Football Bet of the Day for Thursday: Universidad de Chile face Guarani in a fiery Copa Sudamericana clash. Read on to view the tips and expert breakdown of tonight’s best value bet.
One of our trusted experts, known for his deep knowledge of South American football, has picked this game as Today’s Best Bet, and the selection makes plenty of sense.
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⚽ Football Bet of the Day
Universidad de Chile vs Guarani
Gerard Gabasa; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Sevilla to Win | |
1/1 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Sevilla may have stumbled in their opener, but with top-tier players returning and Matías Almeyda seeking a response, a win over newly-promoted Sunderland looks a strong possibility. The Spaniards’ experience, squad depth, and quality should tell, especially against a Black Cats side still bedding in several new arrivals.
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🧮 Quickfire Stats
- Universidad de Chile have scored 11 goals in their last 3 matches.
- Guarani have conceded 10 goals in their last 4 competitive games.
- La U have won all previous meetings with Guarani in continental competition.
Rationale:
Tonight’s most promising betting opportunity comes from Santiago, where Universidad de Chile entertain Guarani in the opening leg of their Copa Sudamericana knockout playoff. Our South American football specialist Gerard Gabasa has singled out this clash as the best bet of the day, combining a home win with a match total of over 2.5 goals—a pick firmly rooted in form, motivation, and recent trends.
La U have responded to their narrow Libertadores exit with impressive resilience, racking up three consecutive wins, scoring 11 times in the process. Their emphatic 6-0 victory over O’Higgins sent a clear message: Universidad are not sulking after their group-stage disappointment—they are shifting their focus and turning up the intensity.
A key part of their attacking strength lies in midfield general Charles Aránguiz, who brings immense continental experience, having returned from a successful stint in Europe. Now captain and creative lynchpin, Aránguiz recently netted a brace, showcasing not just leadership but goal threat too. Surrounding him are the likes of Rodrigo Contreras and Lucas Di Yorio, who offer relentless movement and cutting edge up top.
Defensively, they may still be vulnerable—having received red cards in three straight league matches—which adds to the potential for goals in both directions. However, they’ve still managed to score freely under pressure, further backing this selection.
Guarani’s situation contrasts starkly. The Paraguayan side collapsed at the end of the group stage, losing 2-1 to Independiente and then being routed 5-0 by Boston River. That meltdown cost manager Francisco Arce his job, with Victor Bernay stepping in with little time to implement changes. Guarani have since lost two of their last three matches and look unsteady heading into this tie.
To make matters worse, their top scorer during the group stage, centre-back Gustavo Vargas, has left the club. Without his aerial threat and defensive leadership, Guarani have both ends of the pitch to worry about. Although Derlis Rodriguez has been brought in, he has yet to settle and is still searching for his first goal.
La U have historically dominated this matchup—winning both legs of their Libertadores qualifier clash in 2014—and this new meeting presents a similar dynamic: an in-form Chilean side, confident at home, facing a Guarani team in transition.
Given Universidad’s recent scoring spree, combined with Guarani’s leaky backline and chaotic form, backing a home win and over 2.5 total goals is an attractive and well-supported selection. With attacking quality on both sides and defensive issues likely to surface, a scoreline such as 3-1 or 2-1 looks realistic.
✅ Best Bet: Universidad de Chile to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
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