Friday’s Football Tips: Nice, St Pauli & Genoa in Focus

Our football experts have analysed Friday’s fixtures in-depth to bring you their best bets of the day. With key matches across Europe, including the Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Serie A, and La Liga, our team has carefully selected the strongest value picks.

Let’s dive into Friday’s top football betting tips!

Our experts have studied the stats, assessed the form, and picked four standout bets that promise great value. Let’s dive into their selections.

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St Pauli vs Hoffenheim

Wolfgang Shotten; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You

Rationale:

St Pauli find themselves in a precarious position near the foot of the Bundesliga table, with just two points keeping them above the relegation play-off spot. Their recent struggles have been evident, with only one goal scored in their last five matches and a winless run stretching to six games. The defensive frailties have also been a concern, conceding nine goals in their last five outings.

Hoffenheim, on the other hand, are showing signs of defensive stability, having conceded just three times in their past four matches. Their away form has been impressive, with four victories in their last five trips in all competitions. While they were beaten 2-0 by St Pauli earlier this season, Hoffenheim’s improved organisation at the back and St Pauli’s attacking woes make the visitors strong contenders to take something from this game.

Best Bet: Hoffenheim to Win

Newcastle United to win
4/6 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Newcastle are in great shape and chasing a Champions League spot, while Manchester United are struggling both in the league and with injuries. Eddie Howe’s side are on a four-match winning streak and have already beaten United twice this season, giving them a huge edge going into this one.

Nice vs Auxerre

Tyler Morris; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You

Rationale:

Nice have enjoyed a strong Ligue 1 campaign, and despite their recent loss to Lyon, they remain in contention for a Champions League spot. Their home record has been formidable, with their recent defeat to Lyon being their first at Allianz Riviera this season. Prior to that, they were on a four-match winning run, showcasing their ability to dominate at home.

Auxerre, meanwhile, have found some form after a poor run, winning two of their last three games. However, their away form has been inconsistent, with just one win on the road since November. Nice’s defensive record has been one of the best in the league, and given their urgency to maintain a top-three position, they should have enough quality to secure a comfortable victory.

Best Bet: Nice -1 Handicap

Under 2.5 Goals
4/7 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Bilbao are defensively solid but have been struggling to convert chances, with three 0-0 draws in a row. Rayo, fresh from a heavy defeat, are unlikely to open up. Bilbao’s home advantage and history in this fixture suggest a narrow win or a tight, low-scoring game is on the cards.

Las Palmas vs Alaves

Steve Harrington; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You

Rationale:

This relegation battle in La Liga is set to be a tense affair, with both sides desperate for points to avoid the drop. Las Palmas have been struggling throughout 2025, failing to win any of their last 10 matches in all competitions. Their scoring woes have been particularly concerning, having netted just four times in their last eight league games.

Alaves, while also battling relegation, come into this fixture on the back of an impressive 1-0 win over Villarreal. They have historically fared well against Las Palmas, winning three of their last five meetings. Given Las Palmas’ inability to convert chances and Alaves’ recent resilience, backing the visitors to secure at least a point seems a logical choice.

Best Bet: Alaves Double Chance (Win or Draw)

Roma or Draw (Double Chance)
4/11 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Roma are on a 15-game unbeaten run in Serie A and have looked far more assured than a stuttering Lazio. Their strong derby record and defensive solidity give them the edge. Lazio have failed to string wins together, and their midweek defeat has exposed vulnerabilities Roma are well-equipped to exploit.

Genoa vs Lecce

Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You

Rationale:

Genoa have established themselves as a tough side to break down under Patrick Vieira. They have conceded just five goals at home all season, making them one of the most defensively disciplined teams in Serie A. Their recent form has been steady, with just one defeat in their last five matches.

Lecce, meanwhile, are struggling, having lost their last three league outings. They were on the verge of a famous win against AC Milan last weekend but capitulated late on. Their away record has been poor, and with Genoa’s defensive strength at home, it is difficult to see the visitors breaking them down. Given Genoa’s ability to grind out results, a low-scoring home win seems the most likely outcome.

Best Bet: Genoa to Win & Under 2.5 Goals

Moreirense to win
5/4 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Moreirense have started to click again, securing key points recently, while Rio Ave’s confidence is at rock bottom after five consecutive defeats. The visitors are leaking goals and have been poor on the road. Home advantage and a more cohesive setup make Moreirense favourites to take all three points.

Friday’s Super Double

For today’s double, we are selecting two alternative bets to add variety:

  • Nice to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
  • Alaves to Win

Rationale:

Nice have been strong at home and are capable of a dominant performance against a mid-table Auxerre side. Given the attacking quality they possess, we expect them to win with goals in the game. Meanwhile, Alaves’ confidence-boosting win over Villarreal suggests they can take advantage of a struggling Las Palmas side.

Sunday’s Super Double
3/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
The clash at St James’ Park is shaping up to be a high-octane affair, with both sides prone to defensive lapses and capable up front. In Rome, while Roma are tight at the back, derbies often defy patterns – both sides possess attacking threats and a goal apiece looks very plausible.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!