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Leicester’s double-start drama reaches a fever pitch this evening as the World Grand Prix serves up two semi-finals that feel delicately poised. Luke Humphries meet Danny Noppert in a rematch of their last-four tussle at the World Masters earlier in the year, with both arriving off composed quarter-final wins. Read on for the best bet of the night and the analysis in addition to the best betting offers to take full advantage of.
Darts betting tips: World Grand Prix Day six semi-final Best Bet
Could a Measured Masterclass Decide a Brutal Night of Double-Start Pressure?
- Humphries have dropped only two sets all week while holding the best tournament average among the semi-finalists
- Littler produced 10 maximums against Price, rescuing the tie with 154 and 152 checkouts despite a sub-85 average
- Noppert delivered a crucial 156 finish versus Anderson and moved through 3-1 after losing the opening set
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Humphries’ blend of heavy scoring and reliable double-in/out has driven set control all week. Noppert’s poise under pressure produces frequent ton-plus finishes. In a likely long semi, both should land 100+ checkouts, while Humphries’ higher ceiling tips the match. At 5/2, the combined angle matches Leicester’s double-start rhythms nicely.
Humphries, the reigning champion from 2023 and runner-up in 2024, advanced past Cameron Menzies 3-1, while Noppert overturned an early deficit to defeat Gary Anderson by the same margin, mixing control with a timely 156 checkout to wrest momentum.
On the other side of the bracket, Luke Littler face Jonny Clayton after a night that bordered on the surreal. Littler escaped Gerwyn Price in a final-leg decider, rescuing himself with massive 154 and 152 finishes despite a modest overall average, and piling in 10 maximums when it mattered most. Clayton, by contrast, breezed through Dirk van Duijvenbode 3-0, dropping just a single leg and peppering the board with ton-plus checkouts, including 118 and 130, to underline how clinical his doubling can be in this format.
Humphries have quietly asserted control over the tournament tempo, shedding only two sets all week and leading the remaining field’s tournament average. Since a stuttering scoring display on opening night against Nathan Aspinall, he has rediscovered his heavy scoring touch, delivering 11 maximums across subsequent rounds while sustaining over 40% success both on the double-in and the double-out.
Noppert, entering a tenth major semi-final, look fresher than he did in February when fatigue caught up with him late against Humphries, and his measured approach against Anderson suggested calm decision-making under pressure. With each tie carrying contrasting rhythms—Humphries’ composed structure versus Noppert’s ice-cool set-play craft, Littler’s explosive power against Clayton’s tranquillity under fire—the stage is set for a night that rewards precision as much as audacity.
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Best Bet for the Day
Here at BettingTips4You we only provide a single prediction rather than many different ones, as we believe in quality and not quantity and only give out the best tip per event. This will also make it easier for readers that don’t have to worry about what selection to go for and also it is more accountable as we can easily evaluate our tips profitability as we only give out a clear best bet per event: Luke Humphries To Win & Each Player Over 1 100+ Checkout at 5/2.
Why this prediction merits support
Humphries arrive in outstanding competitive rhythm, having conceded just two sets across the tournament and topping the field’s average among the semi-finalists. After a slow start on opening night, his power scoring has clicked, with 11 maximums added since then, and critically he has maintained over 40% efficiency on both the double-in and double-out. That blend of heavy scoring and reliable finishing is tailor-made for the Grand Prix’s unique gateway, where early precision at the outer ring sets the tone for the leg.
Noppert’s side of the ledger argues strongly for the checkout leg of the wager. He has shown the type of nerveless closing under fire that translates into repeated three-figure finishes. Against Anderson he threaded a superb 156 at a pivotal moment, emblematic of his well-known composure on the outer ring across long-format weekends. With this clash likely to stretch into deep sets—Humphries’ set control meeting Noppert’s ability to pinch crucial legs—both players should generate multiple looks at three-figure outs. The Dutchman’s preference for steadiness over chaos creates numerous structured two-dart and three-dart finishing routes, whereas Humphries’ relentless pressure raises the probability of forcing, or answering, a statement checkout.
Tactically, expect Humphries to command the scoring phase and create repeated opportunities to leave tidy combinations, while Noppert counterpunches by converting pressure moments into clean ton-plus finishes. Because both are adept at managing the double-start, legs often compress into mid-range scoring followed by decisive combination shots, which increases the frequency of 100+ attempts. With Humphries’ superior all-round level giving him the edge for the match outcome and Noppert’s temperament enhancing the checkout count on both sides, the combined 5/2 looks a smart, value-leaning angle that aligns with the patterns shown this week.
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