Top football tips for Wednesday: four expert selections including Bahia, Corinthians, Cruzeiro and Millonarios. Read on to view the tips, expert reasoning and our Daily Super Double for today’s fixtures and make the most of the betting offers listed below.
Let’s now dive into the top football tips of the day.
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📊 Three Key Stats Behind Today’s Picks
- Cruzeiro have recorded five clean sheets in their last eight matches.
- Bahia are unbeaten in this year’s Copa do Brasil.
- Corinthians have gone 16 years without losing at home to Athletico Paranaense.
Fluminense vs Bahia
Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Bahia head to Rio with a 1–0 cushion from the first leg, and momentum is firmly on their side after clinching the Copa do Nordeste title last weekend. Rogerio Ceni’s squad have put together an impressive run, winning six of their last seven across all competitions. They are fourth in the Brasileiro table, highlighting consistency at the top end of the division.
Fluminense, on the other hand, are struggling. They have gone three matches without a win and have failed to score in two consecutive fixtures. Historically, Flu have failed to turn around a first-leg deficit in the Copa do Brasil in their last four attempts. The Maracanã is usually a fortress, but the pressure of overturning a deficit has weighed heavily in similar scenarios.
Bahia’s defensive shape has been resilient, with no goals conceded on their travels in this competition. Add in Juba’s attacking spark and Ronaldo’s reliability in goal, and the away side look well placed to frustrate their hosts.
Best bet – Bahia Double Chance (Win or Draw)
Bahia Double Chance (Win or Draw) | |
3/4 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Bahia have the form, a first-leg advantage and defensive structure to stifle Fluminense, who are winless in three and historically poor at overturning deficits. With Juba’s spark and Ronaldo in goal, the visitors should secure at least a draw to reach the semi-finals. |
Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense
John Pentin; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Corinthians come into the second leg with a narrow 1–0 advantage and home advantage at the Neo Química Arena. They have looked dominant in this year’s Copa do Brasil, stringing together five consecutive wins in the competition. Dorival Júnior’s players have also controlled recent encounters with Athletico Paranaense, unbeaten in the last four meetings and scoring five in their last meeting in São Paulo.
Paranaense are competitive, but they have not beaten Corinthians away from home since 2009, which is a significant mental block. Their recent Serie B wins show attacking intent, yet defensive fragility remains an issue. Against stronger opposition, conceding goals looks inevitable.
With Memphis Depay potentially featuring and strong squad depth available, Corinthians should find enough firepower to seal another home win. The crowd at the Arena often creates a hostile environment, and the hosts’ attacking rhythm should prove decisive.
Best bet – Corinthians to Win
Corinthians to Win | |
10/3 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Corinthians are strong at home, unbeaten in four against Paranaense and on a five-match winning streak in the Copa do Brasil. With an aggregate lead and a lively attack, Dorival Júnior’s team should complete the job in São Paulo. |
Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro
Wolfgang Shotten; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Cruzeiro hold a comfortable 2–0 aggregate lead from the first leg and approach this second meeting with renewed confidence. Leonardo Jardim’s men have gone four matches unbeaten, including three straight wins, showing resilience in tight matches. They are chasing their first Copa do Brasil semi-final appearance in seven years, and their tactical discipline has stood out.
The Foxes’ defensive record is solid: five clean sheets in their last eight matches, and crucially, none of the last six derbies against Atlético Mineiro have seen both teams score. This hints strongly at a low-scoring affair, as Cruzeiro only need to manage the tie.
Meanwhile, Atlético enter under new coach Jorge Sampaoli but are reeling from three straight defeats without a goal. They have lost sharpness in the final third, and pressure is high. Given Cruzeiro’s strong structure and Mineiro’s attacking struggles, a cagey contest is expected.
Best bet – Under 2.5 Goals
Under 2.5 Goals | |
4/7 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Cruzeiro carry a two-goal lead and a strong defensive record into this derby, while Atlético Mineiro are winless in three and lack cutting edge. With six straight derbies failing to produce goals at both ends, a low-scoring clash looks the most likely outcome. |
Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto
Linus Bergström; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Millonarios host Deportivo Pasto in Bogotá with plenty at stake. The home side favour a possession-heavy style, pressing high and aiming to exploit width, but Pasto’s counter-attacking structure often leads to open contests. Four of the last five Millonarios home matches have featured at least three goals, underlining their attacking intent and defensive gaps.
Pasto’s recent away fixtures have also produced goals, with ten strikes seen across their last four trips. They are capable of punishing teams on the break, but their defensive organisation has not been watertight, especially when facing higher-quality opposition.
The hosts have an excellent head-to-head record, unbeaten in ten against Pasto, winning seven of those encounters. That dominance, combined with their attacking patterns, suggests another home victory with goals involved. An over goals market offers the strongest value here given the contrasting approaches and recent form trends.
Best bet – Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals | |
7/5 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Millonarios’ home matches tend to produce goals, and Pasto’s away games have been similarly open. With the hosts dominant in head-to-head clashes and pushing forward aggressively, the likelihood of at least three goals in Bogotá looks high. |
🧲 Wednesday Super Double
Two selections stand out for added value when combined into a double:
- Fluminense vs Bahia – Under 2.5 Goals
- Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense – Both Teams to Score (No)
Rationale:
Both legs involve high-pressure cup ties where caution and defensive organisation take centre stage. Bahia will defend a narrow lead, likely keeping things tight at the Maracanã, while Corinthians’ strong home record and Paranaense’s attacking inconsistency point towards another match without both teams scoring.
Wednesday’s Super Double | |
2/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Both legs involve high-pressure cup ties where caution and defensive organisation take centre stage. Bahia will defend a narrow lead, likely keeping things tight at the Maracanã, while Corinthians’ strong home record and Paranaense’s attacking inconsistency point towards another match without both teams scoring. |
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