Football Bet of the Day for Friday: Bundesliga showdown at the BayArena. Our expert pick explains why goals are likely in Leverkusen vs Frankfurt. Read on to view the tips and reasoning…
One of our trusted experts, known for his deep knowledge of German football, has picked this game as Today’s Best Bet, and the selection makes plenty of sense.
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⚽ Football Bet of the Day
Bayer Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Wolfgang Shotten; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Both Teams to Score | |
2/5 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Leverkusen enter a new chapter under Hjulmand with minimal preparation, typically a recipe for disorganisation and entertainment. Frankfurt arrive red-hot and fearless after back-to-back big wins. With attacking wing-backs, pacey counters and recent defensive wobbles, the BayArena clash should deliver chances both ways. Back BTTS. |
📈 Three Key Stats Behind Today’s Best Bet
- Frankfurt have opened the campaign with 12 goals in three competitive matches (5-0, 4-1, 3-1).
- Leverkusen’s last league outing finished 3-3 after they led 3-1 against Werder Bremen.
- The Eagles have lost 11 straight competitive meetings to Leverkusen, adding motivation to attack.
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Rationale:
A fresh managerial era often brings volatility, and that is precisely why the BayArena fixture looks tailor-made for a goals-based play. Bayer Leverkusen start again under Kasper Hjulmand following the extraordinary September dismissal of Erik ten Hag, a decision taken after only three competitive matches. The abrupt change indicates disrupted routines, and a coach with merely two training sessions rarely has time to bed in compact defensive structures. We have just seen Leverkusen throw away a 3-1 advantage against Werder Bremen in a 3-3 rollercoaster; nothing says “chaotic edges” quite like that.
Eintracht Frankfurt, by contrast, arrive with clear momentum. Dino Toppmöller’s team have warmed up by thumping Engers 5-0 in the cup, then powering past Werder Bremen 4-1 and Hoffenheim 3-1 in the league. Their approach is front-foot and direct, and the attacking unit has spread goals around smartly. Even with Mario Götze a doubt and Jessic Ngankam nursing leg trouble, Frankfurt have plenty of punch from the flanks and in transition, while Michael Zetterer’s continued run in goal gives them continuity at the back without stifling their eagerness to commit bodies forward.
Team news points to more openness. Jonas Hofmann’s hamstring issue deprives Leverkusen of a control-minded wide creator who can slow the game down when needed. Jeanuel Belocian may reappear after a long layoff, which is a positive story but rarely guarantees instant sharpness. The projected home line-up is built for aggression rather than caution: Alejandro Grimaldo and Jeremie Frimpong’s role-equivalent in this shape—Grimaldo and Amine Adli’s channel partner—are licensed to race on, with Robert Andrich anchoring and Amine Adli/Tella-type width providing constant thrust. With Flekken behind a back three of Bade, Edmond Tapsoba and Jarell Quansah, Leverkusen will try to progress early and often, which can leave space in the half-channels when attacks break down.
Frankfurt’s likely XI also hints at action both ways. A back four featuring Arthur Theate, Nathan Collins, Robin Koch and Rasmus Kristensen encourages adventurous full-back play. Farès Chaibi and Hugo Larsson can step past the first press; the trio supporting Jonathan Burkardt—Malick Bahoya, Can Uzun and Ritsu Doan—carry dribbling threat and quick combination play. That blend is perfect for attacking Leverkusen’s weak points: behind the wing-backs and either side of the central centre-back.
Context matters too. The hosts are under pressure to show immediate improvement, and a new boss typically leans into something tangible to win the crowd—front-foot football. Hjulmand is unlikely to clamp the handbrake on day one; he needs a spark. Meanwhile, Frankfurt have a Champions League opener with Galatasaray on the horizon, which can influence rhythm. Sides with a European date in midweek often prefer to get the domestic job done early, pushing for goals rather than managing a tight 1-0. That urgency can increase the game’s tempo, create stretched phases, and heighten the likelihood of goals at both ends.
From a trends perspective, the numbers back it up. Leverkusen’s league form (L, D) shows an unsteady base, but their all-competitions record includes a 3-3, again pointing at defensive looseness and offensive bite. Frankfurt have started the Bundesliga with consecutive wins and a seven-goal haul. Last season they were outscored by only Borussia Dortmund, Bayern Munich and Leverkusen—elite company that underlines how consistently they create chances. Their elephant in the room is an 11-match losing streak to Leverkusen in competitive meetings, but that sequence actually strengthens a BTTS view: pride and pent-up motivation should force the Eagles to attack instead of sitting deep.
Individual match-ups also favour a goal-heavy script. Grimaldo’s overlaps and high positioning tend to produce cut-backs and early crosses towards Patrik Schick, while Tella and Tillman can dart inside to shoot. On turnovers, though, Frankfurt’s wide players love running at isolated defenders—Doan attacking space behind Grimaldo, or Bahoya springing the opposite side. Chaibi’s set-piece quality adds another scoring route. With Koch and Collins competent in the air, the visitors can threaten from corners when Leverkusen concede territorial control for spells.
We should factor in match state. If Leverkusen score first, Hjulmand will still push to assert dominance, and Frankfurt’s speed on the break keeps them dangerous. If Frankfurt strike early, the BayArena will demand response, and the system Leverkusen intend to use is built to chase. Both paths lead back to the same outcome: a contest shaped by surges of pressure, generous spacing in transitions, and multiple high-value chances.
Goalkeeper news subtly tilts us towards a goals angle as well. Zetterer deputising again for the injured Kaua Santos is a stable solution but not a significant upgrade; he is good, not unbeatable. On the other side, Flekken is settling behind a reshuffled back three that is yet to find full synchronisation. Debut-day defensive mishaps are commonplace when communication patterns are new.
Finally, the psychological side. Ten Hag’s abrupt exit and the strange background noise—reports of dressing-room friction and fitness drill grumbles—will not disappear overnight. A cathartic win with goals is the most plausible medicine, but a clean sheet feels a reach. Frankfurt’s belief, honed by consecutive multi-goal victories, is exactly the sort of confidence that turns half-chances into finishes.
Add all of that up—tactical shapes, personnel, short preparation time, and the emotional baggage of a new regime—and the smartest angle is to side with goals for both. We expect a lively first hour, increasing openness after the break, and late opportunities as legs tire and benches are used.
✅ Best Bet: Both Teams to Score
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