Conventional wisdom might suggest that this tie is already decided, with Atalanta carrying a 3-0 aggregate lead into the second leg after a stunning victory at Anfield. They now return to play before their home crowd in a strong position.
Meanwhile, Liverpool are reeling from consecutive home defeats, including a recent upset by Crystal Palace that has derailed their title hopes, likely leaving them with only the Carabao Cup as silverware this season. Despite these setbacks, expect Liverpool to aggressively pursue an attacking strategy in the upcoming match. This approach could open up numerous opportunities for a huge 63/1 Bet Builder, in a clash that is poised to be anything but uneventful.
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Atalanta vs Liverpool Ultimate Bet Builder
Liverpool to Take Over 8 Corners
Rationale:
Given their current situation in the tie, Liverpool’s approach will likely be aggressively offensive right from the kickoff. Historical data and their natural playing style under Jürgen Klopp suggest a high volume of corner opportunities. Liverpool’s corner stats are notable—they average 7.50 corners per game in the Premier League, only second to Manchester City. When the stakes are as high as they are, and considering the need to overturn a significant deficit, Liverpool’s strategy will involve pushing many players forward and utilising wide areas, naturally leading to more corners.
In recent European competitions, when trailing, Liverpool’s corner count has significantly increased, such as taking nine against Real Madrid last season and an overwhelming 16 against Atletico Madrid in 2020 within 90 minutes of play. This pattern underscores their tendency to ramp up pressure through wide attacks when facing adverse scores, making a bet on them achieving over 8 corners a calculated choice.
Alexis Mac Allister to Score
Rationale:
Alexis Mac Allister has become an integral part of Liverpool’s midfield, contributing six goals and seven assists across all competitions this season. His ability to arrive in the box at crucial moments makes him a potent threat for scoring, particularly in a match where Liverpool will be desperate to find the net from multiple sources.
Given Atalanta’s need to defend their lead, spaces may open up for midfield runners like Mac Allister, who has shown he can capitalise on such opportunities. His recent form and knack for crucial goals add value to betting on him as a scorer, especially as Liverpool will maximise every set-piece and attacking play to overturn the tie.
Mohamed Salah to Have 4+ Shots
Rationale:
Mohamed Salah, Liverpool’s leading forward, is known for his high shot volume in critical matches. Even after coming off the bench in the first leg, he managed three attempts on goal. Expected to start in the second leg, Salah will be central to Liverpool’s attacking efforts. His track record this season includes significant shooting performances, like six attempts at Manchester United recently.
With Liverpool in a must-score situation, Salah’s proclivity to shoot frequently aligns perfectly with the team’s strategy to attack relentlessly. Betting on Salah to have over 3.5 shots is supported by his consistent ability to test goalkeepers and his pivotal role in Liverpool’s strategy to stage a comeback.
Marten de Roon to Be Shown a Card
Rationale:
Marten de Roon, known for his robust style of play in midfield, will be crucial in Atalanta’s efforts to disrupt Liverpool’s rhythm and protect their aggregate lead. His disciplinary record this season includes 10 yellow cards in 26 Serie A appearances, highlighting his tendency to commit tactical fouls. With Liverpool expected to control possession and press intensively, de Roon will be pivotal in breaking up play, increasing the likelihood of him receiving a booking.
His recent form, with two bookings in his last three games, further cements the likelihood of this outcome. Given the high-pressure context of the match and de Roon’s role as a midfield enforcer, betting on him to receive a card seems a prudent choice.
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