Monday’s football fixtures include a crucial Serie A clash at the Luigi Ferraris, where Genoa are looking to extend their strong home form against relegation-threatened Venezia. With Genoa tightening up defensively and Venezia struggling on their travels, our expert at BettingTips4You has analysed the key trends to provide the best bet of the day.
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Genoa vs Venezia
Luca Semproni; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Over 2.5 Goals | |
4/6 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Inter Milan’s dominant attack and unbeaten run against Genoa suggest a high-scoring home win. With Genoa’s defensive struggles, over 2.5 goals looks a strong possibility. | |
Rationale:
Key Stats:
✔ Genoa have kept clean sheets in their last two home league matches, winning both.
✔ Venezia have the worst away defensive record in Serie A, conceding 24 goals in 12 away matches.
✔ Venezia have not beaten Genoa in a league match since 1962, despite a four-match unbeaten run.
Genoa have found consistency at home under Patrick Vieira, and they now have the opportunity to achieve three consecutive Serie A victories at the Luigi Ferraris without conceding for the first time since 2010. Their recent defensive resilience has been a standout feature, with back-to-back clean sheets in wins over Parma and Torino. Vieira inherited a team struggling for home wins, but his tactical tweaks have made them a far more solid unit.
Sitting in 12th place, Genoa cannot break into the top half this week, but three points would see them move above Torino into 11th after the latter’s loss to Bologna. History, however, is not on their side—Genoa have failed to beat Venezia in Serie A since 1962, though that record is under serious threat given the visitors’ poor away form this season.
Venezia have been woeful on their travels, picking up just four points from 12 away fixtures, with eight defeats in that period. Their defensive record away from home is the worst in the league, having conceded 24 goals on the road. Scoring has also been an issue, with only Lecce and Como managing fewer away goals this season. With Joel Pohjanpalo—who scored in the reverse fixture—now departed, Venezia lack a reliable attacking outlet.
Given Genoa’s recent defensive discipline and Venezia’s travel woes, the hosts should be able to secure a win without conceding.
Best bet – Genoa to win to nil
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