FA Cup outright winner odds and predictions: examining the contenders and hidden value in the odds ahead of 5th Round

The FA Cup is reaching a crucial stage, with the competition narrowing down to the last sixteen. As the tournament progresses, the race for the trophy is intensifying, and bookmakers have adjusted their odds to reflect the latest developments. While Premier League powerhouses remain favourites, some intriguing dark horses are lurking, offering potential value for punters.

FA outright odds & betting tips

Three Key Stats from the FA Cup So Far

• Manchester City are unbeaten in the FA Cup this season but struggled in their last round, edging past Leyton Orient 2-1 after conceding an early goal.
• Bournemouth have scored seven goals in their two FA Cup matches so far, highlighting their attacking potency under Andoni Iraola.
• Newcastle’s Alexander Isak has been in prolific form this season, with 17 goals in the league, making him a key figure in their FA Cup ambitions.

Our Best Bet

Manchester City remain the frontrunners to claim the FA Cup, priced at 15/8. Despite facing an uphill battle in the Premier League, where they trail leaders Liverpool by 15 points, Pep Guardiola’s side are still expected to go deep in this competition. Their ability to control matches and their attacking depth make them the team to beat, although their narrow 2-1 victory over Leyton Orient in the previous round highlighted some vulnerabilities.

Newcastle are another strong contender, with odds of 5/1. Eddie Howe’s men are pushing for a top-four finish in the league and have already secured a place in the Carabao Cup final. Their FA Cup journey has been promising, with Joe Willock’s late winner against Birmingham securing their place in the last sixteen. With momentum on their side, the Magpies will be confident of progressing further.

Aston Villa and Manchester United are both priced at 7/1, reflecting their potential to mount a serious challenge. Villa, under Unai Emery, have shown impressive consistency this season, with their well-drilled approach proving effective in high-pressure matches. Meanwhile, United, the defending FA Cup holders, will look to build on last season’s success, with Erik ten Hag keen to claim silverware once again despite their struggles in the league.

Bournemouth, offered at 10/1, are one of the most intriguing sides in this year’s competition. Having never progressed beyond the quarter-finals, the Cherries are aiming for a historic run, and their 2-0 victory over Everton in the previous round suggests they are building momentum. Andoni Iraola’s team play an expansive style of football, and with a favourable fifth-round tie against Wolves, they have a real opportunity to go deep in the tournament.

Other teams still in contention include Brighton (12/1), Nottingham Forest (12/1), Crystal Palace (16/1), and Fulham (16/1), all of whom have the capability to cause an upset. Further down the odds list, Wolves (25/1) are an outside bet, while Championship sides Burnley (66/1) and Ipswich (66/1) will be hoping for a cup fairy tale.

Updated FA Cup Winner Odds

Team	Odds
Manchester City	15/8
Newcastle	5/1
Aston Villa	7/1
Manchester United	7/1
Bournemouth	10/1
Brighton	12/1
Nottingham Forest	12/1
Crystal Palace	16/1
Fulham	16/1
Wolves	25/1
Burnley	66/1
Ipswich	66/1
Millwall	100/1
Preston	200/1
Plymouth	200/1
Cardiff	250/1
Exeter	1000/1

“Odds are correct at time of post and subject to change

Best Bet: Bournemouth to Win the FA Cup (10/1)

Among the potential winners, Bournemouth stand out as the best value selection at 10/1. While they may not have the same pedigree as some of the more established clubs, their performances in this season’s FA Cup suggest they are capable of making a deep run.

The Cherries’ attacking quality has been evident throughout their cup journey. They brushed aside West Brom with a dominant 5-1 win, showcasing their ability to dismantle opponents with fluid movement and clinical finishing. Their 2-0 victory over Everton further reinforced their credentials, as they controlled proceedings at Goodison Park, demonstrating defensive solidity alongside attacking threat.

Andoni Iraola has instilled a strong tactical identity within his squad, and their expansive style of play makes them difficult to contain. Moreover, Bournemouth’s pathway to the latter stages of the tournament looks favourable, with a winnable home tie against Wolves in the fifth round. Should they progress, they would find themselves just one match away from a semi-final at Wembley, an opportunity that will only fuel their ambition.

With the traditional heavyweights showing inconsistencies and the odds offering genuine value, backing Bournemouth to win the FA Cup at 10/1 is a compelling selection. If they can maintain their form, they have every chance of making history.

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