As Serie A’s penultimate round kicks off, Atalanta travel to Genoa for a match that, despite lacking major stakes, promises plenty of action. With the Champions League spots secured and both sides free from relegation fears, this clash presents an ideal opportunity for an insightful bet. Here, one of our resident experts, Luca Pratesi, provides his top tip for the day, diving into the key factors likely to shape the contest.
One of our trusted experts, known for his deep knowledge of Italian football, has picked this game as Today’s Best Bet, and the selection makes plenty of sense.
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Genoa vs Atalanta
Luca Pratesi; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Under 2.5 Goals | |
17/20 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning With the tie finely balanced and so much at stake, both teams are expected to approach this clash with restraint. Mirandés’ formidable defensive home form and Racing’s away-day struggles support the view that scoring opportunities will be limited. A cautious contest looks likely, making under 2.5 goals a smart selection.
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Key Stats:
- Mateo Retegui needs just one more goal to break Pippo Inzaghi’s Atalanta record.
- Atalanta have kept 11 away clean sheets, the most in Europe’s top five leagues this season.
- Genoa have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game in their last 16 meetings with Atalanta.
Rationale:
Atalanta, having clinched a top-four finish with their recent 2-1 victory over Roma, can approach this game with a sense of freedom. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side have been one of the more entertaining teams in Serie A this term, boasting a potent attack led by the prolific Mateo Retegui. The Argentine-Italian forward has been in sparkling form, scoring 24 goals in the league this season, just one short of breaking Pippo Inzaghi’s club record. Retegui’s ability to score with either foot (10 right-footed, nine left-footed goals) underlines his versatility and threat in front of goal.
Genoa, meanwhile, have struggled against Atalanta in recent years, winning just one of their last 16 league meetings. Their defence has been porous, shipping five goals in the reverse fixture back in October. Despite this, they recently held title-chasing Napoli to a 2-2 draw, showcasing their potential to disrupt even the best sides on their day. However, with Atalanta’s firepower and Genoa’s shaky defensive record, it’s difficult to look past the visitors finding the net multiple times.
Adding further weight to this tip is the fact that Atalanta have kept the most clean sheets (11) away from home in Europe’s top five leagues this season, while also scoring nine goals in their last two encounters with Genoa. With Gasperini’s men in fine form and Retegui pushing for a personal milestone, backing Atalanta to score over 1.5 goals looks like a smart choice.
Best bet – Atalanta Over 1.5 Goals
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