks compelling.
Best bet – Over 2.5 Goals
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Italy vs Estonia
John Pentin; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Italy’s new chapter under Gennaro Gattuso promises a more aggressive, high-energy approach that should translate into chances. The Azzurri enter needing points quickly, which suggests a front-foot setup. Their history against Estonia is one-sided: six meetings, six Italian wins, and a 4-0 result in their most recent encounter. Italy’s depth in attacking positions should guarantee a stream of opportunities. Mateo Retegui’s goalscoring touch, combined with the availability of Moise Kean, Giacomo Raspadori and Gianluca Scamacca, indicates plenty of firepower.
Estonia’s struggles at the back also support the case. They lost at home to Israel and Norway in this campaign, and without their captain Karol Mets, their back line looks thin. Arsenal’s Karl Hein can only absorb so much in goal. Estonia did manage a 2-1 win over Moldova, showing they can both concede and score in the same game. With Italy expected to dominate and Estonia capable of contributing in fleeting moments, this match should comfortably clear the goals line.
Best bet – Over 2.5 Goals
Ukraine vs France
Tyler Morris; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Neutral venue or not, Wroclaw is set up for entertainment. France’s front line remains among the most potent in world football: Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise and Marcus Thuram all bring different threats. Didier Deschamps’ side may not always be flawless defensively, as seen in their Nations League semi-final collapse, but they are rarely short of scoring power.
Ukraine, meanwhile, have attacking talent of their own. Artem Dovbyk offers a strong focal point, while Viktor Tsygankov and Georgiy Sudakov provide dynamism and creativity behind him. Oleksandr Zinchenko anchors midfield with vision, which can help unlock opportunities even against strong opposition. Ukraine’s form has been patchy, but they remain committed to attacking football.
Given France’s tendency to both score and concede in big matches, and Ukraine’s pressing need to impress in the group, goals feel inevitable. The “Over” market is far more appealing than siding with either nation outright.
Best bet – Over 2.5 Goals
Switzerland vs Kosovo
Wolfgang Shotten; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Basel has already seen Switzerland embrace expansive football this year. After a relegation from Nations League A, Murat Yakin’s players have responded by hitting eight goals across their last two friendlies — four against Mexico and another four against the USA. Breel Embolo is chasing a run of consecutive international goals, Ruben Vargas brings pace from wide, and Granit Xhaka supplies midfield control with licence to push forward.
Kosovo arrive as one of Europe’s in-form underdogs. Franco Foda’s side have won six on the spin, scoring at least twice in seven of their last nine matches. Vedat Muriqi remains the spearhead, supported by creative players such as Milot Rashica and Emir Krasniqi. Their defence is often open, though, as demonstrated by their 5-2 win against Armenia and 4-2 victory over Comoros.
When two high-scoring teams collide, goals are the obvious play. Switzerland’s ambition and Kosovo’s sharp finishing both point strongly towards another game that breaks the 2.5 barrier.
Best bet – Over 2.5 Goals
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