Football Bet of the Day for Tuesday: Oldham’s Edge in EFL Cup Underdog Battle

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Football Bet of the Day for Tuesday: Among Tuesday’s fixtures, Accrington vs Oldham provides the best mix of price and probability. Accrington’s expected squad rotation, combined with their poor recent record, sets the stage for a cup upset. Oldham, buoyed by promotion and a sharp performance against MK Dons, are the hungrier, more focused side here.

One of our trusted experts, known for his deep knowledge of UK football, has picked this game as Today’s Best Bet, and the selection makes plenty of sense.

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BET £10 GET £30 IN FREE BETS
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BET £10 GET £50 IN FREE BETS
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100% UP TO £50 ON FIRST DEPOSIT
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18+. Play Safe. From 00:01 on 18.10.2022. £30 bonus. New customers only. Minimum £10 stake on odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater on sportsbook (excluding Virtual markets). Further terms apply. #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org
New cust. Deposit £10+ in 7 days & bet on sports. Min odds apply. Reward = 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports bet). Valid 7 days. Free bets not valid on e-sports & non UK/IE horse racing. 18+. T&Cs apply.
Open Account Offer – New Customers only. Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets when you join bet365. Sign up, deposit between £5 and £10 to your account and bet365 will give you five times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value settle. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs , time limits & exclusions apply. Registration Required. #Ad. 18+ Only, gambleaware.org
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⚽ Football Bet of the Day

Accrington Stanley vs Oldham Athletic

Tyler Morris; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Both Teams to Score
3/4 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Marseille’s attacking strength through Aubameyang and Weah combined with Ajax’s away scoring record points firmly towards goals at both ends. Neither side keeps clean sheets in Europe, and with both desperate for their first points of the group stage, an open, high-intensity clash looks certain.
⚽ Want the rest of today’s premium football tips?

📈 Three Key Stats Behind Today’s Best Bet

  • Accrington have won only 1 of their last 9 League Cup matches
  • Oldham are unbeaten in four competitive outings across two seasons
  • Accrington’s last clean sheet came nine matches ago in all competitions
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Rationale:

Tuesday’s most intriguing value bet comes from the EFL Cup preliminary round at the Crown Ground, where Accrington Stanley host newly promoted Oldham Athletic. While this may seem like a low-profile fixture, it offers notable betting potential.

Accrington finished 21st in League Two last season and have done little in the early going to suggest a significant turnaround. Their 1-1 draw against Gillingham last weekend once again highlighted defensive vulnerabilities, as they conceded a sloppy own goal after taking the lead. Manager John Doolan is expected to rotate heavily for this cup fixture, giving fringe players and backups a chance — including second-choice goalkeeper Oliver Wright. That significantly impacts defensive solidity, especially against a team like Oldham who will be eager to impress on their return to EFL football.

Oldham, back in the League after three years in the National League, have momentum on their side after a disciplined 0-0 draw against MK Dons in their opener. It was a game in which Micky Mellon’s men looked compact, aggressive in midfield, and well-drilled. The likes of Billy Waters and Josh Hawkes are expected to come into the side, giving Oldham fresh legs and a slightly more attacking approach. The Owls have also added experienced EFL campaigners like Ryan Woods, who bring composure and ball control — something Accrington have sorely lacked in recent months.

Looking deeper, Oldham’s bench from Saturday featured players who would walk into Accrington’s current XI, and the fact that the visitors are expected to start several of them is telling. With Accrington’s focus likely elsewhere and their record in this competition historically poor — they’ve never made it past the third round — there’s clear incentive to oppose them in this midweek matchup.

Additionally, Placing Oldham’s revival story alongside a likely rotated home lineup tips the scale in the visitors’ favour. In cup football, energy and motivation often trump pedigree, and right now Oldham tick more boxes in both departments.


Best Bet: Oldham Athletic to Win

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Tyler Morris
Sports writer and analyst Tyler Morris has more than eight years of experience writing about a range of sports. He has considerable knowledge of football, and he has also covered US sports extensively, offering in-depth comments and analysis on the most recent events in these sports. Tyler is a respected specialist in the field since he utilises his knowledge to provide incisive analysis and opinion on the most recent sports events with a track record of successful tips.