Football Bet of the Day for Saturday features Finland vs Netherlands with Cody Gakpo & Wout Weghorst in focus.
One of our trusted experts, known for his deep knowledge of European football, has picked this game as Today’s Best Bet, and the selection makes plenty of sense.
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Finland vs Netherlands
Steve Harrington; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Football analyst at BettingTips4You
Netherlands to Score Over 2.5 Goals | |
17/2 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Netherlands need to begin their qualifying push, and a fragile Finnish defence provides an ideal opportunity. With Gakpo, Weghorst and Simons likely to lead the line, and Finland conceding heavily at home, backing the Dutch to score at least three makes sense. They’ve hit 11 in their last four versus Finland.
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🟢 Key Betting Stats:
- Finland have conceded 2+ goals in each of their last three home games.
- Netherlands are unbeaten in their last four against Finland, scoring 11 in total.
- Wout Weghorst has netted in two of his last four appearances for the Oranje.
Rationale:
Saturday’s best value wager has been singled out from the World Cup 2026 qualifying fixtures, and it comes from Helsinki, where Finland host the Netherlands. Steve Harrington, our British expert on European qualifiers, has carefully chosen this as the standout bet of the day based on form, team dynamics, and the tactical setup of both nations.
The Netherlands come into this match having endured a mixed Nations League run, but they now face an opponent whose vulnerabilities have been glaring—especially at home. Finland have shipped multiple goals in their past three home fixtures, and despite a spirited effort against Lithuania and a narrow win over Malta, they’ve not looked solid at the back.
The Dutch are under pressure to close the gap on group leaders Poland, having played two fewer games. That urgency, combined with their quality in depth, suggests they will come out with intent. Players like Gakpo, Simons and Reijnders bring attacking threat and creativity, while Weghorst’s aerial prowess gives them a direct option up front.
This game is particularly well-suited for goals given Finland’s current defensive frailties. They’ve managed just one win in their last eight outings and conceded at least twice in each of their recent home defeats. With their back line likely to struggle against high-tempo football, we expect the Netherlands to cash in.
With Reijnders and De Jong likely to dominate the middle of the park and create frequent opportunities, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Dutch carve open Finland time and again. Their ability to switch play and overload wide areas with full-backs like Frimpong or Dumfries will only add to the hosts’ problems.
Koeman has spoken openly about needing a strong start to their qualifying journey, and this fixture gives him the perfect chance to deliver one. Finland’s squad, while hardworking, lacks the elite-level quality to stem what could become a torrent of Dutch chances.
🎯 Best Bet – Netherlands to Score Over 2.5 Goals
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