Top football tips for Friday: Friday’s Top Football Tips: Expert picks for Slovenia v Sweden, Denmark v Scotland, Italy v Estonia and Switzerland v Kosovo. Goals markets dominate today’s selections. Read on for all the tips and make sure to take advantage of the best betting offers listed below.
Let’s now dive into the top football tips of the day.
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📊 Three Key Stats Behind Today’s Picks
- Denmark average 3.8 goals per game in their last five home qualifiers.
- Italy have beaten Estonia in all six previous meetings.
- Sweden have scored 2+ in nine of their last 10 games.
Slovenia vs Sweden
Linus Bergström; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Stadion Stožice has been a fortress for Slovenia, with just one defeat across their last 18 home fixtures. They come into this clash after edging Bosnia 2-1 in June, extending a run of five straight matches without defeat. The home side have conceded only once in their last four outings, which highlights defensive stability, but their issue remains in the attacking third: only four goals scored in that same period.
Sweden, by contrast, offer plenty in forward areas but lack the same defensive reassurance. Jon Dahl Tomasson’s side have scored two or more goals in nine of their last 10 games, including a 4-3 thriller against Algeria, but they have also shipped five across their most recent four matches. Viktor Gyökeres is in prolific form, while Alexander Isak’s fitness will dictate whether he starts or comes off the bench. Slovenia’s Benjamin Šeško ensures the hosts are not without threat.
With both sides bringing strengths and weaknesses, goals should arrive, but Slovenia’s home resilience tempers expectations of a goal glut. The Under 3.5 Goals line provides value, balancing Sweden’s firepower with Slovenia’s ability to contain.
Best bet – Under 3.5 Goals
Both Teams to Score | |
17/20 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Milan are solid at the back but face a Napoli side who consistently score goals. With attacking stars on both sides and defensive frailties for Napoli, both teams finding the net looks highly likely at San Siro. | |
Denmark vs Scotland
John Pentin; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Parken Stadium has consistently delivered goals in recent qualifiers, with Denmark averaging nearly four per game at home in this competition. Brian Riemer’s men also have a record of winning 11 of their last 12 World Cup qualifiers on Danish soil, underlining the strength of their home performances. Kasper Dolberg, who has scored eight in his last international outings, remains a central figure, while Rasmus Højlund adds pace and presence.
Scotland, meanwhile, are far from spectators. Steve Clarke’s side have developed into a credible force, winning their last three away games, including notable victories in Poland and Greece. Che Adams brings goalscoring form after a hat-trick against Liechtenstein, while Scott McTominay and John McGinn carry midfield threat. Defensively, however, Scotland can be vulnerable under sustained pressure, and Denmark’s relentless pressing often wears down opponents over time.
With both teams capable of scoring and Denmark’s home dominance pointing towards another entertaining match, the Over 2.5 Goals market looks well priced.
Best bet – Over 2.5 Goals
Barcelona to Win and Over 3.5 Team Goals | |
6/5 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Barcelona’s home form and attacking depth should overwhelm Real Sociedad, who have struggled in this fixture historically. With Lewandowski and Torres leading the line, a high-scoring performance from Flick’s side looks the most logical outcome. | |
Italy vs Estonia
Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Italy enter this fixture desperate to avoid a third successive World Cup qualifying disappointment. Gennaro Gattuso has reintroduced a four-man defence, freeing full-backs to support attacks, which should create more scoring chances. The Azzurri have a flawless record against Estonia, winning all six previous encounters, including a 4-0 success in their last meeting.
Offensively, Italy have options. Mateo Retegui is in scoring form, Moise Kean and Gianluca Scamacca bring physicality, while Giacomo Raspadori offers mobility. With Sandro Tonali and Nicolo Barella providing creativity, they should create plenty against Estonia’s back line. Estonia, missing skipper Karol Mets, are fragile defensively and have conceded heavily to both Israel and Norway. Arsenal-owned keeper Karl Hein can expect a busy evening.
Italy’s defensive security with Gianluigi Donnarumma between the posts suggests Estonia’s scoring chances will be limited. Combining Italy’s attacking urgency with Estonia’s vulnerability, the market of Italy to win with Over 2.5 Goals looks a strong angle.
Best bet – Italy to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals | |
4/6 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Rennes’ defensive leaks combined with Lens’ attacking strength suggest an open contest. Both teams carry creative quality and recent head-to-heads have produced lively matches. Over 2.5 goals looks a strong option in this Ligue 1 clash. | |
Switzerland vs Kosovo
Wolfgang Shotten; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Switzerland approach this match in Basel after an impressive scoring spree in friendlies, hammering Mexico 4-2 and then the USA 4-0. Murat Yakin’s side, however, were relegated from Nations League A, leaving them with a point to prove in competitive action. Breel Embolo is chasing goals in a third straight international, Ruben Vargas adds width and pace, while Granit Xhaka’s leadership and passing range dictate the tempo.
Kosovo are in the midst of a strong run, winning six on the bounce and scoring at least two in seven of their last nine games. Vedat Muriqi is their main danger, supported by Milot Rashica and Florent Muslija. Their defensive unit, though, is vulnerable, with Armenia and Comoros both scoring multiple times against them recently.
The combination of Switzerland’s quality and Kosovo’s attacking spirit points towards goals. With both sides happy to play open football, Over 2.5 Goals is the natural call.
Best bet – Over 2.5 Goals
Stuttgart to Win | |
6/4 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Stuttgart’s momentum, attacking strength and home advantage point to another victory. Cologne’s defensive frailties are likely to be punished by a Stuttgart side in strong form, making the hosts the more reliable pick. | |
🧲 Friday Super Double
For Friday’s extra value, we combine two different angles:
- Slovenia vs Sweden – Under 2.5 Goals
- Denmark vs Scotland – Denmark to Score in Both Halves
Rationale:
The Super Double blends Slovenia’s home solidity, which often keeps scorelines tight, with Denmark’s proven ability to strike repeatedly in front of their Copenhagen fans. These bets avoid conflict with our main picks while offering a realistic chance of cashing as a combined double.
Sunday’s Super Double | |
2/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Both San Siro and Estadi Olímpic feature attacking firepower on both sides. Milan and Napoli look set for goals in a high-profile Serie A battle, while Real Sociedad can trouble Barcelona despite their likely defeat. Combining over 2.5 goals in Italy with both teams scoring in Spain makes an appealing double. | |
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