Now that the Euro 2024 group stage is complete, our focus moves to the knockout stage. Our team of experts has revised all the available betting markets in search of value, with the key information we have been able to acquire in the first two weeks of the tournament.
England are among the favourites to lift the Euro 2024 trophy, with their current odds set at 7/2 according to most firms. Spain follows closely with odds of 4/1, while Germany and France share odds of 11/2. Portugal, the Netherlands, Italy, and Austria round out the list of top contenders. Switzerland, Belgium, Denmark, and Turkey are considered outsiders, and teams like Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Georgia are long shots.
Euro 2024 Euro 2024 Knockout Prediction
Euro 2024 Knockout stage: A Comprehensive Preview and Predictions
Key Stats
– Defensive Prowess: England conceded only one goal in the group stage, with an expected goals against (xG) of just 1.1.
– Harry Kane’s Knockout Impact: Kane has scored 13 goals in major finals, with seven of those coming in knockout matches.
– Rising Star: Kobbie Mainoo is a standout young player with odds of 33/1 to win the Young Player of the Tournament.
England’s Favourable Draw
England’s route to the Euro 2024 final appears considerably favourable, offering a potentially smoother passage compared to other top contenders. Should Gareth Southgate’s men advance past the group stage, their likely quarter-final opponents could be either Switzerland or Italy. Both teams have shown moments of brilliance but are not insurmountable obstacles for an in-form England side.
In the semi-finals, England could face teams such as Romania, the Netherlands, Austria, or Turkey. Romania, while spirited, lack the depth and experience of England. The Netherlands, under Ronald Koeman, have shown inconsistency, making them a tricky but not unbeatable opponent. Austria, under the guidance of Ralf Rangnick, have displayed resilience and tactical flexibility, making them a potential threat. Turkey, though passionate and energetic, often struggle against top-tier European sides.
England’s defensive solidity has been a cornerstone of their campaign thus far. Conceding just one goal in the group stage and maintaining an expected goals (xG) against of a mere 1.1 highlights their robust defensive organisation. This defensive strength is crucial as they progress, providing a stable foundation upon which their attacking talents can build.
Despite some concerns about their offensive consistency, England’s potential shines through. Gareth Southgate’s strategic substitutions, particularly noted in their match against Slovenia, indicate a willingness to adapt and inject fresh energy into the squad. This flexibility in management is essential for navigating the knockout stages of a major tournament.
Moreover, the psychological advantage of an ‘easier’ draw cannot be understated. While England must remain vigilant against complacency, their journey to the final is more straightforward compared to the challenging paths faced by teams like Spain, France, and Germany. The relative ease of their draw provides a significant opportunity for England to reach the final, with the real challenge likely beginning at the semi-final stage against the Netherlands or Austria.
Potential Challengers
Spain has undoubtedly emerged as one of the standout teams of Euro 2024, making their mark with fluid, cohesive play and tactical dominance throughout the group stages. Their odds of 4/1 reflect their potential and the confidence placed in them by pundits and fans alike. Despite being on the more challenging side of the draw, Spain’s performances have been impressive, showcasing their ability to control games and break down even the most stubborn defences. Their tactical flexibility, combined with a blend of experienced players and young talents, positions them well for the knockout rounds. Spain are expected to face tough opponents such as Germany or Denmark in the quarter-finals, with possible semi-final clashes against heavyweights like France, Belgium, Portugal, or Slovenia.
France, despite the early setback of losing their star forward Kylian Mbappe to a broken nose in their opening game, remain a formidable force in the tournament. France’s rich history of success in recent decades, including winning the World Cup in 2018, provides them with the experience and confidence to handle the intense pressure of the knockout stages.
Their current odds of 11/2, while slightly lower than pre-tournament expectations, still reflect their strong position and the depth of talent within their squad. France’s ability to perform under pressure and their proven track record in major tournaments make them a serious threat to any opponent. With key players stepping up in Mbappe’s absence, France have shown resilience and the ability to adapt, essential qualities for any team aiming to lift the trophy.
Germany, who have the significant advantage of playing on home soil, are another top contender. The familiar conditions and robust home support provide a considerable boost, particularly in tight matches. Germany’s odds of 11/2 reflect their potential to go far in the tournament. Their squad is a mix of experienced veterans and exciting young players, creating a balanced team capable of both defensive solidity and attacking flair. Playing in front of their home fans, Germany will be driven by national pride and the desire to add another European Championship to their illustrious history.
Portugal also pose a significant threat, boasting a squad that combines seasoned veterans like Cristiano Ronaldo with emerging talents such as Joao Felix and Bruno Fernandes. This mix provides a balanced and dangerous side capable of upsetting any opponent. Portugal’s tactical flexibility and the individual brilliance of their star players make them a team that can never be underestimated. Their odds of 13/2 are indicative of their potential to go deep into the tournament and possibly clinch the title.
The Netherlands, Italy, and Austria are the dark horses of Euro 2024, each bringing unique strengths and potential to the competition. The Netherlands have shown flashes of brilliance, with moments of exceptional play highlighting their capabilities. However, they need to overcome inconsistency to be considered true contenders. Their attacking prowess, led by players like Memphis Depay and Frenkie de Jong, can dismantle any defence on their day, but they must find stability in their performances.
Italy, with their rich footballing heritage and tactical nous, can never be underestimated. The Azzurri have a history of rising to the occasion in major tournaments, and their current squad, under the guidance of Luciano Spalletti, combines experienced campaigners with dynamic young talents. Italy’s tactical discipline and ability to manage games effectively make them a formidable opponent, capable of going all the way if they hit top form.
Austria, under the astute management of Ralf Rangnick, have been one of the surprise packages of the tournament. Their tactical versatility and resilience have seen them overcome difficult challenges in the group stages. With Marcel Sabitzer leading the way, Austria have shown they can compete with the best. Their odds of 16/1 may reflect their status as outsiders, but their performances suggest they could cause significant upsets as the tournament progresses. Rangnick’s ability to adapt his tactics to different opponents makes Austria a tricky team to face, and they have the potential to go far if they maintain their current form.
Prediction for the Euro 2024 Knockout Stage
England to Triumph and Mainoo to Shine
Considering the data and performances thus far, England are positioned as the team most likely to claim victory in Euro 2024. This prediction hinges on several key factors that collectively bolster their chances of lifting the trophy. Firstly, England’s defensive solidity has been a cornerstone of their campaign. Conceding only one goal during the group stage, their defensive unit, led by experienced players such as Marc Guéhi and John Stones, has demonstrated remarkable resilience and coordination.
This defensive strength, underscored by an expected goals (xG) against metric of just 1.1, suggests that England have the necessary foundation to withstand the pressures of knockout football. The ability to maintain a robust defence is crucial in tournament settings, where the margin for error is minimal, and this solidity provides a platform for their offensive talents to shine.
Moreover, England’s relatively easier path to the final cannot be overstated. The tournament draw has favoured Gareth Southgate’s side, allowing them to potentially avoid some of the more formidable teams until the later stages. This advantage is significant in a competition where even the smallest factors can determine success or failure.
By potentially facing less challenging opponents such as Switzerland or Italy in the quarter-finals and teams like Romania, the Netherlands, Austria, or Turkey in the semi-finals, England can conserve energy and focus on fine-tuning their strategies. This smoother progression through the knockout stages enhances their chances of reaching the final, where their confidence and momentum will be at their peak.
Another compelling aspect of England’s campaign is the emergence of Kobbie Mainoo as a key player. The young midfielder has seized his opportunity with both hands, showcasing maturity and skill beyond his years. Mainoo’s performances have added a dynamic edge to England’s midfield, providing creativity, drive, and an ability to break up opposition play.
His potential to win the Young Player of the Tournament is not merely a speculative assertion but is grounded in his impactful displays during the group stages. Mainoo’s rise has given Southgate an additional tactical option, allowing for greater flexibility and adaptability in midfield setups. This versatility could prove invaluable as England navigate the varied challenges posed by different opponents in the knockout rounds.
In addition to Mainoo’s individual brilliance, England’s balanced squad is a significant factor in their favour. The blend of seasoned campaigners and youthful exuberance creates a well-rounded team capable of adapting to different match situations. Veterans like Harry Kane and Raheem Sterling bring experience and leadership, essential in guiding the team through high-pressure moments.
Meanwhile, the younger talents, including Jude Bellingham and Bukayo Saka, inject energy and innovation into the side, capable of turning games with moments of individual brilliance. This balance ensures that England are not overly reliant on any single player, reducing the risk of their campaign being derailed by injuries or loss of form.
Strategic management under Gareth Southgate has also been pivotal. Southgate’s calm demeanour and tactical acumen have instilled a sense of belief and discipline within the squad. His ability to make timely and effective substitutions, as evidenced in the group stage match against Slovenia, shows his readiness to adapt and refresh the team as needed.
This strategic flexibility is crucial in tournament football, where the ability to respond to unfolding situations can make the difference between advancing and being eliminated. Southgate’s experience from previous tournaments, including leading England to the semi-finals of the 2018 World Cup and the final of Euro 2020, provides him with the insights necessary to navigate the pressures and challenges of Euro 2024.
Enhance your betting game with our daily free betting tips, predictions, and accumulators.
For more betting tips and news, check out:
- Euro 2024 Predictions
- Euro 2024 Outright Betting Tips Predictions Hub
- Today’s Football Tips & Accumulators
- Our Comprehensive Betting News
Don’t forget to visit our Free Bets page for the best possible value from our Today’s Football Predictions, as well as our Predictions for Tomorrow’s Football Predictions.
Top UK Bookies & Best Sign Up Offers
Subscribe To Our Newsletter For Exclusive Tips
Want to have exclusive tips from experts tipsters delivered right into your inbox? Subscribe Now To Our Newsletter. We will never spam, we fully respect your privacy!
