F1 betting tips: Italian Grand Prix predictions, preview and Formula 1 best bets

The Formula 1 is back after the break with the Italian Grand Prix this weekend, so read on to see F1 expert Steve Harrington’s preview and best bets. Don’t forget to take advantage of the selected betting offer below.

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F1 betting tips: Italian Grand Prix

Can Ferrari and Williams Shine at the Temple of Speed?
  • Williams have scored points at Monza in every race since 2021, highlighting their affinity with high-speed circuits.
  • Alex Albon secured a top-seven finish at Monza in 2023, only 3 seconds behind Lewis Hamilton.
  • Charles Leclerc has consistently finished near the front at Monza, including a victory in 2019.

This weekend, the Formula One circus travels to the renowned Autodromo Nazionale Monza for the 2024 Italian Grand Prix, a track famously known as the “Temple of Speed.” The circuit’s high-speed straights and minimal cornering make it a complete contrast to the twisty Zandvoort track where the teams raced last. Monza’s unique demands often lead to surprising results, as cars that thrive in straight-line speed often outperform those that excel on more technical circuits.

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This year’s race promises another shake-up in the competitive order, especially with teams like Ferrari and Williams looking to capitalise on the layout that plays to their strengths. With the passionate Tifosi filling the stands, Ferrari will be under immense pressure to deliver, particularly after a season that has largely failed to meet their lofty expectations. Meanwhile, Williams, fresh off a driver change, hope to continue their strong record at this circuit. The scene is set for a thrilling race, with fans eagerly anticipating whether speed or strategy will prevail on this legendary track.

Best Bet: Alex Albon to Finish in the Top Six

Bookmaker
Sergio Perez to Secure a Top 6 Finish @ 11/10
Reasoning
Backing Sergio Perez for a podium at Baku is a smart bet. With five podiums in seven attempts, including two wins, his expertise and ability to capitalise on chaotic races make him a strong contender.
Odds subject to change
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Backing Alex Albon to secure a top-six finish at Monza appears to be a strong wager given the current form and characteristics of the Williams car. Monza’s layout, with its emphasis on straight-line speed, plays perfectly into the hands of Williams, who have historically excelled at high-speed circuits. Since 2021, Williams have consistently managed to score points at Monza, and this trend looks set to continue with Albon at the wheel.

Albon’s recent performances provide further confidence in this prediction. In the previous race at Zandvoort, Albon impressively qualified in eighth position, despite the track not suiting the Williams car as much as Monza does. His ability to extract the maximum potential from the car, particularly in less favourable conditions, suggests that he can take full advantage of the favourable Monza track. Last year, Albon finished in the top seven at Monza, and this year, with the car performing even better, he is well-positioned to improve on that result.

Moreover, the strategic context of the race could play into Albon’s hands. With several top teams potentially struggling with setups tailored to more technical circuits, Williams’ focus on straight-line speed could see them leapfrog more fancied competitors. Albon’s consistency and the car’s reliability also mean that he is likely to capitalise on any mistakes or mechanical issues from the front runners. Given the odds and Albon’s current form, a top-six finish is not just plausible, but a highly attractive betting proposition.

Second Prediction: Charles Leclerc to Win

Bookmaker
Alex Albon to Finish in the Points @ 8/1
Reasoning
Backing Alex Albon to finish in the points is a compelling outside bet. His recent form, combined with Williams’ improvements and the unpredictable nature of the Singapore GP, make him a strong contender to capitalise on any race chaos.
Odds subject to change
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Charles Leclerc emerges as a strong candidate for victory at Monza, a track where both driver and team have a deep emotional and competitive connection. Ferrari are desperate for a strong showing on home soil after a string of disappointing results, and Monza represents their best opportunity to turn the season around. Leclerc’s recent form, including a podium finish in the last race, indicates that he is peaking at just the right time.

Leclerc’s familiarity with the track and its demands cannot be overstated. He secured a famous victory here in 2019, and his performances in recent years at Monza have been solid, with finishes consistently near the front. The Ferrari cars have received minor updates that already paid dividends in recent races, and a more substantial upgrade package is expected to debut this weekend. These developments could bring Ferrari closer to the front, allowing Leclerc to challenge for the win.

Additionally, the home advantage cannot be ignored. The Tifosi’s fervent support has often spurred Ferrari to punch above their weight at Monza, and Leclerc, as the team’s lead driver, will be eager to deliver for them. The Monza circuit’s unique characteristics, combined with Ferrari’s improvements and Leclerc’s determination, make this an intriguing bet. While the competition will be fierce, particularly from the likes of Lando Norris and Max Verstappen, Leclerc’s chances of claiming a much-needed victory are substantial, especially if Ferrari’s upgrades provide the anticipated boost.

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Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats for football. With a passion that began in the grassroots, he's witnessed the magic of the game from local pitches to grand stadiums. Over the past 7 years, Steve has lent his expertise to several online publications, chronicling the ever-evolving world of football. Beyond his professional pursuits, he holds a special affection for Burnley Football Club, cherishing every triumph and tribulation. Steve believes in the power of storytelling and its ability to bring the beautiful game closer to its ardent fans.