The DP World Tour heads to Dubai for its traditional star-studded curtain closer, and our golf guru John Pentin has provided a detailed preview of this intriguing tournament that will start on Thursday. Don’t forget to also take advantage of the great bookmaker offers that we have handpicked for you below.
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The DP World Tour Championship Betting
The DP World Tour Championship Betting Tips | Thursday 16th November to Sunday 19th November 2023
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Main Bet: Min Woo Lee To Win
The prestigious DP World Tour Championship, marking the grand finale of the 2023 season, is set to unfold a week before the 2024 schedule commences with the Joburg Open and Australian PGA Championship. This event, which debuted 14 years ago, mirrors the PGA Tour’s FedEx Cup with its own Race to Dubai. Despite Rory McIlroy’s unassailable lead in the R2D, courtesy of Max Homa’s stellar performance at the Nedbank Challenge, the event at the Earth Course in Dubai still promises high-octane golfing action.
This year’s tournament, a culmination of the Rolex Series, features a fully-attended top-50 field, a rarity in recent times. The Earth Course, a Greg Norman design, is a sprawling desert landscape with expansive fairways and 99 strategically placed bunkers. The Tifeagle Bermuda grass greens, large and contoured, are set to test the players with their speed and tricky run-off areas.
Key to conquering this 7,706-yard, par-72 course is a combination of length off the tee and accuracy. Historically, winners here have excelled in driving distance, with Jon Rahm’s victory despite ranking 46th for Driving Accuracy being an anomaly. The course’s maturation over time has elevated the importance of precision alongside power. Last year’s runners-up, Tyrell Hatton and Alex Noren, exemplified this with their top-10 DA rankings.
As for greens in regulation (GIR), it’s a mixed bag of significance. While Rahm and other winners have ranked highly in GIR, it’s not a definitive metric for success. The 2021 champion, Collin Morikawa, demonstrated this with a modest 15th in Putting Average but excelled in Scrambling, a skill paramount in navigating the Earth Course’s challenges.
Strategically playing the par-fives is another critical aspect. Last year, Hatton and McIlroy excelled on these longer holes, a factor that often influences the leaderboard.
In predicting this year’s winner, a look at players’ affinity for desert golf offers insights. Past champions like Rahm, McIlroy, and Henrik Stenson have thrived in similar conditions, underscoring the importance of adaptability to the desert environment. Furthermore, links golf prowess seems to be an advantageous trait, with Open champions historically finding success here.
Considering these factors, Jon Rahm emerges as a strong contender. His mastery of the Earth Course, underscored by a lower scoring average than McIlroy and three wins, positions him as a favourite. His balanced skill set, combining power and precision, aligns perfectly with the course’s demands.
However, for a potential dark horse, Min Woo Lee stands out. Already a Rolex Series winner, Lee’s exceptional driving distance, coupled with his improving short game, makes him a formidable contender. His past performances at the Earth Course and recent form, including a victory in Macau and a strong showing in the ZOZO Championship, suggest he’s primed for a breakthrough.
Another player worth mentioning is Adrian Meronk. His impressive driving ability, familiarity with the course, and recent form, including a win in Spain, position him as a sleeper pick. Meronk, free from the pressures of securing PGA Tour status, could surprise many.
In conclusion, while Rahm is the favourite, players like Lee and Meronk could very well defy expectations. The DP World Tour Championship, with its blend of strategic challenges and elite competition, is set to be a thrilling spectacle of golf.